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January 2023 Obs/Discussion


Torch Tiger
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1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Both models show a strong storm

 

 

 

I will continue to track this but this is not looking good. 

It’s Toast Ant.  

Ironically this Went to crap the same day(a Friday..And a week out), just 3 weeks later, like the last big threat did, on a Friday, the 16th of December(and that one was a week out too when it shit the bed).   Sensing a pattern here…

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8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Canadian made a hard turn towards the dung solutions tonight. Starts as snow in far NNE but then transitions to a flooding rainstorm for all 

So that's your call for a storm that is for next weekend. Ok... sounds like a smart call. I'm glad you gave us your hard wisdom. 

 

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1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So that's your call for a storm that is for next weekend. Ok... sounds like a smart call. I'm glad you gave us your hard wisdom. 

 

Things can change but at this point it’s a long shot.  As I said before, we have to reorient the NHEM before meaningful change.  Hopefully it happens.

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6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So that's your call for a storm that is for next weekend. Ok... sounds like a smart call. I'm glad you gave us your hard wisdom. 

 

My call is this isn’t going to be  particularly wintery for the majority of this forum.

We are lacking several key ingredients, including a fresh cold source.

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It’s Toast Ant.  
Ironically this Went to crap the same day(a Friday..And a week out), just 3 weeks later, like the last big threat did, on a Friday, the 16th of December(and that one was a week out too when it shit the bed).   Sensing a pattern here…

Yesterdays 12z euro and a few runs of other models before that were phasing tpv energy with the southern vort creating a strong 50/50. When That didn’t happen and the euro caved I knew this threat was toast….

All we can do is move on to the next one.


.
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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

My call is this isn’t going to be  particularly wintery for the majority of this forum.

We are lacking several key ingredients, including a fresh cold source.

Can you say that with 100% assurance? With a high pressure to the north...if that links up just right, well there is our source. It's it likely.. no.. but it's there a chance, sure. 

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25 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

It's so disappointing. I admit that the way this Winter has gone so far it bums me out. 

Time to take a long break. See you guys when there is something to actually track that includes Snow.

Qg and Torch Tiger. You guys win.

 

 

Participation trophies.

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