CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Wow big change. I’d like to see 00z show that too. Not sure if it’s just that a s/w is in a different spot downstream and keeps the PNA higher or what. It does at least help confirm the trough not digging into it the Baja. I do want to see the PV further south though. Not that we need arctic air but for confluence purposes would want to see that further south and not retreat north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 this could be a really nice period. lots of cold air available and very active with the baroclinic zone to the south 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow big change. I’d like to see 00z show that too. Not sure if it’s just that a s/w is in a different spot downstream and keeps the PNA higher or what. It does at least help confirm the trough not digging into it the Baja. I do want to see the PV further south though. Not that we need arctic air but for confluence purposes would want to see that further south and not retreat north. Seems like the EPO ridge is staying further east on the EPS and not retrograding back to WPO territory. It also stays quite poleward which helps. That sucker is way up into the east Siberian sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 3 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Edibles? Looks like much of the same.. except, maybe a sloppy few inches that get washed away Wednesday. Post 2/1 does look colder for a bit at least hopefully we can time out an actual snowstorm to go with it. Drunk on Sunday’s again after a squat workout? You get a gfs op run that has a cutter look for a few days and you’re shitting yourself. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Seems like the EPO ridge is staying further east on the EPS and not retrograding back to WPO territory. It also stays quite poleward which helps. That sucker is way up into the east Siberian sea Yep and big height changes out west. One of the reasons I was saying to Seymour snow why I felt better was the propensity of the SE ridge not to flex on the mean. I’m sure at times it may try, but we aren’t seeing those oranges and reds near the SE coast. Probably related to the EPO ridging being so poleward and also not that huge -PNA trough we saw in December. It’s sort of centered more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Drunk on Sunday’s again after a squat workout? You get a gfs op run that has a cutter look for a few days and you’re shitting yourself. That’s a pretty solid summary of my day actually. We get a good CT snowstorm in early February and we are naming it the runnawaywolf storm. Until then I’m cautious. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep and big height changes out west. One of the reasons I was saying to Seymour snow why I felt better was the propensity of the SE ridge not to flex on the mean. I’m sure at times it may try, but we aren’t seeing those oranges and reds near the SE coast. Probably related to the EPO ridging being so poleward and also not that huge -PNA trough we saw in December. It’s sort of centered more north. Yea. It looks like an overrunning west to east pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep and big height changes out west. One of the reasons I was saying to Seymour snow why I felt better was the propensity of the SE ridge not to flex on the mean. I’m sure at times it may try, but we aren’t seeing those oranges and reds near the SE coast. Probably related to the EPO ridging being so poleward and also not that huge -PNA trough we saw in December. It’s sort of centered more north. That’s my 5 day window, and hopefully more after that. Looks solid for now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 @ORH_wxman I haven’t looked at MJO stuff but I wonder if a s/w placement change sort of caused those abrupt changes? I’m on my phone and can’t really analyze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: @ORH_wxman I haven’t looked at MJO stuff but I wonder if a s/w placement change sort of caused those abrupt changes? I’m on my phone and can’t really analyze. I haven’t looked at any of the hovmoller charts but I know the gfs was being a lot more aggressive taking MJO into phase 4 on the RMM plot while EPS was killing the wave into the COD. So not sure if that is playing a role. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: @ORH_wxman I haven’t looked at MJO stuff but I wonder if a s/w placement change sort of caused those abrupt changes? I’m on my phone and can’t really analyze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Nothing but Miller A tracks. Razors-edge on p-type. Call them what you want - SWFE, inside runners, what-ever... Not a good way to run a winter. Many chances with each a different fingerprint. Tracking rapid-fire. Outcomes still TBD! Still time to salvage a 1/2 winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Complete trash GFS run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 20 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Nothing but Miller A tracks. Razors-edge on p-type. Call them what you want - SWFE, inside runners, what-ever... Not a good way to run a winter. Many chances with each a different fingerprint. Tracking rapid-fire. Outcomes still TBD! Still time to salvage a 1/2 winter. Some will cash in, but southern New England is not the place to be in this type of pattern. Central and Northern should do well in the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 18z Euro shifted a bit east with Thursdays system, That would be a thump of snow to some sleet/ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 18z Euro shifted a bit east with Thursdays system, That would be a thump of snow to some sleet/ice. Trifecta en route? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Trifecta en route? More work needed, It still flips to rain but track was better instead of it running the low inland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 23, 2023 Author Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Complete trash GFS run Looks like a normal winter. lol We've been very spoiled over the past 20-30 years 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: this could be a really nice period. lots of cold air available and very active with the baroclinic zone to the south Evergreen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Is there a way to ban certain phrases? If I hear "initial thump" , " wrap around at the end" "maybe a coating" "thread the needle" One more time I'm going to scream. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, kdxken said: Is there a way to ban certain phrases? If I hear "initial thump" , " wrap around at the end" "maybe a coating" "thread the needle" One more time I'm going to scream. Ken, you need a break pal. Take a break. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 8 minutes ago, kdxken said: Is there a way to ban certain phrases? If I hear "initial thump" , " wrap around at the end" "maybe a coating" "thread the needle" One more time I'm going to scream. I have a few more I’d like to add “can’t hate that look” “ day 11-15 looks good” “we’ll have chances” “cutter risk” 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I have a few more I’d like to add “can’t hate that look” “ day 11-15 looks good” “we’ll have chances” “cutter risk” Then take a BREAK. It’s a good thing. Check back on Wednesday lol. Yet you’re here complaining about phrases. Makes zero sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I have a few more I’d like to add “can’t hate that look” “ day 11-15 looks good” “we’ll have chances” “cutter risk” Excellent! Others are free to add their favorites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 We have a futility thread for the whining beotches. Take your whining there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ken, you need a break pal. Take a break. Your cousin stopped by last night. And even he was looking to get the hell out of SNE. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: Your cousin stopped by last night. And even he was looking to get the hell out of SNE. That’s the way it goes sometimes….nothing anybody can do. I’m heading way north Wednesday, so tell him to follow me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We have a futility thread for the whining beotches. Take your whining there. Enjoy the 15 hour ride to find enough snow to snowmobile. Epicosity indeed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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