STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is what everyone imagines for weather around New Years ...in Raleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: This is what everyone imagines for weather around New Years ...in Raleigh Downright depressing . Lost all of Dec and now appears headed to first half of Jan. EPS still ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Downright depressing . Lost all of Dec and now appears headed to first half of Jan. EPS still ugly Another can kick to hr 360 for a better pac 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 The long range looks pretty good actually. I’m not sure why people are crying… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Just now, weathafella said: The long range looks pretty good actually. I’m not sure why people are crying… GEFS yes EPS no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 There is a nor’easter threat in the Jan 7th-9th timeframe. The pattern is not good, but it can snow in bad patterns. I don’t expect anything big until the pacific improves but a moderate 6-12 event? Yeah very possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS yes EPS no So why you humping the EPS now? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS yes EPS no Geps looks decent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Downright depressing . Lost all of Dec and now appears headed to first half of Jan. EPS still ugly It’s not pretty , but it’s peak climo so we can still score , the further north the easier . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So why you humping the EPS now? Faaaaar Northern Maine looks pretty good as They are getting in peak climo they really just need moisture And looks like they Will score plenty looks like decent gradient setting up in north central to Far northern Maine next 10 days . Good luck to SNE close to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Euro and EPS took a step toward GFS for 1/5-6. That one might be watchable. Esp for NNE but perhaps further south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS yes EPS no What’s wrong with eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Just now, weathafella said: What’s wrong with eps? EPS looked pretty bad in the D10-13 range. It got better at the very end. But there’s a ton of spread on the EPS (and the GEFS too) so it’s hard to take the LR too seriously at the moment. The tropical forcing seems to generally get more favorable as we go into January so hopefully that produces better outcomes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Faaaaar Northern Maine looks pretty good as They are getting in peak climo they really just need moisture And looks like they Will score plenty looks like decent gradient setting up in north central to Far northern Maine next 10 days . Good luck to SNE close to the coast Yes sir pickles…they’ll get theirs. Thanks for the info. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS looked pretty bad in the D10-13 range. It got better at the very end. But there’s a ton of spread on the EPS (and the GEFS too) so it’s hard to take the LR too seriously at the moment. The tropical forcing seems to generally get more favorable as we go into January so hopefully that produces better outcomes. Thank god…some reasonable talk. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 33 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Another can kick to hr 360 for a better pac 31 minutes ago, weathafella said: The long range looks pretty good actually. I’m not sure why people are crying… Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: What’s wrong with eps? Nothing at all It's doable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 I get some angst but the reality is +10 is not sustainable long term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Lol 360 hr snow mean for Brooklyn ny is less then a inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 360 hr snow mean for Brooklyn ny is less then a inch But why would you believe that…he isn’t. Just like if it was 30+ inches…nobody would believe that either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: But why would you believe that…he isn’t. Just like if it was 30+ inches…nobody would believe that either. Imo, it gives you an idea on how conducive the pattern is for snowfall. For example, it was never that high during the “great pattern” last week for sne and mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Imo, it gives you an idea on how conducive the pattern is for snowfall. For example, it was never that high during the “great pattern” last week for sne and mid Atlantic Eps had me at 12+ until about a week ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Imo, it gives you an idea on how conducive the pattern is for snowfall. For example, it was never that high during the “great pattern” last week for sne and mid Atlantic Ya …I don’t know? It’s 360 hrs out man. That’s very misleading in both directions imo. But believe what you want. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Eps had me at 12+ until about a week ago It was never that high at any point during December. Snow mean on this run is 2 for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Just now, Allsnow said: It was never that high at any point during December. Snow mean on this run is 2 for Boston. Again, it can be VERY misleading at a 15 day lead. A grain of salt for sure. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 hours ago, qg_omega said: It’s very stable and absolutely no reason to revert to +PNA/-EPO with the water temperate anomalies in the northern pacific 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Again, it can be VERY misleading at a 15 day lead. A grain of salt for sure. The amount of spread on these makes it somewhat useless to try and prognosticate on snowfall. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Again, it can be VERY misleading at a 15 day lead. A grain of salt for sure. It's not a 15 day lead. It's a mean snowfall from now through that timeframe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It was never that high at any point during December. Snow mean on this run is 2 for Boston. Oh it was that high. I didn’t look today. I agree it’s a good piece of guidance for the big picture 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The amount of spread on these makes it somewhat useless to try and prognosticate on snowfall. 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's not a 15 day lead. It's a mean snowfall from now through that timeframe. It’s not zero for a reason as their is some members showing potential at the end of the run. But for the first 200 hours it’s zero, which we can all agree matches up well with the pattern the next two weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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