Modfan2 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, Heisy said: Early on but NAM looks improved for weekend event. . This weekend, next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: This weekend, next weekend? This weekend....storm that crushed the Cape/SE MA on the 06z Euro 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 6z Euro got alot of precip into eastern areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 6z EPS shifted west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Re the weekend folks should be aware of this indirect /possible factorization 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 6z EPS shifted west Of what? Bermuda? lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Re the weekend folks should be aware of this indirect /possible factorization Interesting, looks like the Nao is going from positive to neutral. I’d like to see that more negative but storm threats do happen more often when the teleconnections are transitioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 6z EPS shifted west West ticks seem probable given strong SE Canada ridging If the trough axis wasn't so far east this probably would've been a good storm for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3-6” River east this Sunday. We can always adjust up as necessary. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 The SEMA into RI folks may end up rejoicing from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: 3-6” River east this Sunday. We can always adjust up as necessary. Kevin, is that you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 nam has some decent cape rain changing to snow moving in during Sunday pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Kind of a disjointed mess, but NAM did go west. Would like to see the others join. It sort of occludes and loses some cold air, but lower levels are good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: The SEMA into RI folks may end up rejoicing from this. Maybe it will jackpot Taunton lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Maybe Brett can cancel trip to Cranmore and go to Blue Hill? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Maybe it will jackpot Taunton lol Maybe the 6 weeks of whining will pay dividends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, George001 said: Interesting, looks like the Nao is going from positive to neutral. I’d like to see that more negative but storm threats do happen more often when the teleconnections are transitioning. Correct, it is important when evaluating to keep in mind that the magnitude scalar value of total change, is less important than the occurrence change blah blah But this weekend’s more recent emergence in the runs may not be triggered by that NAO … it’s really more a situation of getting caught by it. The ocean cyclone’s set into motion first … then the NAO dumps SDs, and in terms of what that means to the pattern … the.cyclone gets a retrograde momentum applied to it - That appears to be the larger scaled super synopsis. Not a major event. Probably bands rotating in with wet snow cat paws on the Cape with a stripe farther W maybe BOS to PVD and points E. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe Brett can cancel trip to Cranmore and go to Blue Hill? I texted my wife this exact thing this morning, we may not even have to drive more than 30cminutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: 3-6” River east this Sunday. We can always adjust up as necessary. you mean the Mystic River, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: The SEMA into RI folks may end up rejoicing from this. Definitely west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 an inch otg here...can we get some more ticks west for the weekend? not like I'd see it, but would be nice if at least all SNE gets in on some action... interesting look after next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Pleading the case to NOT start a new thread for this weekend. Call me superstitious, but the seasonal trend has been thread = step 1 in recipe to cancel any threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Definitely west Reggie has it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Reggie is a WSW for PYM to CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Someone here who has a better memory than me: when is the last time we have had a "last minute surprise" storm pop positively? Can't recall the lead time on last winter's blizzard. Beyond that, it is not as if we have a lot of recent history to work with given the relative downward trend in threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Reggie is a WSW for PYM to CC. Interesting trends thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reggie is a WSW for PYM to CC. Let back that in another 40-50 miles. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Let back that in another 40-50 miles. I won't argue haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Let back that in another 40-50 miles. We need to feed the wolf, back it 75-100. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 It's for symbolism perhaps ...but considering where this winter has been at least out side my doors here in Ayer, seeing it snowing at 28 F is a rare, precious come-by. Well formed small to mid sized dry aggregates, with a couple of degrees to spare no less. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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