Snowcrazed71 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 29 minutes ago, qg_omega said: its cold behind a cutter....the trough will re-establish on the west coast. No signs to suggest FEB will be anything but well above normal. That's okay. We always have next year. I not really too worried because we'll have snow at some point. As much as I absolutely love the winter and snow, does not dictate life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 ITTTE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like I have kept an open mind to the possibility that nothing will happen. I was almost speaking to the straw man ... in the off chance that there are those not clear on the concept LOL I'm half out the door - admittedly ... if prematurely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I was almost speaking to the straw man ... in the off chance that there are those not clear on the concept LOL I'm half out the door - admittedly ... if prematurely. Ya it’s premature(certainly for me), but it’s over I believe. Just one of those years. Can’t get a thing going here. Very disappointing to say the least. But If it’s gonna Rat, let’s make it an epic one…and stay well under 10” here. I think we can do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Wah happened? Seems like just yesterday folks were roasting geese and singing songs of mayhem. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya it’s premature(certainly for me), but it’s over I believe. Just one of those years. Can’t get a thing going here. Very disappointing to say the least. But If it’s gonna Rat, let’s make it an epic one…and stay well under 10” here. I think we can do that. Just need that girl, the real reason I even came to this party of dead-beats ... to grab my attention before I'm out of reach and pull me back in. Like that end seen in Something About Marry ..ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Wah happened? Seems like just yesterday folks were roasting geese and singing songs of mayhem. The golden geese laid nothing but turds apparently. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: Wah happened? Seems like just yesterday folks were roasting geese and singing songs of mayhem. People getting overly invested in crappy setups (1/23 and 1/25) Nothing beyond that has changed. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: Wah happened? Seems like just yesterday folks were roasting geese and singing songs of mayhem. Belly numbs and ball spikes while down 35-3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Just need that girl, the real reason I even came to this party of dead-beats ... to grab my attention before I'm out of reach and pull me back in. Like that end seen in Something About Marry ..ha Huh? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I wouldn't sleep on Monday in the northern parts of SNE: Still a considerable amount of uncertainty in the exact track and how quickly the storm moves through the region. This is still evident via the spread of MSLP low locations per the GEPS/GEFS/EPS guidance. If the storm tracks a bit more inland it would result in a higher wind risk and less accumulating snow, whereas a track a bit further offshore would bring more accumulating snow and lower the wind risk. At this point given the spread am not certain on where to hedge the forecast. Will note that probabilities of 1+ inches of snow continue to increase across the higher terrain from run to run per the NBM. At this point have roughly 20-80 percent chances of 1+ inches of snow and 10-50 percent chances of 4+ inches of snow, again across the higher terrain. Generally have stuck with the NBM at this point in time. However, given the deep low and its track do think that there is a good shot to tap into strong and perhaps damaging wind gusts. Ensemble SATA tables show roughly 1-2 STD above model climatology for winds later on Sunday through Monday. Could perhaps see a 30-70+ kt S/SSE low level jet as the low is lifting through early/mid Monday. The track will be key because if the storm moves more offshore this jet also pushes offshore. At this point am more confident in the strong winds with the W to NW flow in wake of the system where we could see 30- 50+ kt winds in place. Should not be difficult to mix this down with the colder air advecting in. Given the setup did opt to bump up wind speeds/gusts toward the NBM90th percentile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Regarding the 1978 storm, it was a biggie... but nothing like 2 weeks later. Interestingly, it had almost all melted in my area (Foxboro) by the time Feb 6 came 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 52 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 2.9" here.. worst season ever was 16" for me.. We’ll make a run at single digits until some rogue early spring storm ruins it and ruins spring activities. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Regarding the 1978 storm, it was a biggie... but nothing like 2 weeks later. Interestingly, it had almost all melted in my area (Foxboro) by the time Feb 6 came I love the historical look backs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Regarding the 1978 storm, it was a biggie... but nothing like 2 weeks later. Interestingly, it had almost all melted in my area (Foxboro) by the time Feb 6 came I think that January storm had thunder snow. I was in fourth grade living in Cambridge. Yes, it did melt before the blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I think that January storm had thunder snow. I was in fourth grade living in Cambridge. Yes, it did melt before the blizzard. Maybe... I don't recall that but I distinctly recall Feb 6 having thunder. First memory of thundersnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 My wunderground has bumped up these 3 coming storms...about 7.5 tonight/tomorrow, and 7 each for Sunday night and Wednesday. Must be some trend that is good for us here, but not yet good for most ya'll. Also, WPC's updated map looks a little better for many of us, with the low on the RI coast and a secondary at the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 2.9" here.. worst season ever was 16" for me.. 1.5 here Lowest was 3.5 in 97/98. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 24 minutes ago, kdxken said: Wah happened? Seems like just yesterday folks were roasting geese and singing songs of mayhem. I think they're giving up to early based on current modeling, wait a week and I bet things look much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I think that January storm had thunder snow. I was in fourth grade living in Cambridge. Yes, it did melt before the blizzard. They still had like 4” of snow depth from the first storm prior to blizzard of 78 hitting at Logan airport. I’d be surprised if Cambridge had nothing. ORH still had 11” of pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: My wunderground has bumped up these 3 coming storms...about 7.5 tonight/tomorrow, and 7 each for Sunday night and Wednesday. Must be some trend that is good for us here, but not yet good for most ya'll. Also, WPC's updated map looks a little better for many of us, with the low on the RI coast and a secondary at the BM and Thurs morn 996 just along or off PSM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: They still had like 4” of snow depth from the first storm prior to blizzard of 78 hitting at Logan airport. I’d be surprised if Cambridge had nothing. ORH still had 11” of pack. You’re a machine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: 1.5 here Lowest was 3.5 in 97/98. Where are you again? Even BDR has never had 3.5” in a season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 If its any consolation, The 12z GEFS looks nothing like the Op model at the surface. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I think it’s a full blown of Rat. I think I’ll be heading up to northern Maine middle of next week…they’ll be buried. I’ll get my fill up there. Nothing happening here. Where’s the nice look we’ve been seeing? Does it set in after the 26th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, dryslot said: If its any consolation, The 12z GEFS looks nothing like the Op model at the surface. well certainly consolation and hope for us. Brian's at work, Gene's doin whatever...just you and me keeping hope alive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 57 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The longevity of the pattern change can be debated, but lets not pretend it's not a pattern change. I actually agree February is probably going to revert back to typical Feb Nina climo....but ignoring the fundamental shift in the NHEM pattern at least for a while post-1/25 isn't being honest. Folks out west are thanking the pattern change so they can take a break from the snow onslaught but hey, no changes. Now, BY snow results is a different discussion so even when it becomes favorable for the coastal plain, individual threats may not produce and thus it would give the idea that nothing changed. I get it, we want results so until weenies are tickling themselves under feet of snow, nothing changed. Curious if NNE over the next 10 days will think nothing has changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 26 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I can't t wait till January 19th 2023 is added to their list...hopefully in 2024!!!... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: well certainly consolation and hope for us. Brian's at work, Gene's doin whatever...just you and me keeping hope alive. Even with it being a marginal airmass, Its still showed some front end snow even with the just inland track before the winds turned SSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now