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January 2023 Obs/Discussion


Torch Tiger
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GFS still phasing the NS with the ULL for the day 5-7 system. Rest of guidance says the NS races ahead. Even 18z icon trended that way. So wouldn’t be shocked if GFS caves soon. Having the NS race ahead and keeping good spacing with southern vort could turn it into a hit for you guys especially just inland (like euro) GFS solution gives it no shot right now because of that full phase and no confluence out ahead

289baa5c1f048eb043fb99c8c01c1749.jpg
ffea772cf9627f5edc9fb3514114b75c.jpg


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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, that run is worse for my area.

Won’t lie it looked funky and the ULL stuff looked too robust back in BTV’s NY zones.

RGEM had your NE MA SWFE jack.  Climo in these is usually south and east of up here.  Best snows are usually immediately north of that mix line in SWFE.

94283EDB-ED6F-48E5-AC34-65E33F4412D8.thumb.png.7eca48c481995c96b8f60a7b0ce85fd7.png

 

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6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Won’t lie it looked funky and the ULL stuff looked too robust back in BTV’s NY zones.

RGEM had your NE MA SWFE jack.  Climo in these is usually south and east of up here.  Best snows are usually immediately north of that mix line in SWFE.

94283EDB-ED6F-48E5-AC34-65E33F4412D8.thumb.png.7eca48c481995c96b8f60a7b0ce85fd7.png

 

I don't expect to jackpot, but hopefully better than GFS.

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