HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 12:55 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Send it over to the Colorado River Basin. Expand Mammoth with another 60-80” incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 12:54 PM, CoastalWx said: At least he’s happy Expand He’ll be stressing over lack of rain after that first dry week in May. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:19 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Did the euro try for something next Friday in NNE? Expand More of a cutter, but tries for secondary development and gives a decent thump to NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Don't do it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 11:29 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: OWD with the 60 Expand Pope ftw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:20 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Mammoth with another 60-80” incoming Expand Yeah lots coming for Sierras, but doesn't help the Colorado Basin though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:25 PM, wx2fish said: More of a cutter, but tries for secondary development and gives a decent thump to NNE. Expand Thanks, cmc was a pretty robust snow event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:26 PM, dryslot said: Don't do it. Expand You’d think one of these eventually would break right for the mountains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:27 PM, Allsnow said: Pope ftw Expand Pope has been more right than wrong Sad to see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 OWD has a 2F warm bias so we toss. It's been brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:30 PM, CoastalWx said: OWD has a 2F warm bias so we toss. It's been brutal. Expand Still tickling 60F though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:30 PM, CoastalWx said: OWD has a 2F warm bias so we toss. It's been brutal. Expand They were at like 82% RH while everyone else was 90+. Tossed far. But I thought today always looked like a 60 flirter in the SE MA warm spots. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:35 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Still tickling 60F though. Expand It seems noticeable during the day. Back in December they were 34 with -SN when everyone around them was below 32, even Logan. 55-60 will do it for today and was expected. Not sure why people are surprised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:37 PM, CoastalWx said: It seems noticeable during the day. Back in December they were 34 with -SN when everyone around them was below 32, even Logan. 55-60 will do it for today and was expected. Not sure why people are surprised. Expand I think Pope and ginxy got into an argument about it....not sure where they were talking though....NH isn't seeing 60 but SE MA could. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:28 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah lots coming for Sierras, but doesn't help the Colorado Basin though. Expand Nope. Lots of water but in the wrong places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:39 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think Pope and ginxy got into an argument about it....not sure where they were talking though....NH isn't seeing 60 but SE MA could. Expand Some CT spots as well. edit - check that... maybe not now that I look closer NAM temps look like upper 50s-60 mostly near BHO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:21 PM, dendrite said: He’ll be stressing over lack of rain after that first dry week in May. Expand And posting a video of his hands rummaging through the top layer of soil… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:28 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Thanks, cmc was a pretty robust snow event Expand 1/19-20 is looking a bit better for NNE imho....there weren't as many solutions ripping the snow line well into Quebec....many kept NNE mostly snow, so we'll see if that trend continues today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 One intriguing thing about Sunday is that it could be longer duration. If that stuff backs in just enough, I could see it lingering for a bit. Still unsure what to make of it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:42 PM, CoastalWx said: One intriguing thing about Sunday is that it could be longer duration. If that stuff backs in just enough, I could see it lingering for a bit. Still unsure what to make of it. Expand we watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:41 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: And posting a video of his hands rummaging through the top layer of soil… Expand Maybe Kevin has that disturbing pic of him looking like Andy Dufresne from Shawshank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 That’s pretty impressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:42 PM, CoastalWx said: One intriguing thing about Sunday is that it could be longer duration. If that stuff backs in just enough, I could see it lingering for a bit. Still unsure what to make of it. Expand Yeah I'm not confident anyone gets a lot (as in more than 3 or 4 inches), but there is a small probability this busts in the positive direction if we sit a CCB/deform over some areas for 12-18 hours.....always tough when there is kind of a mature ULL, but there are areas of good fronto that try to get going, so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe Kevin has that disturbing pic of him looking like Andy Dufresne from Shawshank. Expand He replaced the family pics on the wall in the foyer with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:30 PM, MJO812 said: Pope has been more right than wrong Sad to see it Expand A special flock of baptized geese. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I'm not confident anyone gets a lot (as in more than 3 or 4 inches), but there is a small probability this busts in the positive direction if we sit a CCB/deform over some areas for 12-18 hours.....always tough when there is kind of a mature ULL, but there are areas of good fronto that try to get going, so we'll see. Expand That's what it looks like to me. Fronto band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:48 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A special flock of baptized geese. Expand The train derailed into the swamp, so we flocked together. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 HRRR pounding the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 1:57 PM, CoastalWx said: HRRR pounding the cape. Expand Looks like that may have backed into se Mass at some point too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 On 1/13/2023 at 12:35 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Great euro run at 6z for you guys out east. Expand Not that anyone asked but I'm on the fence with this early week thing. I have too many experiences in my decades as a troubled, too oft lovelorn partner of weather to allow much excitement for any "western fringe" phenomenon. That's the canvas I start with. But it's not just tainted by personal experience. There is verified examples. The Euro is not unprecedented for proven a west over-zealous solution. It duped NWS back in 2014 I think it was, with an intensifying hook and latter scenario. With just 36 hours preceding ... it puts out a model run backing 18" snow totals and 55 mph wind gust clear to EWR, sending them scrambling. Blizzard warnings, to cut-ins by the Mayor of NYC warning civility ... 1" of dust. It also has an attenuating amplitude bias, moving events from mid range into short term that is perhaps too subtle most of the time to even notice. But we're dealing with 10s of miles delineating not much to a band of light to moderate snow and/or sleety rain.. heh. It might make a difference at that scale of precision. The NAM? I've been telling this forum community that it's got a NW bias between 48 and 84 hours for years.. I did notice the 06Z GFS tickled back west a little more. It's a fair enough statement that there are examples of backing events, too. It seems they happen, but the western extent ? That specific handling aspect is like IVT snow bands in the mid range - seldom does that ever work out as modeled. It'll be interesting... As the adage goes, there's nothing else to feed the d-drip ( not an adage but it should be ).. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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