Lava Rock Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Some lt sn atmSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 1:52 AM, Lava Rock said: Some lt sn atm Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Expand Are you saying you’re snowing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Have to see what 00z does, but 18z eps/control caved towards 12z GFS/CMC with handling of day 5 wave and the tpv phase….could argue we might see the 00z euro come well N with long range system at 00z if that stays course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 1:54 AM, WinterWolf said: Are you saying you’re snowing? Woo-hoo! Legit coating Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 1:32 AM, WinterWolf said: Lol weren’t we just told a couple days ago that the PV is incredibly stable? Was that fake news? Expand It is currently stronger than normal but is expected to weaken a lot at the end of January on the latest weeklies run. For the 14th threat it looks like it will still be strong, but I’m not sure if it will be circular anymore or not. If it’s strong but elongated we can work with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 1:56 AM, Heisy said: Have to see what 00z does, but 18z eps/control caved towards 12z GFS/CMC with handling of day 5 wave and the tpv phase….could argue we might see the 00z euro come well N with long range system at 00z if that stays course . Expand Yea, 12z EPS looked better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:01 AM, George001 said: It is currently stronger than normal but is expected to weaken a lot at the end of January on the latest weeklies run. For the 14th threat it looks like it will still be strong, but I’m not sure if it will be circular anymore or not. If it’s strong but elongated we can work with that. Expand Ya I don’t know if I believe that voodoo. Believe it when you see it in 3-4 wks. I wouldn’t count on it. Very skeptical on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 3:44 AM, WinterWolf said: Ya I don’t know if I believe that voodoo. Believe it when you see it in 3-4 wks. I wouldn’t count on it. Very skeptical on that. Expand It's not at all voodoo, it's just that it's much more complicated than people realize and is often misdiagnosed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:09 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's not at all voodoo, it's just that it's much more complicated than people realize and is often misdiagnosed. Expand Voodoo in the sense that it’s forecast many times, and nothing(the warming doesn’t occur, or if it does it’s not enough to do much) happens. Then if it something does happen, sometimes it doesn’t affect our side of the globe. Lots of caveats with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Cmc is coming in way south for next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:26 AM, MJO812 said: Cmc is coming in way south for next weekend Expand Where was it at 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:26 AM, MJO812 said: Cmc is coming in way south for next weekend Expand Better than a cutter! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Well I’ll be jiggered! It’s snowing out and the ground is white! It can still snow in Vermont in January! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:28 AM, WinterWolf said: Where was it at 12z? Expand Cutting to Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:31 AM, George001 said: Cutting to Buffalo Expand Ahh thanks. Ya south is better. But that model is junk for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:33 AM, MJO812 said: Expand It’s rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:34 AM, qg_omega said: It’s rain Expand Better than 12z Shut up 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:34 AM, qg_omega said: It’s rain Expand 1030mb high to the north, low to the SE and it’s January, not buying those thermals verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:38 AM, George001 said: 1030mb high to the north, low to the SE and it’s January, not buying those thermals verbatim. Expand Buy them. Canada is very warm on this guidance. Reminds me of 12/24/94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:17 AM, WinterWolf said: Voodoo in the sense that it’s forecast many times, and nothing(the warming doesn’t occur, or if it does it’s not enough to do much) happens. Then if it something does happen, sometimes it doesn’t affect our side of the globe. Lots of caveats with it. Expand Right....the mainstream public's perception of it is what is voo doo. The science of it is legit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:40 AM, weathafella said: Buy them. Reminds me of 12/24/94. Expand CMC blows Jerry. Scooter already said the airmass is legit for the timeframe if it doesn’t cut or get cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:34 AM, MJO812 said: Better than 12z Shut up Expand Read him his rights…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:45 AM, WinterWolf said: CMC blows Jerry. Scooter already said the airmass is legit for the timeframe if it doesn’t cut or get cut off. Expand But the guidance does cut it off. Both gfs and cmc are similar. I’m commenting on the depiction and it is plausible. Some winters blow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:40 AM, weathafella said: Buy them. Canada is very warm on this guidance. Reminds me of 12/24/94. Expand Canada should not be that warm if there is a high to the north and it’s mid January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:47 AM, weathafella said: But the guidance does cut it off. Both gfs and cmc are similar. I’m commenting on the depiction and it is plausible. Some winters blow. Expand Ok. Didn’t look/think it was cut off. Ahh whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:47 AM, George001 said: Canada should not be that warm if there is a high to the north. Expand As we all know..it’s an OP run 200 plus hrs out..And it’s the CMC(which sucks). I’m not sweating the OP runs flipping and flopping. But I like the discussion. So I guess it’s certainly a possibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:49 AM, WinterWolf said: Ok. Didn’t look/think it was cut off. Ahh whatever. Expand Cold plunges south in the west after our short lived cold is gone. But it’s clown range so I’m not too concerned about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:54 AM, WinterWolf said: As we all know..it’s an OP run 200 plus hrs out..And it’s the CMC(which sucks). I’m not sweating the OP runs flipping and flopping. But I like the discussion. So I guess it’s certainly a possibility. Expand Look at the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 On 1/6/2023 at 4:54 AM, WinterWolf said: As we all know..it’s an OP run 200 plus hrs out..And it’s the CMC(which sucks). I’m not sweating the OP runs flipping and flopping. But I like the discussion. So I guess it’s certainly a possibility. Expand I do think the Canadian is useful but yeah an OP run this far out is going to flop around a lot. I wouldn’t be surprised if the next run the low is in Wisconsin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.png.e1f898d009b2415a204433df288e6f2a.png)
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now