Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 EPS doesn't like next Wednesday Thursday too much for SNE.. Cuts to Cleveland then Miller B to Gulf of Maine. Would be solid for CNE and NNE again.. Man really looking like CNE and NNE are a lock for 2-4 feet of snow the next 7-10 days with 3-4 significant snow threats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: EPS doesn't like next Wednesday Thursday too much.. Cuts to Cleveland then Miller B to Gulf of Maine. Spread is massive though....the individual plot looks like buckshot...tells me we'll prob see a lot of model volatility over the next couple days on that one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Spread is massive though....the individual plot looks like buckshot...tells me we'll prob see a lot of model volatility over the next couple days on that one Ya, at least we have some reasons to model watch again.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 4 hours ago, dryslot said: The worse thing that could possibly happen is the pattern finally gets to a point where we have some blocking and cold air that would support snow and then we have no threats, Watch what happens then. Honestly I think we can expect this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 idk, I will certainly take this at day 7. good amount of Miller As off the coast with a solid snowfall mean 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Spread is massive though....the individual plot looks like buckshot...tells me we'll prob see a lot of model volatility over the next couple days on that one Makes sense that there would be wide spread in a needle threader set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 The limitations of this pattern for the MRV are obvious, since the lows are tracking so close by, but a welcomed departure for me is a lower risk of getting caught in subsidence and a greater shot at man-snow. I feel like low level fronto will be pretty close by quite often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Not bad for an ensemble mean, The 25-26th is pretty far out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: What a great day, congrats all! 50.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Winter weather advisory up for Westfield and Simsbury.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Winter weather advisory up for Westfield and Simsbury.... Be safe out in the winter of 22/23. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 hours ago, George001 said: The Canadian trended nw with the 25th storm, it has a low in Chicago. Due to the overall longwave pattern, I am convinced the Canadian is on to something, and there is room for that storm to trend even more nw (low in Wisconsin). Are you talking about January 25th, 2025? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 48 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Be safe out in the winter of 22/23. I'm surprised they even put something up. I guess they have to considering the lack of winter, and no doubt the idiots that will be out on the road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1/23 back to being torchy on GFS except for far NNE. But 1/25 coming in decent again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1/23 back to being torchy on GFS except for far NNE. VT ski country gets it good. But low over nashua ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 9 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: VT ski country gets it good. But low over nashua ha 982 mb, that’s one hell of a storm. I’m starting to get excited about Mondays storm threat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1/23 back to being torchy on GFS except for far NNE. But 1/25 coming in decent again. Also - watching for model magnification ... It appears for the events farther out in time, each successive one of them is more powerful than the one before. go wonder - Eventually a monster really will come along ... it will definitely be bigger and more powerful than the one before. Lol. But for now, the succession is suspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The limitations of this pattern for the MRV are obvious, since the lows are tracking so close by, but a welcomed departure for me is a lower risk of getting caught in subsidence and a greater shot at man-snow. I feel like low level fronto will be pretty close by quite often. I never knew you cared so much about the Mad River Valley. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 FWIW the OP GFS is on the far W edge of the GEFS SLP positions. most are offshore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: FWIW the OP GFS is on the far W edge of the GEFS SLP positions. most are offshore That's been repeating as theme across the last several cycles, btw - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Also - watching for model magnification ... It appears for the events farther out in time, each successive one of them is more powerful than the one before. go wonder - Eventually a monster really will come along ... it will definitely be bigger and more powerful than the one before. Lol. But for now, the succession is suspect. Big KU setup EOM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Big KU setup EOM. ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: ha That ends up in Buffalo ..but it's a helluva look at this range - ha. "Miami rule" in full effect on that run, too - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: ha Looks like a deep interior crusher as depicted but… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 hours ago, dryslot said: Not bad for an ensemble mean, The 25-26th is pretty far out though. At least you have something to pay attention to. In 10 days, 90% of us will be looking at the same bare ground we've looked at for 98% of this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: At least you have something to pay attention to. In 10 days, 90% of us will be looking at the same bare ground we've looked at for 98% of this winter. Take a ride to Pit 2, better luck up there I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 27 minutes ago, George001 said: 982 mb, that’s one hell of a storm. I’m starting to get excited about Mondays storm threat. you get excited when a model shows an inland rainer? WTF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Big KU setup EOM. East of Maine? East of Manchester? East of Marquette? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: East of Maine? East of Manchester? East of Marquette? East of Eden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: East of Maine? East of Manchester? East of Marquette? 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: East of Eden. End our madness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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