RDRY Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Banana high. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Back to back OP runs showing -EPO and PNA in LR, keep building on this that will def user in some cold air and hopefully trap it in SE Canada . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: In the higher elevations the max temp is colder early to almost mid March compared to early to mid December. You continue to make stuff up. What about Dec 15th on and Morch 15 on? Let’s say Boston area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What about Dec 15th on and Morch 15 on? You miss the whole point. December is not a snowy month overall. Snowfall doesn’t tail off at ORH until after 3/15 and more like late month. Deal with it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even the euro hints at something so we’ll see. Love seeing the man highs press in. Scooter higH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What about Dec 15th on and Morch 15 on? Let’s say Boston area I have a much better shot at 3/15 for a block buster than 12/15. Late month it gets harder but can happen. Just like early December snows can happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Scooter higH Scooter high Scooter low, show me that, and it will snow. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Scooter high Scooter low, show me that, and it will snow. When scooter say go then it snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You miss the whole point. December is not a snowy month overall. Snowfall doesn’t tail off at ORH until after 3/15 and more like late month. Deal with it. Well we can disagree then . December used to snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is a teaching moment . You can’t feel like you’re forecasting in December when you’re calling for 50’s. Because it’s not normal . In Morch it is . High temps in Dec avg colder . So when you lose the month.. you really do lose . There’s been a stretch of days with highs between 55 to 65 almost every winter. It’s pretty normal. We had a stretch of 70s in January I think in 2019? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Beautiful gfs run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Beautiful gfs run Looks good after the 6th, so about a week to go unless there's some drastic changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 43 minutes ago, RDRY said: Banana high. That’s a man high too…1043. We take. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well we can disagree then . December used to snow Sometimes it still does..Dec 12, Dec 17, Dec 19, Dec 20…but some times it doesn’t. Just the way it goes in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 lol…where is the gfs finding that airmass late next week? EC, UK, and CMC not nearly as cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol…where is the gfs finding that airmass late next week? EC, UK, and CMC not nearly as cold. At this range one could question where the GFS gets anything on them charts. Heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol…where is the gfs finding that airmass late next week? EC, UK, and CMC not nearly as cold. George altered the algorithm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Sometimes it still does..Dec 12, Dec 17, Dec 19, Dec 20…but some times it doesn’t. Just the way it goes in SNE. I'm currently going through a ton of archival data from my area anyway, and from what I've seen so far, early to mid March is much more of a snow producer than mid to late December, there are exception, but on average, March is a snowier month, at least for mby and generally SNE... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: George altered the algorithm. George forecast system 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol…where is the gfs finding that airmass late next week? EC, UK, and CMC not nearly as cold. This. GFS cold bias and it’s the only model showing these temp profiles. Weenies take heed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, RDRY said: Banana high. that's a nice look... does the GFS still have a SE bias or was that fixed with the upgrade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: When scooter say blow then it snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Scooter high Scooter low, show me that, and it will snow. This should be the post to start a new storm thread for January 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: In the higher elevations the max temp is colder early to almost mid March compared to early to mid December. You continue to make stuff up. ORH has almost the same max temp 12/15 to 3/15 (near 40F). Whats interesting is the record max on 12/15 is 61F where 3/15 is 81F… despite about the same mean temperatures. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Scooter high Scooter low, show me that, and it will snow. That man high has been showing up a bit more on various runs. Even some of the EPS members had it. It’s watchable at least. Better than nothing to track. Also, getting an event on 1/5 would be a bit of a bonus when we were mostly writing off until at least 1/8-1/9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 That man high has been showing up a bit more on various runs. Even some of the EPS members had it. It’s watchable at least. Better than nothing to track. Also, getting an event on 1/5 would be a bit of a bonus when we were mostly writing off until at least 1/8-1/9It’s able to build in HP because of some TPV energy that dives south, wave has some separation and HP build behind. It’s actually a different wave vs last nights 00z/6z runs that showed the coastal event. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That man high has been showing up a bit more on various runs. Even some of the EPS members had it. It’s watchable at least. Better than nothing to track. Also, getting an event on 1/5 would be a bit of a bonus when we were mostly writing off until at least 1/8-1/9 The midweek system next week? That’s a warm rainer on all guidance . It’s the follow up wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The midweek system next week? That’s a warm rainer on all guidance . It’s the follow up wave No, midweek system is like 1/3. We’re talking end of week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Scooter high Scooter low, show me that, and it will snow. I'm hoping your shit streak appears around the 5th which i would never say usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 46 minutes ago, Heisy said: It’s able to build in HP because of some TPV energy that dives south, wave has some separation and HP build behind. It’s actually a different wave vs last nights 00z/6z runs that showed the coastal event. . It’s nice to see but it’s a long shot at hour 180 given the thread the needle set up that we know all 2 well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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