UnitedWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 5 minutes ago, alex said: Some light snow now in Conway. The Notch definitely looked more wintry. Amazing ability to hold snow under the worst conditions. Weenieville Notch? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 @RUNNAWAYICEBERG Too much prune juice this morning ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 32 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Don't have ENS out that far yet but this look verbatim...given where we are in time frame...I'll take this all day. Favorable position of the ridge axis, trough digging into the southeast with shortwave energy about to round the base and go negatively tilted towards the Southeast coast. Can't ask for more than that. Who gives a **** what the SLP maps or snowfall maps show Agree. My money is still on this threat....like I said yesterday, if this one fails, then I'll admit that the season is in trouble. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: What time will the SE Ridge hit my house? On the third day… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Superstorm93 said: What time will the SE Ridge hit my house? Clown maps for clowns, produced by clowns. 240 hrs out. Now that's degree material right there. That's a sebastian maniscalco "Aren't you embarrassed??" moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: @RUNNAWAYICEBERG Too much prune juice this morning ? You died on 12/31 and yet, you’re still posting drunk. It’s a miracle. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Clown maps for clowns, produced by clowns. 240 hrs out. Now that's degree material right there. That's a sebastian maniscalco "Aren't you embarrassed??" moment. Really weird flex to admit that you don't use ensemble guidance at D9 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 It’s not a bad place to be… At this range you have something on the maps and that’s it – you don’t need anything else. You can’t ask for anything else. Or you can ask but you’re never going to get it As far as what the GFS is actually portraying … it seems it’s trying to do it all in the last couple of cycles based on the intermediate stream. Which closes off too soon trundles around and then lifts up the eastern seaboard while the mid level machinery is actually weakening. That’s why for the dullard uninspired solution. The previous “fun” runs had northern stream phasing, that has taken an absence in more recent cycles. However seeing the ensemble mean still having several members with pretty deep pressure anomalies between the Del Mar and Cape Cod and the spread being Northwest I think there’s probably still some members that have that phase. Just guessing. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 7 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Weenieville Notch? Lol. Crawford, but close enough. If I had the option the top part of the notch around Willey House would be perfect to build a home. Perfect combination of upslope and retention. Too bad it’s all National Forest lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said: Really weird flex to admit that you don't use ensemble guidance at D9 lol Digging a hole of stupidity. No help needed. Keep going. You're doing great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 I have to thank the pope for the airplane2 clip. Classic! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Wake me up on the 12th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wake me up on the 12th. May 12th? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, weatherwiz said: May 12th? Possibly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 When is the record date in the season for Boston to receive at least one inch of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Digging a hole of stupidity. No help needed. Keep going. You're doing great. So you admit you never use ensemble guidance? Just trying to clarify. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: When is the record date in the season for Boston to receive at least one inch of snow? Too late. BOS had an inch last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Boston has 0.9" I'll call it 1" LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 N/M 1" exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: Too late. BOS had an inch last month. To answer his question though....I think the latest was 2007 when it took until Feb 14th for the first event of an inch or more (cumulative first inch happened in January that year). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 BOS hasn't had a 1" event though yet....0.9" and a 0.1"....1.0 total, lol. They have a decent chance to get an inch tomorrow though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Too late. BOS had an inch last month. But single snowfall of 0.9" That 0.1" was from a squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: To answer his question though....I think the latest was 2007 when it took until Feb 14th for the first event of an inch or more (cumulative first inch happened in January that year). Still some late bloomers on the AWSSI (..though not great) https://mrcc.purdue.edu/research/awssi/indexAwssi.jsp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Pope causing quite a stir amongst the brethren. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Too late. BOS had an inch last month. Ahh.. As the late Gilda Radner would say, “Never Mind” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That 0.1" was from a squall. In Waterbury VT that is called a flake 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 This place should be renamed chaos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: In Waterbury VT that is called a flake It's analyzed, melted, and autopsy performed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's analyzed, melted, and autopsy performed. PH value and crystalline structures are recorded in the log book. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 54 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I don’t remember a great event that trended se from a cutter but I recall several big ones that trended nw from ots so yea I agree, I prefer this spot. The December 2020 noreaster started as a cutter to Wisconsin, shifted to a mid Atlantic special in the mid range, then trended like 500 miles NW in the short range and hammered CNE and NNE with blizzard conditions. Even SNE got hit pretty hard with about 12-15 inches in eastern mass, more to the NW. The interesting thing about that storm was it cut pretty far NW, giving Chicago a blizzard. However, it redeveloped and turned into a Miller B, bringing blizzard conditions to New England as well. I don’t really agree with the whole “once a cutter always a cutter” thing, yeah it’s tougher to trend se from a cutter than it is to trend nw from an offshore coastal, but sometimes midwest cutters turn into Miller Bs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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