jbenedet Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Really can’t ask for a better HP in Canada (can it get any better than that??) and that’s what worries me. There continues to be a surface high off the SE coast—or said differently: our Canadian high extends all the way to Bermuda . Winds are easterly throughout. Major run to run constant is east Canadian cold that wants to escape east rather than drain south (a +NAO red flag). Also tendency is for the Canadian high to retreat rather than anchor. The 12z GFS was probably best run in this regard, so far and yet still a warm outcome for most. The surface temps on the 12z GFS are bogus with Easterly/southeasterly winds ripping all the way up to York Maine, starting at precip onset0z Friday. Way too cold. This run would be an end to end soaker for the sea coast of NH. Imo, still very unfavorable odds for big snows outside of Winne on north line across NNE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 This sums up the Tenor here in the last few weeks, and quite possibly one of the top 5 live performances ever! https://youtu.be/Fz3S6cbP0Y8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, qg_omega said: After this weekend’s rain, we turn up the torch another notch to close out January But sure to are correct. Things are up in the air but have trended to have more of a change to colder weather here in the east. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think we’re prob skunked unless this gets a lot colder in the next cycle or two. I’m expecting it to tick back warmer inside of 84. Nothing to stop that continued north trend. Likely coming way north . Still 4-5 days of trending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing to stop that continued north trend. Likely coming way north . Still 4-5 days of trending I am still optimistic for after next week. I will not give up until March ( and I know everyone else feels the same, otherwise they wouldn't bother coming back on the forum each day ). The life of a Winter Weather enthusiast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think we’re prob skunked unless this gets a lot colder in the next cycle or two. I’m expecting it to tick back warmer inside of 84. So close though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 51 minutes ago, dryslot said: More of a over running SWFE look to it, Another big thump up here. GGEM and GFS generally held from 00z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 haven't been in the panic room yet, but I gotta say this is getting old hat really fast, nice looking sig, and as we close in, there's one mechanic or another that skunks us (at least SNE) out of at the least a plowable event... I was never a snowpack person, I'd be happy if we get a good storm, and it warms and melts, but we can't seem to manage that, and with me possibly being gone for maybe a month from mid January on, I may not see anything until late Feb... hoping for the best, preparing for nothing... I will say the lack of artic cold has been good as far as utility bills go, so plus there... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Bluebird day in North Conway. Off to Jackson for lunch. More snow needed. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 32 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: This sums up the Tenor here in the last few weeks, and quite possibly one of the top 5 live performances ever! https://youtu.be/Fz3S6cbP0Y8 We must have similar tastes according to YouTube. Two days ago I watched most of that concert. Great show and appropriate for our times. Screaming 80s.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, tavwtby said: haven't been in the panic room yet, but I gotta say this is getting old hat really fast, nice looking sig, and as we close in, there's one mechanic or another that skunks us (at least SNE) out of at the least a plowable event... I was never a snowpack person, I'd be happy if we get a good storm, and it warms and melts, but we can't seem to manage that, and with me possibly being gone for maybe a month from mid January on, I may not see anything until late Feb... hoping for the best, preparing for nothing... I will say the lack of artic cold has been good as far as utility bills go, so plus there... I'm ready to move on to the February discussion... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: I'm ready to move on to the February discussion... Get an early start on the flooding rain talk. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Two words nicely describe the Patriot prospects for today's 1pm match-up against the Bills: dead meat That's the forecast... Maybe they can pull off a "Dec 23, '97" bust 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 16 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Bluebird day in North Conway. Off to Jackson for lunch. More snow needed. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Great picture of you guys. What a day too. Enjoy. Maybe sled country can score end of the week….it’d be nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: GGEM and GFS generally held from 00z. Just keep some what of that look going forward the next day or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 So this is what living in the Mid Atlantic is like, interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 I hear you, I'm contemplating potting plants for the first planting, bet you spinach would grow with the weather we've been having, nape warms as I stand outside feeling like perpetual April here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: CMC looks interesting. that NS wave would help a lot with compressing heights Brooklyn, do we (meaning ski areas) want to see the wave over MN minored out? It seems that would reduce phasing and lead to more of an ICON solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 31 minutes ago, powderfreak said: GGEM and GFS generally held from 00z. Looks good for NNE. You thinking we see something similar to the mid Dec storm? Rain most of SNE, big snows NNE and the Berkshires. I’m thinking it’s going to be an elevation and NNE storm, with a low in Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So this is what living in the Mid Atlantic is like, interesting. Get use to it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So this is what living in the Mid Atlantic is like, interesting. Couldn't be anymore spot on.....brings back some rough memories of hardly any snow. Even when it did snow, it never stuck around for very long. The only year I remember was 96, even then it wasn't that great. 2003, I think? Was a good year too, but never stuck around for too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 7 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So this is what living in the Mid Atlantic is like, interesting. Yeah that’s basically been this winter. We’ve had Philly temps and this is what happens when you get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 10 minutes ago, JC-CT said: So this is what living in the Mid Atlantic is like, interesting. Except we can't pull off a decent derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Except we can't pull off a decent derecho. We just get our derechos in October instead of summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Except we can't pull off a decent derecho. Wiz says wait until May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 I thought 6z gfs actually looked better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 NYC has had 2 daily mins colder than my coldest temp this winter. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 With a high to the north and torched mid levels due to the low location I wonder if we will see a bigger area of sleet or ice rather than just rain se, snow nw. Maybe an ice to rain scenario in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 One thing about the 80's I remember was when it did snow often times there would remnants on the ground for weeks, even it didn't snow for that entire time. It wasn't always warm back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 Just now, George001 said: With a high to the north and torched mid levels due to the low location I wonder if we will see a bigger area of sleet or ice rather than just rain se, snow nw. Maybe an ice to rain scenario in SNE? Going to be precious little frozen anywhere if the warm trends continue unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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