WxWatcher007 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I believe it’s .50” or mire..? I’d say anything over .25 is legit, but I believe ice storm warning criteria is .50”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: You know that's what I've been saying all along. I've said it in a very easy and simple way originally, but I just had people give me the weenie symbol or make a comment about my post. It is embarrassing. I'm 51, have a very good job. Love, daughter. We just adopted. Life is good. But when I come on here, it's always chaos, people putting people down. Even with my comments, when I try to cool things down, I get put down. I come on here because I want to discuss the weather. I want to discuss what things might be coming. If it doesn't snow it doesn't snow. It's just the way it is. But there's so many people in here that just attack and put down others for what they have to say. It's actually a joke. The thought has crossed my mind to just stop coming on here. But I keep coming because I'm hoping that people can just discuss the weather. Even if it's something small, sometimes that leads to something larger. Or something that surprises us. That's what made me fall in love with the whether when I was a kid. Even in today's modern technology, there are surprises and things we can't predict. Hope this gets through to done off you and we get a real forum going. Everybody wants to be a comedian too…that gets old too. It’s bad now cuz there hasn’t really been any snow yet for most. It’ll calm down some if we can pull off a snow event. Just take a break, I’ve done that a few times, it’s a good thing. Get away from the whiners and complainers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I’m surprised at the negativity going forward. Late week looks kind of interesting and seems like could be a couple chances behind it. Before the 500mb pattern looked good but nothing really materialized. Now we actually have models showing an interesting mid range period at the surface and all anyone wants to do is complain about the 300hr 500 mb. Who gives a f—k. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Not likely gonna see anything here, nor do I care. Pattern is garbage. There’s more to SNE than just eastern mass. That GFS at 12z was decent for a lot of the area..except your area. And I know you don’t really care, but just saying what that run showed at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 @Allsnow What’s wrong with a dateline ridge? It served us well 2007-08 despite a rather positive NAO/AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: I’m surprised at the negativity going forward. Late week looks kind of interesting and seems like could be a couple chances behind it. Before the 500mb pattern looked good but nothing really materialized. Now we actually have models showing an interesting mid range period at the surface and all anyone wants to do is complain about the 300hr 500 mb. Who gives a f—k. Wow…what did you do with GreenMountain coffee? He’s a new man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Wow…what did you do with GreenMountain coffee? He’s a new man. Well he was right to have concerns a month ago and I never thought he was trolling. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’d say anything over .25 is legit, but I believe ice storm warning criteria is .50”. Ya I was answering the ice storm criteria question. But ya, .25 is a problem too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, weathafella said: Well he was right to have concerns a month ago and I never thought he was trolling. Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, weathafella said: @Allsnow What’s wrong with a dateline ridge? It served us well 2007-08 despite a rather positive NAO/AO. It mostly sucks where he is unless there’s good Atlantic blocking. But it can work for us. 6 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: I’m surprised at the negativity going forward. Late week looks kind of interesting and seems like could be a couple chances behind it. Before the 500mb pattern looked good but nothing really materialized. Now we actually have models showing an interesting mid range period at the surface and all anyone wants to do is complain about the 300hr 500 mb. Who gives a f—k. If it snows, nobody is going to remember any of the pattern talk. Snowfall is the end-all regardless of what the pattern shows. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: @Allsnow What’s wrong with a dateline ridge? It served us well 2007-08 despite a rather positive NAO/AO. Depends on how much confluence to the north we have and strength of southeast ridge. I think we can all agree the dateline ridge with trough in the west hasn’t really been a snowy look for our areas in years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Storm signal still on the eps around the 14th 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Been handling the PAC good though. Not anymore lol....it was the most Gung Ho 5 days ago in the 12-16 range with the PNA ridge and now it appears it'll be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Storm signal still on the eps around the 14th yeah, this is impressive for this lead time. it's pretty much all we got right now, so we'll see what happens 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Everybody wants to be a comedian too…that gets old too. It’s bad now cuz there hasn’t really been any snow yet for most. It’ll calm down some if we can pull off a snow event. Just take a break, I’ve done that a few times, it’s a good thing. Get away from the whiners and complainers. I’d much rather have people try to be funny through the down periods than incessantly miserable. At the end of the day though, and I mean this sincerely, daily winter tracking—the monotony of watching models, identifying “threats”, and following them to conclusion is awful. I loathe it. It’s more soap opera than substance most of the time. It doesn’t matter the subforum. It doesn’t matter if the season is front-loaded, back-loaded, or nonexistent. Trying to find snow is far more emotional to wx enthusiasts around here than any other season or type of weather. Barely anything is learned (again talking about daily tracking not the outlook or broader longwave pattern analysis which can be educational), clearly people’s moods are affected, and it brings out the dumbest in people—myself squared included in that. The real joy comes from a consistent dopamine drip of models and observing snow. Virtually all the rest is drudgery. To me at least. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: There’s more to SNE than just eastern mass. That GFS at 12z was decent for a lot of the area..except your area. And I know you don’t really care, but just saying what that run showed at 12z. Enjoy your nuisance snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Ya euro pretty much lost interest in the 6’th deal this run , not sure it’s 100% dead but I don’t see much precip left at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’d much rather have people try to be funny through the down periods than incessantly miserable. At the end of the day though, and I mean this sincerely, daily winter tracking—the monotony of watching models, identifying “threats”, and following them to conclusion is awful. I loathe it. It’s more soap opera than substance most of the time. It doesn’t matter the subforum. It doesn’t matter if the season is front-loaded, back-loaded, or nonexistent. Trying to find snow is far more emotional to wx enthusiasts around here than any other season or type of weather. Barely anything is learned (again talking about daily tracking not the outlook or broader longwave pattern analysis which can be educational), clearly people’s moods are affected, and it brings out the dumbest in people—myself squared included in that. The real joy comes from a consistent dopamine drip of models and observing snow. Virtually all the rest is drudgery. To me at least. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: yeah, this is impressive for this lead time. it's pretty much all we got right now, so we'll see what happens Strong PAC jet will ridge rolling over, that’s not going to do it. Nothing to disrupt the negative PNA. No changes to my thoughts from November. This is how you ratter, lots of very bad forecasts this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 GFS all alone with some snow for SNE on the 5-7th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Strong PAC jet will ridge rolling over, that’s not going to do it. Nothing to disrupt the negative PNA. No changes to my thoughts from November. This is how you ratter, lots of very bad forecasts this year Well, all I can say is I hope you are wrong. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Enjoy your nuisance snow. Lol I’ll enjoy any snow…just pointing it out. It showed snow, Nuisance or not. Most of the time it is nuisance stuff. But when that whining lil girl up the street from you cry’s like a lil school girl, it’s ok? No it’s not ok. Nuisance or not..we’ll take what we can get. And we’ll Add it to the season with glee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well, all I can say is I hope you are wrong. :-) Don’t even respond to that Trash. Don’t give him the satisfaction. When it snows you won’t hear or see him around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol I’ll enjoy any snow…just pointing it out. It showed snow, Nuisance or not. Most of the time it is nuisance stuff. But when that whining lil girl up the street from you cry’s like a lil school girl, it’s ok? No it’s not ok. Nuisance or not..we’ll take what we can get. And we’ll Add it to the season with glee. Amazing how much one person gets under your skin. Why not just ignore him? I'm still not convinced it's a snow threat or much of a threat at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 18z NAM trying to lock in the cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 It's never going to snow again in SNE. Emotional attachment to something that will never be forecasted perfectly, chaos at best. It'll be what it'll be, suck-it-up cupcakes. It's 82F here, the only thing to look forward to is a frontal passage with plunging temps of maybe 10-15 degrees. You never know how good it is till it's gone. Addiction to SNOW is never sedated always looking for the next fix. Could be 5' of snow on the ground and wanting more. Thunderstorms, Tropics are more frequent than a 1' storm (aside from a CAT5) and gets the adrenaline pumping while tracking. There is something about snow that's different, it's magic and not as damaging. There is a storm (snow) within the next two weeks, watch the ENS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s a beast of a HP showing up that wasn’t before . Wouldn’t be totally shocking in the record warmth and 60’s/50’s end up staying SW of the region . Nam will pick up on it first if it happens Pumps n a bump 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Amazing how much one person gets under your skin. Why not just ignore him? I'm still not convinced it's a snow threat or much of a threat at all. I hate pussy whiners….I just pointed out what 12z showed. I didn’t hype it or whine about it. I agree…probably shits the bed, but it’s all we got to track at the moment thats within a few days of the present. So theres that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z NAM trying to lock in the cold For when? Mid 50s Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: GFS all alone with some snow for SNE on the 5-7th. And it’s the best model. The Euro sucks, the GEM is hot garbage and the GFS has significantly improved and done steadily well the last year. it’s gonna snow Friday. Away from the coast from interior mass up through the mountains it’s gonna snow. 3 snow events through the next two weeks, abd I think one could score on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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