dryslot Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 This why you don't do it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:48 PM, MJO812 said: Gfs isn't going to do it Expand Tragic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 It's close, wouldn't take much...but again these setups are difficult to work with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Fun to have a threat to dream about for 2 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:45 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that was the original cranberry bog storm, where you made that graphic lol I remember that I got like 5" of sand and flipped. Expand No the original cranberry bog storm was 12/31/08. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:53 PM, CoastalWx said: It's close, wouldn't take much...but again these setups are difficult to work with. Expand Its in the Norlun category, Which falls within the fraud 5 model...... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Congrats EMASS on the blizzard. All the spread is west on EPS 1 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:54 PM, ORH_wxman said: No the original cranberry bog storm was 12/31/08. Expand Oh right, I meant 12/31 lol. New Years Eve. Yeah he went postal after jacking a week earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Euro is prob on crack....I'd be a lot more intrigued if this was a few years ago when it was more dominant on east coast storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is prob on crack....I'd be a lot more intrigued if this was a few years ago when it was more dominant on east coast storms. Expand You know if the consensus had been for a deform band from here to ORH, then it would nail this westward correction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:57 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is prob on crack....I'd be a lot more intrigued if this was a few years ago when it was more dominant on east coast storms. Expand It does have a propensity to spend its nights with Ron Washington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 3:56 PM, Ginx snewx said: Congrats EMASS on the blizzard. All the spread is west on EPS Expand GL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Dr. Yes? Or Dr. Tease, followed by Dr. No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Canadian gets the Cape good, but a previous low developing on the front sort of prevents the baroclinic zone from backing up too much. Another way to limit retrogression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Now the Canadian stalls SE of the Cape lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Fatties falling. Any snow falling is a win this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Obviously low chance for this, but I think it’s definitely interesting. Probably the most interesting threat we’ve had so far this winter. I get there is a lot of “believe it when I see it” and guarding against a poor solution; but this could get the cape good without much movement currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Steady snow in Methuen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Really hate to do this but.. The JMA looked pretty amped 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:12 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Obviously low chance for this, but I think it’s definitely interesting. Probably the most interesting threat we’ve had so far this winter. I get there is a lot of “believe it when I see it” and guarding against a poor solution; but this could get the cape good without much movement currently Expand RGEM/EURO/NAM and to a lesser extent the CMC have the goods. GFS/Icon are whiffs or meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 32/30. -SN. .5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 I mean precip - how much...who knows? That's the hard part. But from a snow total forecast - BL temps will put a tight lid on this for Cape and Islands at least through Sunday Night. Looking at even the 12z CMC, which is nearly ideal track, ratios will be a significant inhibitor. If the stars align, Sunday night into Monday a.m. could get interesting out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:20 PM, SouthCoastMA said: RGEM/EURO/NAM and to a lesser extent the CMC have the goods. GFS/Icon are whiffs or meh Expand The euro was very amped at 6z, tough to discount it at this lead. Unless it’s truly garbage. Ensembles we’re also pretty good. This will be another euro vomit if it slinks away at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Heavy Band coming thru ASH temp rose from 29 to 31 in the last hour, good coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:27 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The euro was very amped at 6z, tough to discount it at this lead. Unless it’s truly garbage. Ensembles we’re also pretty good. This will be another euro vomit if it slinks away at 12z Expand Was just thinking that same thing…there was a time when if the Euro showed this at 3 days lead…take it to the bank. Now, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:27 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The euro was very amped at 6z, tough to discount it at this lead. Unless it’s truly garbage. Ensembles we’re also pretty good. This will be another euro vomit if it slinks away at 12z Expand Given 12z models so far, I can discount it lol. We still watch, but caution flags all over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Given 12z models so far, I can discount it lol. We still watch, but caution flags all over. Expand I'll give it a chance to double up at 12z, I'm about 50/50 on this being a meaningful event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Given 12z models so far, I can discount it lol. We still watch, but caution flags all over. Expand So the euro is basically a garbage model like the rest of them now. No weight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:39 PM, SouthCoastMA said: I'll give it a chance to double up at 12z, I'm about 50/50 on this being a meaningful event. Expand It’s close, that’s for sure. If not, you can pretty much punt the next two weeks in SNE at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/12/2023 at 4:19 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Really hate to do this but.. The JMA looked pretty amped Expand Desperate times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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