nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Snow on the 27th too from a diving NS vort. Only 10 days away, nothing can go wrong! 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Most disappointing thing about this all is the thought of a Jan warm up. Would almost rather sacrifice the cold for Christmas to have it during a better climo period. Beggars and choosers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, DE2PA said: Most disappointing thing about this all is the thought of a Jan warm up. Would almost rather sacrifice the cold for Christmas to have it during a better climo period. Beggars and choosers For now it looks brief. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, DE2PA said: Most disappointing thing about this all is the thought of a Jan warm up. Would almost rather sacrifice the cold for Christmas to have it during a better climo period. Beggars and choosers Would it matter? Could have a -NAO, -AO, +PNA and it would find a way not to snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: Would it matter? Could have a -NAO, -AO, +PNA and it would find a way not to snow. When all else fails, we can always count on failure itself. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Still time for adjustments 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I’ve learned from Ji… go with the model that shows the least amount of snow. It never disappoints!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 70 on NYD morning. Lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, snowfan said: 70 on NYD morning. Lol. Just read our previous thread. From page 1. a whole lotta excited about a memorable stretch of winter.. the word epic was used quite a bit. Some real weather porn images. Turned out they were just like real porn. Fantasy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 WB 18Z GEFS, interesting the number of hits SE still… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS, interesting the number of hits SE still… 2 out of 30 is interesting? I count 20 virtual complete whiffs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, osfan24 said: 2 out of 30 is interesting? I count 20 virtual complete whiffs. I’ll never forget that map circa Jan 2016. It was just stupid good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, osfan24 said: 2 out of 30 is interesting? I count 20 virtual complete whiffs. There are more than 2 that have at least some blue over most of the area. It’s not terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, osfan24 said: 2 out of 30 is interesting? I count 20 virtual complete whiffs. Yes so the wishful thinkers still in denial have something to cling to. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, Amped said: Yes so the wishful thinkers still in denial have something to cling to. We’re not out till we’re out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: Just read our previous thread. From page 1. a whole lotta excited about a memorable stretch of winter.. the word epic was used quite a bit. Some real weather porn images. Turned out they were just like real porn. Fantasy. Just like the last year or two. Fools Gold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 WB latest GEFS extended…. I guess it uses last night’s data…. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 ^Why even post that? Completely irrelevant. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: ^Why even post that? Completely irrelevant. Maybe it will end the constant depression and bitching in here. It’s almost unmanageable. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Maybe it will end the constant depression and bitching in here. It’s almost unmanageable. It wont, it will just help to "ease" the nerves of those on the cliff ready to jump until the 00z suite starts rolling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Why not just post the NAM from the day before the January 2016 storm? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Or we can try and figure out where those "DT-Forecasted" snowstorms went. Lets look at his social media post on Nov 30th and play the game of "decipher the code" or "solve the equation". Maybe its a typo...he meant "Major East Coast Rainstorms" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Maybe it will end the constant depression and bitching in here. It’s almost unmanageable. Maybe, but it isn't useful in any way. That run initialized off of 0z, there have been 3 GEFS model cycles since then, and on all of them the 24th is well inside of day 15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 No changes on 18Z EPS…that I can see. Chances remain at 10-20 percent; higher in mountains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DE2PA Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Countdown to 00Z 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: Or we can try and figure out where those "DT-Forecasted" snowstorms went. Lets look at his social media post on Nov 30th and play the game of "decipher the code" or "solve the equation". Maybe its a typo...he meant "Major East Coast Rainstorms" the 50-50 low is whats been missing. thats the problem as cape's alluded to in other posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: the 50-50 low is whats been missing. thats the problem as cape's alluded to in other posts. Low pressure in that area has been advertised on the means pretty consistently, but in reality it has been transient. Interpretation of LR course means is tricky. There have been suggestions of a true NA block, but hasn't really materialized in a useful way. Even if it had, there are other factors that can mitigate it, especially in a Nina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: the 50-50 low is whats been missing. thats the problem as cape's alluded to in other posts. There are other issues like the warm ocean temps, that I fell are playing a part in this. Also like CAPE just said, this being a Nina year presents its own set of issues as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 29 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: Or we can try and figure out where those "DT-Forecasted" snowstorms went. Lets look at his social media post on Nov 30th and play the game of "decipher the code" or "solve the equation". Maybe its a typo...he meant "Major East Coast Rainstorms" Awful haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 36 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Why not just post the NAM from the day before the January 2016 storm? Let’s do it. 3 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now