MJO812 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Strongly disagree Of course you do You are a troll 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 18 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Strongly disagree So I take it you’re calling for large + departures continuing beyond next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: So I take it you’re calling for large + departures continuing beyond next weekend. While noreaster27 always predicts warmth regardless of the pattern shown, I don’t totally disagree this time. It doesn’t look cold. Just colder than the blowtorch we get in the next week but prob still above normal. But it’s a better looking pattern to try and get winter storms in here since we get more western ridging and there’s a lot of split flow showing up. We may get a little more actual cold after the 2nd week of Jan but that is a lot more speculative. A lot of guidance keeps retrograding the Canada ridge which then re-establishes a cross-polar look and more cold. But that would likely happen around or after 1/15ish. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Hope you feel better Kevin. Gorgeous out…thought of you as I wiped the truck down. Get well soon pal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: While noreaster27 always predicts warmth regardless of the pattern shown, I don’t totally disagree this time. It doesn’t look cold. Just colder than the blowtorch we get in the next week but prob still above normal. But it’s a better looking pattern to try and get winter storms in here since we get more western ridging and there’s a lot of split flow showing up. We may get a little more actual cold after the 2nd week of Jan but that is a lot more speculative. A lot of guidance keeps retrograding the Canada ridge which then re-establishes a cross-polar look and more cold. But that would likely happen around or after 1/15ish. Will, that was my point. The end of the +10+ departures comes next weekend and I think my original post reflects that. +3 in January is chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Will, that was my point. The end of the +10+ departures comes next weekend and I think my original post reflects that. +3 in January is chilly. You were clear Jerry…we all knew what you meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/december-largely-evolves-as-forecast.html 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Will, that was my point. The end of the +10+ departures comes next weekend and I think my original post reflects that. +3 in January is chilly. Ok yeah I agree the double digit positive departures aren’t going to sustain. They usually don’t. It looks like a lot of those airmasses where the high is 37-43 but cold enough for snow when a storm system approaches. We kind of had a pattern with temps like that in Jan 2021 but we whiffed on most of the storm threats. However, that pattern was mostly a stale NAO block while this one does have western ridging which is more conductive to storm threats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: While noreaster27 always predicts warmth regardless of the pattern shown, I don’t totally disagree this time. It doesn’t look cold. Just colder than the blowtorch we get in the next week but prob still above normal. But it’s a better looking pattern to try and get winter storms in here since we get more western ridging and there’s a lot of split flow showing up. We may get a little more actual cold after the 2nd week of Jan but that is a lot more speculative. A lot of guidance keeps retrograding the Canada ridge which then re-establishes a cross-polar look and more cold. But that would likely happen around or after 1/15ish. I prefer is gradual rather than a full on snap back. We would get more winter that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Record high of 64 BDL. Mild as far as the eye can see. As others have said doesn’t mean we can’t sneak in a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Speaking of puke.. stomach flu has crushed me since last night Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Hope you feel better Kevin. Gorgeous out…thought of you as I wiped my ass. Get well soon pal. Not nice 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 I guess I expect 5 to 6 weeks of winter, counting the cold we just had as 2 weeks of the 5 or 6. i think we had 6 weeks of winter last year since December was a rout and most ofJanuary could not pop a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: I guess I expect 5 to 6 weeks of winter, counting the cold we just had as 2 weeks of the 5 or 6. i think we had 6 weeks of winter last year since December was a rout and most ofJanuary could not pop a storm. Could still get 8 more weeks depending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Yeah the efforts to suppress Covid at civility scales ...world over, to varying degrees of success or not unfortunately means background immunity is uniquely set up for waves of 'normal' pathogens. This was predicted by super computing 2 years ago. I have nasty cold going on. Tested for C three times. Negative. Thing is, I did catch a hold of omicron back last April - it wasn't as bad this piece of shit I'm dealing with now. jesua Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Speaking of puke.. stomach flu has crushed me since last night .EPS keeps pushing back . Hope wrong , worry right . Rhea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Mild as far as the eye can see. As others have said doesn’t mean we can’t sneak in a snowstorm. Yeah climo at 850 starts going toward like -6 to -8 in this area so moderately AN temps in that layer aren’t a death knell for snow. Euro guidance is also warmer than the others. If we can go split flow, then you end up with something more like +2 departures at 850 with a favorable storm track and that is doable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 18z GFS & GEFS more like 6z run. Something in the physics idk. Since really not much other guidance shows the trough going that positive and allowing a new low to form it’s hard to give this any credit….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Maybe nothing exciting to look at now but at least the cutter regime may be coming to an end fairly soon. Some wintery appeal on the 18z GFS anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Here is a better look at 18z GEFS, definitely a ton of members redeveloping the low. Probably just another GFS mirage, but…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 Here is a better look at 18z GEFS, definitely a ton of members redeveloping the low. Probably just another GFS mirage, but….Individuals, juiced up for some reason. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 I made a comparison GIF of the 6z vs 12z vs 18z runs… the 6z and 18z runs give the event a chance by stretching out the trough and lagging some energy behind. Once again, need some other guidance to show this happening for it to be believable. That is a pretty damn juicy mean for this far out though. Maybe the best all year?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Speaking of puke.. stomach flu has crushed me since last night .EPS keeps pushing back . Hope wrong , worry right . Ripping through my house, too. There are 4 humans and 3 toilets and somehow there aren't enough places to puke. --- 38° off a high of 49°. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 21 minutes ago, tunafish said: Ripping through my house, too. There are 4 humans and 3 toilets and somehow there aren't enough places to puke. --- 38° off a high of 49°. I wish I could have thrown up in the toilet.. but when you’re sitting on it …. You lean over the pail . Only 2 of us have it No beer today 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I wish I could have thrown up in the toilet.. but when you’re sitting on it …. You lean over the pail . Only 2 of us have it No beer today Get well Kevin! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 Get well soon Kevin! Lots of bugs going around. Like Morch out there today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 1 hour ago, Heisy said: I made a comparison GIF of the 6z vs 12z vs 18z runs… the 6z and 18z runs give the event a chance by stretching out the trough and lagging some energy behind. Once again, need some other guidance to show this happening for it to be believable. That is a pretty damn juicy mean for this far out though. Maybe the best all year? . I’ve noticed almost every 6z and 18z run have had the storm for 4-5 days now and the 00z and 12zs lose it. Weird. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I wish I could have thrown up in the toilet.. but when you’re sitting on it …. You lean over the pail . Only 2 of us have it No beer today nothing worse. Good luck, it'll pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I wish I could have thrown up in the toilet.. but when you’re sitting on it …. You lean over the pail . Only 2 of us have it No beer today we pray to the porcelain gods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 31, 2022 Share Posted December 31, 2022 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I wish I could have thrown up in the toilet.. but when you’re sitting on it …. You lean over the pail . Only 2 of us have it No beer today Get well soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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