dmcginvt Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 6:54 AM, Ginx snewx said: This is a riot glad you enjoyed it, fookin hell we need snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 I have been hearing this is similar to a strong el nino pattern...which I get due to the overwhelming and mild Pacific jet, but its actually worse IMO....because at least in a super el nino, any modicum or cold that we get doesn't dump west and bleed east in modified fashion over a 10 day period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have been hearing this is similar to a strong el nino pattern...which I get due to the overwhelming and mild Pacific jet, but its actually worse IMO....because at least in a super el nino, any modicum or cold that we get doesn't dump west and bleed east in modified fashion over a 10 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have been hearing this is similar to a strong el nino pattern...which I get due to the overwhelming and mild Pacific jet, but its actually worse IMO....because at least in a super el nino, any modicum or cold that we get doesn't dump west and bleed east in modified fashion over a 10 day period. It’s a amazing pattern for SNE cp Rain and by sheer dumb luck we should see some snow based on the pattern for next week ..we have a better shot of upper 40’s /low 50’s then accumulating snow W the Thursday deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Just goes to show, all the analogues don’t mean jack sometimes…chaos theory at its best/or worst. So maybe we all throw the towel in on 1/13….and call it a monster Rat. Worst ever perhaps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Hi I am from Vermont. I did live in Methuen for a while and have fam in N Andover, and the travails of your area do indeed suck, I do get a little sad when you dont think about our plight. We SHOULD have more snow than you and so often we dont. Think of the gifted when you talk about snow. It hurts our feelings when we dont get as much as you even though we ususally get soo much more. Think about how we feel. That's all I ask. I have about 3 inches of very wet snow right now, it's slush that's going to freeze into oblivion. Just feel our pain for a minute. fyi I had to google the use of travails and change the text of this statement TIL The stake is only at 18!!!!!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I wish this would go away Cooler spring, hot summer drought, winter rains…they’re persistent sob’s. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 31 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Just goes to show, all the analogues don’t mean jack sometimes…chaos theory at its best/or worst. So maybe we all throw the towel in on 1/13….and call it a monster Rat. Worst ever perhaps? Feels to me , It’s never been a Really good look inside 7 days for the CP . It was more up and in during December -December climo wasn’t very favorable near the coast and We had a SE ridge to deal with for a bit . now in January the good pattern hasn’t arrived (maybe it will ) . The pattern has looked like it may be real good many times at the 11-15 day range but it just hasn’t kept that look inside the 5 day mark for the CP . So to me ...our results sort of make sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Feels to me , It’s never been a Really good look inside 7 days for the CP . It was more up and in during December -December climo wasn’t very favorable near the coast and We had a SE ridge to deal with for a bit . now in January the good pattern hasn’t arrived (maybe it will ) . The pattern has looked like it may be real good many times at the 11-15 day range but it just hasn’t kept that look inside the 5 day mark for the CP . So to me ...our results sort of make sense I agree with most of this, but that was a very bad break when we failed with that block. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Feels to me , It’s never been a Really good look inside 7 days for the CP . It was more up and in during December -December climo wasn’t very favorable near the coast and We had a SE ridge to deal with for a bit . now in January the good pattern hasn’t arrived (maybe it will ) . The pattern has looked like it may be real good many times at the 11-15 day range but it just hasn’t kept that look inside the 5 day mark for the CP . So to me ...our results sort of make sense I think it’s pretty much do or die time by roughly 1/25 on the pattern. We need to catch a break and put up a crooked number on the scoreboard by the end of the month or we’re not recovering to a respectable seasonal number. It would’ve awesome to steal a few inches this weekend and then steal a low end warning event next Thursday but there’s a decent chance both don’t pan out which leaves the clock ticking…we are down the final week of January…and while the pattern looks pretty good, you can easily still miss. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 ICON with a decent snow event along Rt 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: ICON with a decent snow event along Rt 2 You def have a burgeoning ICON fetish lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You def have a burgeoning ICON fetish lol Nah. Just placating a model one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Canadian is a nice bit next Friday from the pike north through the mountains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Noah’s arc for gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Noah’s arc for gfs Season of cutters. No end in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 If this doesn't work, just: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 GFS OP seems to be signaling SWFE potential. Verbatim a lot of rain in the south but some of SNE could do ok-as in much better than the past month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Wow....EURO really squashes that event next Friday and pounds my area. Much stronger confluence.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Something like this is loooong overdue. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 GEM and EURO lock in step....EURO hair further north. Plenty of time for this to go back to shit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEM and EURO lock in step....EURO hair further north. Plenty of time for this to go back to shit. I feel like that event is a tease for SNE and it will end up north….but as you said, we’re kind of due for one to break right, even if only for part of SNE. But that one has a marginal setup/airmass so I’m not getting too invested. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Something like this is loooong overdue. A Pit2 weekend might be in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 iIt is an absolute skating rink with freezing drizzle . I had to cut my run at 4 miles. Could not even get down the hill . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: iIt is an absolute skating rink with freezing drizzle . I had to cut my run at 4 miles. Could not even get down the hill . Sounds like Damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sounds like Damage I was not expecting ice when I went outside . There’s a mix freezing drizzle and snow . My first few steps I’m lucky I didn’t go down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 There should be a winter weather advisory out for some areas . I’m not sure If there is but we see this sneaky situ on 93 in NH often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Yeah mix of of light sleet and snow out there now. Hrrr was too wild, but some precip is materilizing this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Yeah mix of of light sleet and snow out there now. Hrrr was too wild, but some precip is materilizing this morning. This was not mentioned in any forecasts in CT last night . Maybe up there they had it , but it’s just a steady freezing drizzle at 27.6. My shirt was completely iced over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This was not mentioned in any forecasts in CT last night . Maybe up there they had it , but it’s just a steady freezing drizzle at 27.6. My shirt was completely iced over Some of the high res models hinted at it, hrrr was most bullish. Not sure about official forecasts, but they probably didn't have much anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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