Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Euro makes me want to punch a baby. Ugh it’s ugly. No babies please....only bunnies...cute bunnies 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Has chances after the warm cutter though Ah yes the ever elusive day 7+ threats lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No babies please....only bunnies...cute bunnies I can’t punch my bunny nooo lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Euro actually has a pretty robust frontal passage this run. Would probably be a pretty decent flizzard FWIW. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: That's what I'm thinking too. Pattern reset and backloaded ftw. The next phrase is, "Winter is over see ya next year" Coming into the winter season here were my two worries: #1 La Nina #2 Tremendous Ocean warmth Pacific, Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic #3 Southeast Ridge So, all of the above these factors are wrecking our winters in regard to sustained cold and snow in the Middle Atlantic. I am sure all these factors above are all obvious to everyone. If you want to roll in global warming and warm ocean temps not locking in 50/50 lows that can be included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 29 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No babies please....only bunnies...cute bunnies We're all out of cute bunnies and puppies at this point! Maybe kick Santa or his elves in the groin? Or the ultimate... Take the Reaper's name in vain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 28 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yep....at least 10 days to reestablish cold up North and another 5 days+ to move South. Don't worry, come March the pattern will have reloaded and we'll be cold and windy with highs well BN....in the 40s. 2 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 11 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: We're in the reverse bust portion of the tracking season, so anything is possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Even by Tony Pann standards that's bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Tony Pann makes Justin Berk blush these days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Faith in the flakes. Ho ho ho. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 The evolution on the GFS would be much better for upslope than the Euro. GFS suggests 8-12” while Euro is less than half that in upslope. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, nj2va said: The evolution on the GFS would be much better for upslope than the Euro. GFS suggests 8-12” while Euro is less than half that in upslope. Wait…there’s supposed to be upslope? Hadn’t heard. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 No real relax/reshuffle/warm up on the CMC ens. Just reload. More of the same general (Epic ) pattern. Go Canada! 3 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: No real relax/reshuffle/warm up on the CMC ens. Just reload. More of the same general (Epic ) pattern. Go Canada! Only good things to come out of Canada are Wayne Gretzky and rock trio RUSH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Not sure exactly what I’m looking at but the 18z NAM does look different than 12z GFS for what its worth. Take that for whatever that may mean to you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 38 minutes ago, mattie g said: Wait…there’s supposed to be upslope? Hadn’t heard. Since you’re so invested, I’ll be sure to do upslope PBP on each run. 3 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 18z NAM with some Shen Valley love with the first wave. Nothing special but an inch or two is still possible. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 18z NAM with some Shen Valley love with the first wave. Nothing special but an inch or two is still possible. GFS does the same. We know that December snow climo around here stinks, but the GFS and Euro are suggesting that Boston may get to New Year's with 1.0" on the year, and NYC with a T. So, it isn't like we are alone in missing out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just for future reference the Gfs was more correct with the happenings over Canada. But it ended go kinda a 60/40 compromise and we needed the GFS to be 100% correct to have a shot at keeping this from cutting. But still impressive imo that it was closer given all other guidance was totally against it at one point. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, MN Transplant said: GFS does the same. We know that December snow climo around here stinks, but the GFS and Euro are suggesting that Boston may get to New Year's with 1.0" on the year, and NYC with a T. So, it isn't like we are alone in missing out. Dec snow climo isn’t isn’t that bad the NW 1/3 of this forum either. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Terpeast said: Agreed. I don’t think this is a good pattern to begin with. By that I mean what’s actually out there in reality, not what has been depicted on model maps 7+ days out. There’s a difference, and the “good” pattern the models told us was coming did not fully come to fruition. Yes we got the -nao, but we did not get the +pna (which is even more important in Dec than Jan-Feb) Having all these cutters is about what we would expect from a La Nina. Meanwhile, my buddy in Deadwood, SD just got a record 5 feet in a couple days. If snow is the measure, there are winners and losers in all patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The story of the week will be the arctic cold front that moves through on Friday…8 in western MD and 60 on the shore… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, clskinsfan said: 18z NAM with some Shen Valley love with the first wave. Nothing special but an inch or two is still possible. Also, there is still frozen falling at the end of its run for far western and northernmost VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 59 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Dec snow climo isn’t isn’t that bad the NW 1/3 of this forum either. Still waiting for this. So far just slightly harder frozen mud up here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: No real relax/reshuffle/warm up on the CMC ens. Just reload. More of the same general (Epic ) pattern. Go Canada! I much prefer this since I am one of those weenies who hates winter warmth. But to my novice eye I see no 50/50 and the PNA ridge too far west. So as far as frozen, we are likely in the same fail boat. Am I catching on? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I much prefer this since I am one of those weenies who hates winter warmth. But to my novice eye I see no 50/50 and the PNA ridge too far west. So as far as frozen, we are likely in the same fail boat. Am I catching on? Yes. You’re a quick study. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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