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January 2023 Obs/Discussion


Torch Tiger
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  On 1/7/2023 at 4:31 AM, George001 said:

ok if the Canadian and gfs are right then yeah rain makes sense. Can’t have a low running inland like that and snow, but there is still time for change.

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Again, surface track is meaningless when your warm above. Move it 250 miles east and the result is the same.

image.thumb.png.1f174a103dd2f28f62213cbb1bc41fc3.png

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  On 1/7/2023 at 4:46 AM, MJO812 said:

Both models show a strong storm

 

 

 

I will continue to track this but this is not looking good. 

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It’s Toast Ant.  

Ironically this Went to crap the same day(a Friday..And a week out), just 3 weeks later, like the last big threat did, on a Friday, the 16th of December(and that one was a week out too when it shit the bed).   Sensing a pattern here…

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  On 1/7/2023 at 5:00 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Canadian made a hard turn towards the dung solutions tonight. Starts as snow in far NNE but then transitions to a flooding rainstorm for all 

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So that's your call for a storm that is for next weekend. Ok... sounds like a smart call. I'm glad you gave us your hard wisdom. 

 

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  On 1/7/2023 at 5:10 AM, Snowcrazed71 said:

So that's your call for a storm that is for next weekend. Ok... sounds like a smart call. I'm glad you gave us your hard wisdom. 

 

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My call is this isn’t going to be  particularly wintery for the majority of this forum.

We are lacking several key ingredients, including a fresh cold source.

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  On 1/7/2023 at 4:55 AM, WinterWolf said:
It’s Toast Ant.  
Ironically this Went to crap the same day(a Friday..And a week out), just 3 weeks later, like the last big threat did, on a Friday, the 16th of December(and that one was a week out too when it shit the bed).   Sensing a pattern here…

Yesterdays 12z euro and a few runs of other models before that were phasing tpv energy with the southern vort creating a strong 50/50. When That didn’t happen and the euro caved I knew this threat was toast….

All we can do is move on to the next one.


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  On 1/7/2023 at 5:17 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

My call is this isn’t going to be  particularly wintery for the majority of this forum.

We are lacking several key ingredients, including a fresh cold source.

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Can you say that with 100% assurance? With a high pressure to the north...if that links up just right, well there is our source. It's it likely.. no.. but it's there a chance, sure. 

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