dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 963mb on the 26/27th. 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: That one would be a hyper bomb if the Euro is right ... I haven't seen the surface but I can be certain given that run succeeding in the mid and U/A/ synoptic evolution, it's running some sort of 970 mb low right by us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 It tries for a light Feb 13 redux, cute model… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That one would be a hyper bomb if the Euro is right ... I haven't seen the surface but I can be certain given that run succeeding in the mid and U/A/ synoptic evolution, it's running some sort of 970 mb low right by us. I guess it's more 1/26. Nice ridge in the west, and hints of buildilng blocking (maybe transient) in NAO region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 well ... for all the pattern change doubters and disrespect ( not saying I blame you, relax haha), you can't get a GGEM/Euro/UKMET blend to actually happen, without a pattern change. GFS has a pattern change but it just seems to lock a storm track that's both farther NW, but toting along damping waves. So anyway... we'll see but the pattern is still scheduled to change 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, just saw... not a shocker - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Giddy up next 7 days. Just crushed in the mountains outside wachusett 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 And the one time something looked like it had blizzard potential you get crickets from george........... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: And the one time something looked like it had blizzard potential you get crickets from george........... He gave up on any semblance of winter until 2025 so right on queue, here it comes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 A good conservative first clown 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Just crushed in the mountains outside wachusett Yeah this is an excellent pattern for NNE and hopefully filtering down into SNE with time as we get some better airmasses. Very active pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Snow on snow on snow on snow. You think we get through these 4 storms with mostly snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: A good conservative first clown The kuchie is a hoochie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, dendrite said: A good conservative first clown Nice middle finger going up the I-95 corridor south of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: And the one time something looked like it had blizzard potential you get crickets from george........... That’s how ya know he’s young and inexperienced. But he folded the winter and packed it away. In fact, he’s already sold next winter too lol, and this one might be just be gettin started. He’s confused..ya hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: And the one time something looked like it had blizzard potential you get crickets from george........... He's currently slumped back chalking eyes waiting on the intervention paramedics to hit 'im with NARCAN, that's why - it's called ODing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Everyone is happy within 10 days. What a dream for the forum. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 George already cancelled this winter and next - he gon I personally closed the shades til late month, and this would be a nice storm to open them with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: You think we get through these 4 storms with mostly snow? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: George already cancelled this winter and next - he gon I personally closed the shades til late month, and this would be a nice storm to open them with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 15 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: That would be a fine thing, but i don't buy it... not yet I’m leaning towards an inland runner but maybe the 1/23 storm (which looks like it will run inland) can drag the boundary south. It’s a long shot due to the unfavorable western ridge axis, but hey at least it has a low. Should be good for NNE, for us in SNE with this setup we need a few things to break right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Where’s the pope? Qg? I mean when it looks somewhat promising…ya gotta say it too boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What a dream for the forum. I need TauntonBlizz to really kick up the whining this week. Gotta play it safe. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Where’s the pope? Qg? I mean when it looks somewhat promising…ya gotta say it too boys. The geese just shitted on their righteous owner and headed south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 26/27 is really kind of a KU event... That looks like thunder snow with 4-6" in DC to PHL, with 6-8" ..spot 10" in N NJ ...then up to 12+" HFD-PSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1/25-26 will be a good hit this run for SNE I think. That’s prob the first one that has a realistic chance of being good here. Beyond that looks more favorable but at least with 1/25, we have some better looking upper levels with the PV getting closer and trying to intrude into Quebec. The 0z Euro didn't even have a storm on the 23rd. Is the one on 12z the same weak system that precludes the inland runner on 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 It’s a great run but I’d pump the breaks on blizzard potential in SNE, for CNE and NNE absolutely. I’m still going to track it though, I would be happy to be proven wrong about this winter. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What a dream for the forum. Oddly ..that looks under done given the synoptics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: I need TauntonBlizz to really kick up the whining this week. Gotta play it safe. He lives in NNE now so you’ll have to replace him. Plus we don’t need another sema focused snowstorm. Gotta start yanking these ocean storms to the left. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, RDRY said: The 0z Euro didn't even have a storm on the 23rd. Is the one on 12z the same weak system that precludes the inland runner on 0z? Yes. 12z partially phased northern and southern streams which allows 1/23 to go nuts. We’d need a perfect thread the needle to get hit here….CNE/NNE get it on this run…they have a little more wiggle room but there’s still a risk of a stronger phase which would make it more of a pure cutter. But regardless, it allows us to reset the baroclinic zone further south for the next system so there’s some utility with 1/23 even if the system itself isn’t very snowy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: I was telling Nick the same thing...but a man can hope. We are due for a run and maybe this is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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