Spanks45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That one was run out of my basement….GGEM has to be the best model for phantom weenie snow This season, every model that had a snowy run ended up being wrong. Euro, GFS, and the CMC have all had snowy looks from time to time. But the rainiest model almost always verified. Tenure of the season I guess...CMC isn't great down here, but it would quadruple our current season total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 That day 8-10 event will be interesting. We’ll see if euro starts showing the NS race ahead like GFS/CMC do today. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: This season, every model that had a snowy run ended up being wrong. Euro, GFS, and the CMC have all had snowy looks. But the rainest model almost always verified. Tenure of the season I guess, it isn't great down here, but it would quadruple our current season total. Tenor of the season, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: This season, every model that had a snowy run ended up being wrong. Euro, GFS, and the CMC have all had snowy looks from time to time. But the rainiest model almost always verified. Tenure of the season I guess...CMC isn't great down here, but it would quadruple our current season total. Well maybe just maybe one of these will finally come true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Oh my. We salivate. Oh Canada! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tenor of the season, too. This winter though...covid running through the family as we speak, now one of my kids just tested positive for the flu, definitely only this winter. Sheesh, ready for the spring.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: This season, every model that had a snowy run ended up being wrong. Euro, GFS, and the CMC have all had snowy looks from time to time. But the rainiest model almost always verified. Tenure of the season I guess...CMC isn't great down here, but it would quadruple our current season total. I’ll take my 15” and run and Won’t ask questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 That one was run out of my basement….GGEM has to be the best model for phantom weenie snow How about all the models caving to the GFS with phasing the day Day 4-6 wave. Crazy. See if euro does it at 12z as well.For us down in Philly we need a faster NS, but I really like the setup day 9 suddenly, long way out though obviously. You can see the GFS/CMC races the NS out ahead of the main vort with different degrees of strength and placement.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’ll take my 15” and run and Won’t ask questions. Absolutely...there is some cold around too, so maybe it would stick around long enough to enjoy it for longer than 12 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: How about all the models caving to the GFS with phasing the day Day 4-6 wave. Crazy. See if euro does it at 12z as well. For us down in Philly we need a faster NS, but I really like the setup day 9 suddenly, long way out though obviously. You can see the GFS/CMC races the NS out ahead of the main vort with different degrees of strength and placement. . I adore the set up day 50. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think its totally possible....other than that, this is 2001-2002-lite. It’s actually much worse. 2001-02 had dry warm days in abundance until mid spring when it got cold. This year we’ve had many useless dank days not warm enough to really enjoy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s actually much worse. 2001-02 had dry warm days in abundance until mid spring when it got cold. This year we’ve had many useless dank days not warm enough to really enjoy. Well, it depends on perspective....obviously 2001 was worse form a winter pattern standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 We gradient. Nice look for some to cash in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/mainly-rain-likely-thursday-into-early.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That one was run out of my basement….GGEM has to be the best model for phantom weenie snow Lock it! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Ukie looks like a big hit for the berks into CNE at 144hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tenor of the season, too. We hope this season hasn't been granted tenure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 9 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Ukie looks like a big hit for the berks into CNE at 144hr yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: yes please maybe Thursday-Friday is the tipping point to a snowier regime. Fingers crossed! By the way, is that the ideal path for the 850 low for us? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That has the H850 low a good 60 mi south of the NAM/EURO. Sell for now. NAM? That’s a D6 depiction. There’s actually an ongoing new thread for the Thursday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That has the H850 low a good 60 mi south of the NAM/EURO. Sell for now. How can you look a the NAM 850 low on something that is for the 23rd? This isn't the thread for Thursday Friday storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: NAM? That’s a D6 depiction. There’s actually an ongoing new thread for the Thursday system. UGH...my bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, mahk_webstah said: How can you look a the NAM 850 low on something that is for the 23rd? This isn't the thread for Thursday Friday storm. I'm an idiot. Disregard. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Somebody lose their Shiba? It is in my wood yard. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Somebody lose their Shiba? It is in my wood yard. Escaped from Ginxy's? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Escaped from Ginxy's? Fell off the Train? <duck and run> 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Winterwolf? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I thought we fixed this nonsense with the GFS and not saturating the lower levels? Sell the temps. Again. It's like whenever we update software around here and it blows away some local fix we had. It's almost like the GFS was updated and they forgot to carry over the code that fixed this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Euro gives love to methuen early on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Yeah... 10 days, 3 events... 30" piece of cake. Or piece of shit... depending - There isn't much difference timing-wise between the GGEM and GFS Otherwise, their respective 12z runs are almost identical. 10 days... 3 events... GFS has been succeeding all winter gashing hope in the heart for winter enthusiasts ... no need to elaborate there. GGEM has just enough more amplitude, and opts to align the storm track about 200 mile S or so. est.. Also, that second event has more N-stream phasing. The GFS bi-passes on that one and (what's new -) hurries the N/stream off the New England coast at ludicrous speed... Maybe that's right maybe that's wrong ? My guess is wrong, but whatever the result ...winter enthusiasts still get gashed again. Hard to knock such persistency. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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