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January 2023 Obs/Discussion


Torch Tiger
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9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Pretty big eps signal even if the mean favors the interior. Enough spread for everyone.

 

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This has been a good day of model watching.  We wait.  

Where’s the Pope dammit? No comments on any of this? Is it cuz it looks a lil different than it has of late? 

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9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

All valid 6z Monday...sweet. It's snowing here during that time on those images.

Almost every snowstorm here in peak cold climo is above normal temperature departures.  There’s zero radiating and low diurnal mean.

Normal is 26/5 today (mean of 15F).

A snowstorm (clouds, precip) and low diurnal temp changes… 28/22 (mean of 25F).

Thats a +10 day for a snowstorm with temps in the 20s.  Even 25/15 would be +5.

Below normal usually means no snow, ha.

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Almost every snowstorm here in peak cold climo is above normal temperature departures.  There’s zero radiating and low diurnal mean.

Normal is 26/5 today (mean of 15F).

A snowstorm (clouds, precip) and low diurnal temp changes… 28/22 (mean of 25F).

Thats a +10 day for a snowstorm with temps in the 20s.

And those are 6z images. So if it's snowing at 30F that's about a +15F to +20F.

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You aren’t going to get good snow ratios with those thermals. Pope says no, and he’s been right all year. We give him a lot of shit, but it is clear at this point that the Vatican has a pretty damn good meteorology program. I don’t even think the H5 look is all that great for us, it screams inland runner. Then on top of that all the cold air is in Siberia. Up and in is where we look for whos getting the snow.

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3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Euro printing out lots of feet for NNE next week

First piece of the puzzle on the Pit2 p/c

Thursday Night
Snow. Low around 25. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Friday
Snow. High near 31. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
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3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

First piece of the puzzle on the Pit2 p/c

Thursday Night
Snow. Low around 25. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Friday
Snow. High near 31. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Congrats Dendy 6z GFS clown and qpf

sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.png

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