Kevin Reilly Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 5:43 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: This is a problem and happens long before any change back to a favorable pattern. I'm pro snow and pro cold but this firehose is going to take til Jan 8 or longer to recover from imho. Like psu said tho, maybe we can mute this look some as it nears. Expand How many years now have we seen this firehose off the Pacific???? This is one of the largest contributing factors why cold in the lower 48 is scoured out time and time again. The end result is a very fast progressive flat flow for the most part across the United States that then promotes ridging off the Atlantic Seaboard or from the Gulf of Mexico. We keep dumping warmth into the largest ocean of the world and the end results are warming winters that feature less snow for some areas especially namely ours. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 5:09 PM, psuhoffman said: I remember playing a soccer game that day and it was like 65 degrees, then that evening we got a couple inches of snow. Expand That’s the one. We were at a Caps game and went in to warm, pouring rain and came out to a snow covered parking lot where we couldn’t find the car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 7:27 PM, CAPE said: Dude has a very narrowly focused perspective of how the atmosphere works, plus an agenda. Expand He's expansivly focused on proving he's right about anything after the SCI was quickly proven to be a dried up nothingburger. He lost me back in 2015 after claiming victory for SCI predicting the cold in the US when the very important teleconnection that the SCI predicts was polar opposite. Lol. Ego much? Think we dum much? Lol And saying Siberia is north America's primary cold factory. Lol. What a fruitcake he's becoming 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 8:49 PM, Bob Chill said: He's expansivly focused on proving he's right about anything after the SCI was quickly proven to be a dried up nothingburger. He lost me back in 2015 after claiming victory for SCI predicting the cold in the US when the very important teleconnection that the SCI predicts was polar opposite. Lol. Ego much? Think we dum much? Lol And saying Siberia is north America's primary cold factory. Lol. What a fruitcake he's becoming Expand On top of all that…if we did get cross polar flow +5-10 air in Siberia would still be cold here. But that’s not how we typically get snow here anyways. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Was there some sort of kerfluffle with Eric Webber on Twitter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 9:47 PM, cbmclean said: Was there some sort of kerfluffle with Eric Webber on Twitter? Expand He’s having a fit because Tony Pann is hyping snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 9:57 PM, WxUSAF said: He’s having a fit because Tony Pann is hyping snow Expand Sounds like he said something that pissed off the edgy NE snow weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Oh was Pann the weenie he went after? lmao if so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:06 PM, CAPE said: Oh was Pann the weenie he went after? lmao if so. Expand Pann was one of 4 he quoted. Then Pann took offense and claimed it was taken out of context. Spoiler alert: it wasn’t. Just a case of “Man acts like clown, complains when treated like one”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Fwiw. Aligns pretty well with the pattern progression on the GEFSX. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 ENSO is forecast to trend neutral mid to late winter, so what we end up with for a longwave pattern is a bit of a wildcard. Certainly not out of the question it could lean more Nino-like. Kind of seeing that already. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 9:47 PM, cbmclean said: Was there some sort of kerfluffle with Eric Webber on Twitter? Expand You said kerfluffle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:25 PM, CAPE said: Fwiw. Aligns pretty well with the pattern progression on the GEFSX. Expand Dude. Just tell me when it's going to snow and how much. K thx bai 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:44 PM, WxUSAF said: Dude. Just tell me when it's going to snow and how much. K thx bai Expand We just can't know yet. More pattern tracking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 11:01 PM, CAPE said: More pattern tracking. Expand 3 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:43 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: You said kerfluffle Expand Hey, it's a good word, don't knock it!! Though it does sound pretentious, like something George Will would say. So is the person who instigated it a kerfuffler?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:44 PM, WxUSAF said: Dude. Just tell me when it's going to snow and how much. K thx bai Expand Well...to make it simple, guaranteed it won't snow here in May, June, July, August, or September. Almost certainly not in October or April. Not the most likely in November or March. December, January, and February, kinda up in the air but even those months are iffy! I think I covered every month there. So not good odds any way you look at it! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Sorry guys, I really do appreciate the time y’all spend on looking for good patterns and all that but it’s just getting to where the only thing really worth talking is when storms show up inside 7 days and stay there. Just my dumb thoughts as I keep looking and reading 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I wonder if I’ll actually get to see -4° next Saturday in the mountains… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 11:10 PM, H2O said: Sorry guys, I really do appreciate the time y’all spend on looking for good patterns and all that but it’s just getting to where the only thing really worth talking is when storms show up inside 7 days and stay there. Just my dumb thoughts as I keep looking and reading Expand I'm beginning to view patterns like dice. If ya find a decent pattern, that's one dice roll. A great pattern maybe that's two or even three dice rolls. So I'm starting to look for the pattern just to see if we can roll the frickin' dice first! But then ya have the discreet threats...where ya gotta ignore everything until Day 5 (I ain't even trying to play Day 7 no more, lol) That's the roll of the dice...no guarantees, but at least you can have a chance 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 11:10 PM, H2O said: Sorry guys, I really do appreciate the time y’all spend on looking for good patterns and all that but it’s just getting to where the only thing really worth talking is when storms show up inside 7 days and stay there. Just my dumb thoughts as I keep looking and reading Expand Good plan, but wtf is a self respecting snow starved weenie supposed to do when there's nothing inside 7 days? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 11:17 PM, CAPE said: Good plan, but wtf is a self respecting snow starved weenie supposed to do when there's nothing inside 7 days? Expand Stare at the brown grass and cry into a dank IPA bottle that’s empty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 11:13 PM, Rhino16 said: I wonder if I’ll actually get to see -4° next Saturday in the mountains… Expand Widespread -20's out in western Canada where our source air is coming from. Its gonna be cold as crap on Saturday. The NAM and GFS have backed off on the snow chances with the first wave out this way. Maybe a little sleet/ZR before the torrential rain comes. Still have a little hope for a flizzard with the frontal passage. Almost 50 in Montreal and zero in western MD. Dont see that every day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:44 PM, WxUSAF said: Dude. Just tell me when it's going to snow and how much. K thx bai Expand How long can you hold your breath? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Kerfuffle and malarkey are two underrated words imo 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 On 12/20/2022 at 12:30 AM, mappy said: Kerfuffle and malarkey are two underrated words imo Expand And from ESPN today you can never say slobberknocker quite enough either 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 On 12/20/2022 at 12:30 AM, mappy said: Kerfuffle and malarkey are two underrated words imo Expand Maybe shenanigans too… but it’s used more than kerfuffle and malarkey. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:25 PM, CAPE said: Fwiw. Aligns pretty well with the pattern progression on the GEFSX. Expand That's a long time to wait on a more favorable pattern IF it even verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 On 12/20/2022 at 1:43 AM, Itryatgolf70 said: That's a long time to wait on a more favorable pattern IF it even verifies. Expand What else is there to do? We wait and watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:25 PM, CAPE said: Fwiw. Aligns pretty well with the pattern progression on the GEFSX. Expand Yay, more long range 500 maps to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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