RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:18 PM, CoastalWx said: Yes I do actually. But I honestly cannot recall a setup like the NAM or even RGEM shows. Doesn't mean it's impossible, but there's probably a reason why. I can see why it has it, but maybe it's a bit embellished. We'll see what the GFS does. Expand Isn’t it basically a cutoff ULL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 What are some good analogs for the high end outcome for this threat? I have no idea what I’m looking at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:13 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Reggie looks pretty good here, maybe slightly toned down euro look, still probably warning snowfall Expand How’s it look for NNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:20 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Isn’t it basically a cutoff ULL? Expand It is, but the thermo profile given the low positions from the surface on up are really strange. But prior to these solutions, the cold was evaporating, so I get that part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:08 PM, ORH_wxman said: You just woke up James from his nap in his bed of feathers up above... Expand lol. As soon as I saw Ryan say "Gulf Stream" I thought of James rising like Lazarus. 2 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:22 PM, George001 said: What are some good analogs for the high end outcome for this threat? I have no idea what I’m looking at. Expand 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:19 PM, CoastalWx said: @SouthCoastMA Probably would be a paste job there should the meaty stuff arrive. Expand I'd take my chances with that look, even if I lose some of it to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 The H5 cut-off low is filling with Pacific air thanks to the raging PAC Jet. One reason why the solution seems so non-sensical, and why it looks like a warm occlusion. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:13 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Reggie looks pretty good here, maybe slightly toned down euro look, still probably warning snowfall Expand Nahhhh it can’t be….it’s close the shades time for the next 2.5-3 weeks, right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:06 PM, CT Rain said: Develops into a hybrid kind of system over the Gulf Stream with a bit of a warm core. Expand One of the models had a tropical look the other day. Maybe we can get a land falling Cat 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 MVY. The new snow capital of SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Gfs says no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:37 PM, WinterWolf said: Nahhhh it can’t be….it’s close the shades time for the next 2.5-3 weeks, right? Expand Could still be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:46 PM, MJO812 said: Gfs says no Expand Might be late to the party? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:46 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Could still be. Expand It could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:37 PM, WinterWolf said: Nahhhh it can’t be….it’s close the shades time for the next 2.5-3 weeks, right? Expand He’s mastered the art of punting and meh’ing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Looks like GFS nods to Euro with upper air. Heights ahead are tucked a bit west from 12z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He’s mastered the art of punting and meh’ing. Expand Holy smokes has he ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:48 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks like GFS nods to Euro with upper air. Heights ahead are tucked a bit west from 12z. Expand Ya I think the GFS is gonna cave… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:46 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Could still be. Expand Definitely precarious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:49 PM, WinterWolf said: Ya I think the GFS is gonna cave… Expand Still looks like dung compared to the others, along with the ICON. GFS/ICON alliance! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 9:50 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Definitely precarious. Expand It's a low probability solution at this point to impact us. No need to dive into it until we get more models on board. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 You could make the argument it looked like H5 would be a nod west, but again...very tricky setup. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Congrats Phil (Tropopause Fold) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Downeast Maine with an absolute paint peeler backing in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 WTF is going on lol. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Lots of sleet/freezing rain for eastern Maine of Goofus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 10:00 PM, CoastalWx said: WTF is going on lol. Expand ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 10:02 PM, WinterWolf said: ? Expand GFS doing weird things. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 If we could ever score a 3-6 incher…tell me it would not feel like we got 2 feet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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