TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 https://twitter.com/MikeSliferWX/status/1616201733981589505?s=20&t=S5MP_-V1BNJTWJblcJNaxg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Looks like the NAM has come back to reality with regards to Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Looked at WPC and GYX for next two storms. Pretty enthusiastic. They project over 2”qpf and seems to be mostly snow here. Interior for CNE and SNE have a shot. These are coastal so messenger ticks on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 The Monday storm is going to be incredibly frustrating for snow lovers north & west of 495. Low pressure center forecast to track over ACK and its rain all the way into southwestern NH. Usually doing naked twister with the coastal front with that storm track here. But it seems not in winter of 2022-2023. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Looked at WPC and GYX for next two storms. Pretty enthusiastic. They project over 2”qpf and seems to be mostly snow here. Interior for CNE and SNE have a shot. These are coastal so messenger ticks on the table. Fairly narrow swath for monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I dunno... that 06z GFS was too close to an isothermal hammer over ORH to dismiss Monday's system. The heavier snow axis is likely ~ Capital district of easter NY up through the lower Greens/Whites, but I'd put a wild-card band between that axis and ~ ORH and wait it out through the weekend runs. That's like a single tick from being 6" of dense paste. Threading the needle 101 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fairly narrow swath for monday. Geez the heaviest swath goes literally from me to Brian to you. Have to see what the others depict. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Time for C/NNE to rake it in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I wouldn’t dismiss Monday for my area but I would lean against much snow here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 7 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: no changes We wonder if chickens and skiiers think this is the same ole same ole. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, TalcottWx said: https://twitter.com/MikeSliferWX/status/1616201733981589505?s=20&t=S5MP_-V1BNJTWJblcJNaxg Oil companies hoping to cash in with their self inflated rate hikes are pulling out their hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 17 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We wonder if chickens and skiiers think this is the same ole same ole. Gem snow, Cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We wonder if chickens and skiiers think this is the same ole same ole. Canadian ...clown out to 240 hrs hehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Gem snow, Cute. Once, just once I would like to see a GEM seven day snowfall projection work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We wonder if chickens and skiiers think this is the same ole same ole. We might be able to smell the snow from here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, Spanks45 said: We might be able to smell the snow from here? I can smell something… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 42 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fairly narrow swath for monday. Dark pink weenie right over the coop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Goodnight, winter 22-23. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Per. Sis. Tence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 57 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fairly narrow swath for monday. Need a shift for Monday. More optimistic about Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Feels like full on spring here. Bulbs coming up, lawns nice and green with dandelions, there are hundreds of worms flooded out all over driveways and roads this morning. Has to be some near record departures for January. DXR +12.5 HVN +11.1 GON +10.1 BDR +8.2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 EPS looked pretty decent for 1/25 at 06z...prob the coldest run I've seen yet on that one. Kind of a classic SWFE look but there's actually just enough cold around to give a good hit....some of them sort of morph it into a miller B but as of now, I am skeptical of that evolution. But a little more confluence and we could see it redevelop soon enough for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 24 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: We might be able to smell the snow from here? I smell something but it ain’t snow. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I guess if I want to see decent snow this year, I'll have to go up north, was thinking of snowmobiling one weekend so I'll be rooting for good snows up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS looked pretty decent for 1/25 at 06z...prob the coldest run I've seen yet on that one. Kind of a classic SWFE look but there's actually just enough cold around to give a good hit....some of them sort of morph it into a miller B but as of now, I am skeptical of that evolution. But a little more confluence and we could see it redevelop soon enough for that. Will, does that system make it up north(northern Maine)? Tentatively have plans to head up that morning, and wondering if we should give it another day or two, if it heads all the way up? I know it’s 5 days out still, just wondering if it gets up that far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 30 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Canadian ...clown out to 240 hrs hehe Eps shifting se for 1/25, the map just shows the gradient. The point stands, cne and nne in for a good stretch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Will, does that system make it up north(northern Maine)? Tentatively have plans to head up that morning, and wondering if we should give it another day or two, if it heads all the way up? I know it’s 5 days out still, just wondering if it gets up that far north? Yeah 1/25 gets up there...1/23 might miss them though...or at least the really heavy stuff. Tough call...something more like the GFS hits N ME on 1/23 but NAM and Euro are kind of scrapers for them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 43 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I can smell something… Shit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 My current view on the next two threats: Jan 23rd: Looks like garbage for SNE but CNE/NNE should get a nice swath of warning snows from that one...slight chance SNE can maybe get something as it exits...the best energy seems to trail the sfc low a bit, so maybe a changeover. But for now, I'd expect a shutout here. Jan 25th: Looks like SNE could actually get something from thus one...most guidance agrees on the northern stream moving ahead of the southern stream which creates an area of confluence prior to the storm arriving. The airmass is still pretty meh, but it's probably cold enough for a decent hit on the front end...esp northern half of SNE. Still some time on this one...it could trend either way. Trending to shit wouldn't surprise me, but given the confluence, there is some room to trend this even a little better almost into pseudo-Miller B. That would be the ideal scenario....even if low probability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Eps shifting se for 1/25, the map just shows the gradient. The point stands, cne and nne in for a good stretch. Point accepted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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