Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Thaw now or 3rd week, which is better? Hopefully we have a good stretch thru February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Impressive baroclinic cyclone making landfall along the W Washington coast today. Was analyzed at 968 mb on @NWSOPC unified surface analysis at 1500 UTC. Associated with storm-force winds & 30ft waves. SNE - mid '50s with maybe some drizzle. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 12:21 AM, Ginx snewx said: Thaw now or 3rd week, which is better? Hopefully we have a good stretch thru February Expand It's coming. We're revving up the Ginxy bus for February! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 12:19 AM, 78Blizzard said: If you're talking about the GFS, forget it. We know how their 8-day threats have turned out lately, let alone a 10-day threat. Expand All the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 12:47 AM, kdxken said: Impressive baroclinic cyclone making landfall along the W Washington coast today. Was analyzed at 968 mb on @NWSOPC unified surface analysis at 1500 UTC. Associated with storm-force winds & 30ft waves. SNE - mid '50s with maybe some drizzle. Expand It was a beaut 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/27/2022 at 10:34 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That will mean over a month between snow in most of SNE .. And most will be under 7”. No way in hell this turns around into even normal snowfall IMO Expand Linning up the quotes.... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 12:03 AM, ORH_wxman said: ‘12-13 too for coastal areas (interior had some good events prior) But those years weren’t Ninas. Gotta hope for a year like ‘55-56 or ‘00-01 in the second half if we’re gonna do it in a Niña. The one positive we have going is the huge blocking that already showed up. Those types of blocking episodes tend to be a harbinger of future blocking later that same winter. Not always but more often than not. I’m not seeing much blocking though returning yet on guidance. Mostly just the PNA turning positive. Expand 1955-1956 is one of my favorite analogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/27/2022 at 10:54 PM, Lava Rock said: Shaping up to be subpar. By the time things turn around, it's middle of Jan and we've easy lost one solid month, maybe 6 wks of winter, depending how one looks at it. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Expand The last few seasons have sucked. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 28, 2022 Author Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/27/2022 at 11:43 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Should we close the winter thread down? Expand Well yeah, at least the "winter" aspect. It's not necessarily a "winter" thread, just January thread. It's usually wintry but not guaranteed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:18 AM, Torch Tiger said: Well yeah, at least the "winter" aspect. It's not necessarily a "winter" thread, just January thread. It's usually wintry but not guaranteed. Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:30 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: Expand If we only lived at 10mb. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:33 AM, CoastalWx said: If we only lived at 10mb. Expand Folks are getting hostile. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:35 AM, kdxken said: Folks are getting hostile. Expand So much voodoo out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Nice photoshop... 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:30 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: Expand 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:35 AM, kdxken said: Folks are getting hostile. Expand Hey David....there ain't no good guy, there ain't no bad guy, there's only you and me and we just disagree.... 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 2:00 AM, Go Kart Mozart said: Hey David....there ain't no good guy, there ain't no bad guy, there's only you and me and we just disagree.... Expand Nice job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:44 AM, Rtd208 said: Expand You're a funny guy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:44 AM, Rtd208 said: Expand That's about right for your area. I think you guys in New Jersey are totally screwed for this winter. Sucks for you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:00 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Linning up the quotes.... Expand He’s(Kev) working hard to gin up convo…I’ll give em that. Line em up so they will b there to bump when things change around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 12:21 AM, Ginx snewx said: Thaw now or 3rd week, which is better? Hopefully we have a good stretch thru February Expand Thaw now way better. 3 weeks from now we’re at peak climo and about to enter our snowiest time of the year. So we take the thaw now and like it now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:30 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: Expand That guy is brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 2:33 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That guy is brutal. Expand Yeah I know. But I wanted to post the maps anyway. There's a chance. There's a chance 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 I think we could still see 2010-2011 totals minus 20-30" or so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 1:03 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1955-1956 is one of my favorite analogs. Expand Lining up the quotes 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 2:37 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: Yeah I know. But I wanted to post the maps anyway. There's a chance. There's a chance Expand That’s a 10mb map…stratosphere level…which is very deceiving for him to post something like that. Most non weather folks look at that and think that’s the surface, (or 500 mb) and will translate to the surface, and that’s certainly not a given at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 2:42 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Lining up the quotes Expand Kevin, this season could very very easily reach average levels for most all of us in SNE, no matter where we are currently on 12/27. And it could easily go above average if we get a good run. I know you know this, and are spooning up conversation, trying to get the pros to chime in. Way better having the thaw now…than on 1/21. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 2:42 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Lining up the quotes Expand I have all or my numbers down, so quote those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 On 12/28/2022 at 2:47 AM, dendrite said: Expand That guy is ridiculous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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