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January 2023 Obs/Discussion


Torch Tiger
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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

 

There’s nothing anyone needs to be or should be looking at thru Monday except the EPS and GEFS. Until things actually start moving and the -PNA disappears... the hand wringing and staying up all night for OP runs and  another 10 days of warm rains just doesn’t seem prudent .

 

Problem isn't the PNA, it's the EPO.

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15-16 was the all time rat here with 27.7", 11-12 was able to get to 50, but that's still nearly 30" BN... last year was around 35" I believe, but 10-11, 12-13, 13-14, 14-15, 16-17 and 17-18 were right about avg or AN here anyway...the first three winters since moving up from Waterbury were pretty epic, near or above 90" for all 3...16-17 was my last AN snowfall at 90" here...

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3 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

An off hour OP run at 2weeks out? What A COMPLETE FOOL you really are.  That post shows your complete ignorance, and what you’re really doing.  You’re pathetic. 

Don't shoot the messenger. How well have the ensembles worked out so far this winter?

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Just now, kdxken said:

Don't shoot the messenger. How well have the ensembles worked out so far this winter?

Ensembles have showed a pattern change, a couple times, and the pattern changed a couple times Ken, we just couldn’t cash in. It’s been talked about, and It happens. So we’re in a ratter currently. Let’s see where we go from here.  

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6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ensembles have showed a pattern change, a couple times, and the pattern changed a couple times Ken, we just couldn’t cash in. It’s been talked about, and It happens. So we’re in a ratter currently. Let’s see where we go from here.  

We start seeing the model depicted cutters come under us starting with the 22nd/23rd system.  

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42 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ensembles have showed a pattern change, a couple times, and the pattern changed a couple times Ken, we just couldn’t cash in. It’s been talked about, and It happens. So we’re in a ratter currently. Let’s see where we go from here.  

woulda coulda shoulda

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