jbenedet Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Temps/dews look above freezing across all guidance during the height of the clipper Friday, even up here in SE NH. Snow will fly but when dews are >33F you better have rates to see it add up, and for most of us that looks like an issue. ORH hills to Berks, monads, could be an exception. Really tough for rest of us I think. And then we hit 40 on Saturday, and whatever has “stuck” it’s gone, outside the aforementioned areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What do you we need south of 90 ? Is it marginal BL? Anything to look for on 12z meso runs today? Yeah I think you’re in the game for 1-2 anyways. Fluid is a good way to describe it for your area. Hopefully 12z continues the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I think you’re in the game for 1-2 anyways. Fluid is a good way to describe it for your area. Hopefully 12z continues the trend. We need to be fluid til it gets to 600 feet in Seymour lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What do you we need south of 90 ? Is it marginal BL? Anything to look for on 12z meso runs today? 06z nam bullish for Tolland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 28.6F. 0.12" overnight which greased up the driveway a bit. Maybe 1-3" tomorrow, but who cares since it'll melt next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 This is quite unstable. Pretty solid lift too into the DGZ (This is somewhere in Worcester county...I think. I just did the plot from the national sector so could be off a bit). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Herpes would even be nice here. Skeptical Dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 WSWs flying around? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can see why no one mentioned the models...everything for the 14th looks worse, which is all I, and most, care about. Not that it matters right now, but outta work with covid and was hoping for late night model cinema. Might want to look at EPS before you cry yourself to sleep. Feel better bro. I well know the stress you are under with baby 3 due soon. God bless Ray. Chin up bro this crap will break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Herpes went wild. Granted a lot of that can be reduced quite a bit because it’s not 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Might want to look at EPS before you cry yourself to sleep. Feel better bro. I well know the stress you are under with baby 3 due soon. God bless Ray. Chin up bro this crap will break. Yea, like I said in the post....I know OP runs over a week out don't matter. I just wanted a shot of dopamine before bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 20 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: 06z nam bullish for Tolland. The way this winter is going . I’m not going to believe that the rug won’t get pulled out until it’s snowing . MLK 2012 really scarred me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Herpes went wild. Granted a lot of that can be reduced quite a bit because it’s not 10:1. That would probably be a traffic disaster. Heavy band of snow sinking down route 3 during the evening commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 12z HRRR looks nice across N CT/ M and points north 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Might want to look at EPS before you cry yourself to sleep. Feel better bro. I well know the stress you are under with baby 3 due soon. God bless Ray. Chin up bro this crap will break. Eps is really good, slow moving Miller B. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z HRRR looks nice across N CT/ M and points north Yeah that run would make quite a few happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Not sure who’s said what since yesterday … but every ensemble system there is has lit up the 12-15th like an asteroid impact over the horizon at 3am. You could practically read by the intensity of the doom glow. Word choice for fun but more practical terms it’s actually an exceptionally coherent signal considering that still 8 to 10 days from now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Hrrr gone wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Yeah that run would make quite a few happy That’s solid advisory for N CT right up into most of MA and S NH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 That’s a paste job even here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 OK so obviously people’s attention is diverted to the near term …which that should be. I’m particularly interested in that system nearing the 13th or 14th more specifically because it’s quite impressively situated in the guidance and suggestive for quite some time considering there’s been very little or no Tele connector support for it - although I’m going to check last night it might’ve changed. Yesterday we surmised the models would probably begin to focus on either the 12th or the 14th as being the more likely - seems to be they’re choosing the latter. Little worried about wave spacing and so forth amongst other stuff lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 With that shortwave digging and tracking where it is, it's difficult to not see this overperform somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Kind of starts off iffy here but then goes to town as the low develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 This is quite impressive Deeply saturated and quite unstable with strong lift right into the DGZ. That would be some excellent snowgrowth 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This is quite impressive Deeply saturated and quite unstable with strong lift right into the DGZ. That would be some excellent snowgrowth might be a bit too late for mby, but orh and adjacent areas could do nicely with this one...may whiten the ground here, ALY has about 1-2" expected, we'll see, temps and dews are iffy, but liking what I see next weekend. of course I won't be here most likely... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Lol… .25 “melted equivalent QPF is “going to town” Man we’re a pathetic sort, condition by unrelenting abuse of neglect and starving to the point where atmospheric morsels and afterthoughts go to town. Man we need a solid 14” That takes another 18 hours to end because of a nagging Norland to with an additional fluffy 3 to 5 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: OK so obviously people’s attention is diverted to the near term …which that should be. I’m particularly interested in that system nearing the 13th or 14th more specifically because it’s quite impressively situated in the guidance and suggestive for quite some time considering there’s been very little or no Tele connector support for it - although I’m going to check last night it might’ve changed. Yesterday we surmised the models would probably begin to focus on either the 12th or the 14th as being the more likely - seems to be they’re choosing the latter. Little worried about wave spacing and so forth amongst other stuff lol I know it was discussed that the MJO is not having much of an influence, and these charts are noisy and not too accurate, but they are heading into colder phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of starts off iffy here but then goes to town as the low develops. 925 collapses SE as that little mesolow develops. RAP showed the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 925 collapses SE as that little mesolow develops. RAP showed the same thing. Yep, hope the NAM goes along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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