TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That map doesn’t have ptype on it. It doesn’t make much of a difference though. It’s rain for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That map doesn’t have ptype on it. I don't need it. Trust me, its rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't need it. Trust me, its rain. Yup, it is. It’s honestly not worth the hand wringing at this point trying to cultivate a path for some winter weather out of garbage system after garbage system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 It’s def snow on that panel…but yeah, I get not getting invested in a day 8 OP run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s def snow on that panel…but yeah, I get not getting invested in a day 8 OP run. I thought the 534 thickness line would be snow line...not that it matters... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I thought the 534 thickness line would be snow line...not that it matters... 540 generally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s def snow on that panel…but yeah, I get not getting invested in a day 8 OP run. Well, NARCAN depicts some issues for SNE...maybe a dryslot? Don't care to analyze...regardless, it's not much snow for SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 6 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: That map doesn’t have ptype on it. You know it's bad when he doesn't catch that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Dec and Jan fully lost now. Only 1 month left 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 6Z GFS looking slightly better for the 23rd looking a little like the ICON. It also has something later in the week as well, ask me next Wednesday if I think it's credible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Dec and Jan fully lost now. Only 1 month left Looks like we can punt the rest of the month. Absolutely abysmal. Can't even get a cold shot. Friday looking more like a mix, probably rain with our luckSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dec and Jan fully lost now. Only 1 month left Morch incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, NARCAN depicts some issues for SNE...maybe a dryslot? Don't care to analyze...regardless, it's not much snow for SNE. If that 8.2 in Bos is all from that system I would happily take that in the type of winter we’re having. I think most would agree too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 21 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Morch incoming? It’s just gotten so old. Model showing favorable conditions for snow and each time it falls apart . This next so called pattern change looks to favor primarily NNE. From about C or SC VT/ NH south is going to be a struggle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 May as well enjoy the inch that fell last night and the moderate snow coming down at the moment. It's all the winter we've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Unreadable this morning I will say looks like a gradient may set up over SNE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dec and Jan fully lost now. Only 1 month left You forgot Nov… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Unreadable this morning I will say looks like a gradient may set up over SNE Unreadable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Unreadable High pressure in a good spot currently on the ecmwf and gfs models I just peaked at . I don’t dislike that look for Friday . But areas near NH/MA line will have a better shot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: High pressure in a very good spot currently on the ecmwf and gfs models I just peaked at . I don’t dislike that look for Friday Sure because you’ll Dilf your way to Brokeback to find the snow up north . So of course you like it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Big big April incoming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 Ensembles look good as get towards end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: High pressure in a good spot currently on the ecmwf and gfs models I just peaked at . I don’t dislike that look for Friday Airmass is crappy in front of it, but yeah verbatim the euro has the freezing line extending into N MA for a good chunk of precip. I'm not expecting a whole lot, but worth watching the runs today for SNH, esp elevated areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 14 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ensembles look good as get towards end of the month. Folks, take note. Bob isn’t some snow weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 16 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ensembles look good as get towards end of the month. Yup. Stay the course. Fade omega and the geese. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: High pressure in a good spot currently on the ecmwf and gfs models I just peaked at . I don’t dislike that look for Friday . But areas near NH/MA line will have a better shot For Thurs/Fri, I believe down to the southern Berks is very much in this one. Another case of a weak cold tuck that is displaced west and most pronounced well inland. This aspect will probably surprise to the cold-side. At the same time I could see ORH east having p-type issues until way end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 29 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Unreadable this morning I will say looks like a gradient may set up over SNE I was thinking the same thing. Weren't parts of 07-08 like this, with NH getting constant 6-12, but SNE getting screwed a few times? I feel cautiously optimistic, though that is a dangerous state of mind this year. I've noticed WPC has been pretty steady in showing a moderate chance of snow up here Thursday-Friday, and GYX seem reasonably confident for a plowable mostly snow storm. I know we are right on the edge, but it can be a very good set-up for us sometimes. Also this comment from the overnight GYX AFD: Overall, at 500 MB, the pattern across NOAM begins to show signs of something closer to +PNA than we have seen lately by the end of the week, and even perhaps a -NAO toward Day 7-8, but this is low confidence at this point. Also, some signs of colder air moving equatorward out of the Arctic, but how much of that makes in into New England remains to be seen. Although the trend is for closer to normal temps, 850 MB temps still stay mostly several degrees C above normal based on SPC RAOB climatology for GYX. As far as precip goes, fairly dynamic, but fast moving 500 Mb closed low looks to bring the best chance of widespread precip Thu-Fri. And this comment from Legro yesterday afternoon: Wed high pressure builds towards the area as another area of low pressure ejects from the Plains and moves towards the Northeast. As things stand right now the pattern is supportive of a more inland track. However the pattern is also supportive of holding the low level cold air via damming. So for the time being I have hedged cooler at the surface while allowing for some mixing with warmer temps aloft. The set up is fairly reminiscent of many of our snow to sleet events that follow with a dry slot and drizzle. That pattern looks to remain in place into next week...and so we could have a few more chances for snow in the next 7 to 10 days...along with some risk for mixing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 40 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Unreadable this morning I will say looks like a gradient may set up over SNE Gradient has been looking likely in the means with several systems running the same zones. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sure because you’ll Dilf your way to Brokeback to find the snow up north . So of course you like it jelly? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That has it nailed, no doubt...982 over BM at peak climo with all rain. If that isn't this winter quite plausibly related to CC, then I'm not sure what is. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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