Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 1:12 AM, DavisStraight said: Do you think the Wednesday storm has a chance of snow to the coast, it looks a little better on the models than Monday's system. Expand It probably would start as snow everywhere or at least a mix with that antecedent air mass… But how long that lasts would be briefest at the coast and longer in the interior. I don’t think that’s going to Miller B saved the day …there’s just too much mechanics turning N too early inland. That said a residual secondary low that’s having trouble getting going might prolong some ice for awhile from the deep interior southern New England and points north - just an option …unless the deep layer trough en masse evolves further east then we’ll talk about more secondary commitment 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Amazing lack of cold air this winter, one of the warmest on record 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 00z NAM trying desperately to get to an isothermal scenario. Has 0C sfc to 800 mb over Logan at 60 hrs yet keeps that all rain. In the words of count Rugen, “That must be the worst thing I’ve ever heard - how marvelous “ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 2:43 AM, qg_omega said: Amazing lack of cold air this winter, one of the warmest on record Expand NORTH WOODSTOCK, N.H. — Due in part to a plethora of 50 degree and rainy days, Mother Nature has put a damper on one of New Hampshire’s favorite winter attractions. Ice Castles New Hampshire announced on Tuesday they’ve pushed back their opening date due to unseasonably warm temperatures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 2:43 AM, qg_omega said: Amazing lack of cold air this winter, one of the warmest on record Expand It was pretty much predicted wasn't it? Most of the seasonal outlooks I read were calling for warm and below average snows. Sure, maybe a crank hobbyist or Joe bastardi called for cold and snow but most were going the warm route. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 3:37 AM, kdxken said: It was pretty much predicted wasn't it? Most of the seasonal outlooks I read were calling for warm and below average snows. Sure, maybe a crank hobbyist or Joe bastardi called for cold and snow but most were going the warm route. Expand Not THIS warm.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 3:32 AM, kdxken said: NORTH WOODSTOCK, N.H. — Due in part to a plethora of 50 degree and rainy days, Mother Nature has put a damper on one of New Hampshire’s favorite winter attractions. Ice Castles New Hampshire announced on Tuesday they’ve pushed back their opening date due to unseasonably warm temperatures. Expand I also heard the ski resorts are struggling in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 4:10 AM, MJO812 said: I also heard the ski resorts are struggling in New England Expand They won’t be for long. SNE and the rest of the east coast is a different story. This is gonna end up one of the worst winters all time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 5:08 AM, BombsAway1288 said: They won’t be for long. SNE and the rest of the east coast is a different story. This is gonna end up one of the worst winters all time Expand I still don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 5:52 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I still don't think so. Expand I hope you’re right and had faith too until the last few days with some bleak February posts popping up save for maybe the first 10 days of the month. I never count on March to deliver mainly because arctic cold is a lot tougher to reign in around here compared to Dec, Jan and Feb. It’s been the missing ingredient all season so I don’t expect it to really show up in March either at this point. Hopefully I’m wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 8:24 AM, BombsAway1288 said: I hope you’re right and had faith too until the last few days with some bleak February posts popping up save for maybe the first 10 days of the month. I never count on March to deliver mainly because arctic cold is a lot tougher to reign in around here compared to Dec, Jan and Feb. It’s been the missing ingredient all season so I don’t expect it to really show up in March either at this point. Hopefully I’m wrong Expand Yeah, to save this winter in SNE we need something to force all that cold in Siberia over here. It’s possible but based on past winters similar to this it’s a long shot. That damn western ridge is just too far west so everything wants to run inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Anyone have a link where I can see monthly temp departures from normal ranked by year? I want to see what HVN's record January departure is compared to its current +11.2 departure. Is it here? https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 It looks like the long range 6Z GFS may be sniffing the pattern change. It seems there's more cold air around. Too bad it's the long range GFS, but at least it's something to watch. I haven't had a chance to look at anything else from overnight yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 11:48 AM, BrianW said: Anyone have a link where I can see monthly temp departures from normal ranked by year? I want to see what HVN's record January departure is compared to its current +11.2 departure. Is it here? https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/ Expand This is through 1-20 on the rankings 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Missing a lot of data though on that dataset. 1978-2001 shows up as missing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Weenie run of the 06z GFS. That’s how to run a gradient pattern. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:31 PM, ORH_wxman said: Weenie run of the 06z GFS. That’s how to run a gradient pattern. Expand Let’s hope. Sitting the next week out for the most part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:36 PM, CoastalWx said: Let’s hope. Sitting the next week out for the most part. Expand Pretty huge week for CNE/NNE. At least it’s snowing again nearby even if we miss. Hopefully laying some goood pack down will help out a little bit after that. Still think 1/25 might be decent…esp over interior SNE. But I’d like to see even just a minor shift east to get better dynamics in here on the front end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:39 PM, ORH_wxman said: Pretty huge week for CNE/NNE. At least it’s snowing again nearby even if we miss. Hopefully laying some goood pack down will help out a little bit after that. Still think 1/25 might be decent…esp over interior SNE. But I’d like to see even just a minor shift east to get better dynamics in here on the front end. Expand Seems the front end is where to invest even up here, as if it runs inside the coast like WPC has it, we can dry slot to drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:41 PM, mahk_webstah said: Seems the front end is where to invest even up here, as if it runs inside the coast like WPC has it, we can dry slot to drizzle. Expand Yeah 1/25 is all about the WCB stuff. CCB/deformation on that will be way up in Ontario/Quebec 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Peaking through the shuttered blinds at a snow shower right now. could be the last flakes for a while here. C/NNE looks like a good spot to be though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:43 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah 1/25 is all about the WCB stuff. CCB/deformation on that will be way up in Ontario/Quebec Expand It is pretty juicy so could be a nice thump where a band sets up for a few hours. Really could be awesome up here by end of day Thursday with cold coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:48 PM, mahk_webstah said: It is pretty juicy so could be a nice thump where a band sets up for a few hours. Really could be awesome up here by end of day Thursday with cold coming. Expand Yep. It looks like an excellent next 5 days up there. If both of those systems pan out like expected, an impressive turnaround would be underway for some spots there in CNE when you combine with Thursday/yesterdays storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:39 PM, ORH_wxman said: Pretty huge week for CNE/NNE. At least it’s snowing again nearby even if we miss. Hopefully laying some goood pack down will help out a little bit after that. Still think 1/25 might be decent…esp over interior SNE. But I’d like to see even just a minor shift east to get better dynamics in here on the front end. Expand Even us in the in the Mid Atlantic portion of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Yesterday won’t melt much so coup easily be a pack of 15-20 by Thursday dark. And maybe a little bullet proofing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:39 PM, ORH_wxman said: Pretty huge week for CNE/NNE. At least it’s snowing again nearby even if we miss. Hopefully laying some goood pack down will help out a little bit after that. Still think 1/25 might be decent…esp over interior SNE. But I’d like to see even just a minor shift east to get better dynamics in here on the front end. Expand Definitely nice to have a better airmass ahead of it. Core is still across NNE but it's better than what we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Yup…we knew: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Holy Atmospheric river on the GFS. That's a shit ton of snow rain ice whatevah 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 11:48 AM, BrianW said: Anyone have a link where I can see monthly temp departures from normal ranked by year? I want to see what HVN's record January departure is compared to its current +11.2 departure. Is it here? https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/ Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 On 1/21/2023 at 12:48 PM, mahk_webstah said: It is pretty juicy so could be a nice thump where a band sets up for a few hours. Really could be awesome up here by end of day Thursday with cold coming. Expand Juicy? Dude it's 100% white grape fruit juice juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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