Baum Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, mimillman said: 6z euro ensemble also East it's over. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, roardog said: The SE and weaker trend has been around for years now it seems. How many storms over the last few years have turned from huge to almost nothing in the last 48 hours of model tracking? Will this be another one? A storm of the magnitude depicted is just extraordinarily rare so some type of move that way would be expected. I think I'd still rather be in Indy/Grand Rapids etc than say Rockford as of now....to a degree something weaker may be better for whoever is in the ideal zone because the GFS with its bombs has been occluding the low so fast you lose the dynamics and subsequently get showery snow thereafter, a 988 system is sometimes better than a 972 bomb that occludes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Euro and it's ensembles go east and gfs and it's ensembles went west. Let panic ensue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 12 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Euro and it's ensembles go east and gfs and it's ensembles went west. Let panic ensue Then NAM range and HRRR apocalypse happens 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 27 minutes ago, mimillman said: 6z euro ensemble also East So in other words, we're basically back to where we were before this "west trend" started? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: So in other words, we're basically back to where we were before this "west trend" started? In other words everyone is still fair game outside of OV 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 hoping for changeover to rain and slush. fluffy snow is for the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: hoping for changeover to rain and slush. fluffy snow is for the mountains rain and slush then 10 below zero, enjoy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 ouch 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, ILSNOW said: ouch Congrats MSP! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 and 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Lol I called that with nam. I was like watch it be nearly west of IL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 6pm Wednesday - 6pm Thursday, 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, Powerball said: Congrats MSP! Remember when the New England sub thought they were in it 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, jlauderdal said: Remember when the New England sub thought they were in it Fargo by Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, jlauderdal said: Remember when the New England sub thought they were in it I remember when the GFS had an Atlanta / Charlotte crusher. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Every year, same story... Classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Proud of the GFS for managing to be west of the NAM 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 FWIW, and I'm not sure it's worth a ton, Rayno is still pretty convinced about an STL to DET storm track. True enough that we've got a lot of competing tracks at the moment and the GFS has swung wildly so going with your gut and a kind of compromise between the Euro and American models makes some sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Powerball said: I remember when the GFS had an Atlanta / Charlotte crusher. The euro also had an east coast storm. The lack of 50 50 and the pv not splitting hurt our chances in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Approaching full weenie meltdown mode come on guys give it some time 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 12z RGEM 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 sniffing taint^ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, jlauderdal said: rain and slush then 10 below zero, enjoy I'll be in Tampa next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I suspect that feature moving up the East Coast is the turd in the punch bowl for you guys. It seems to be robbing your moisture advection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 The LP seems to moonwalk from Texas to New Mexico from HR66 to HR69. Bumped back east compared to 6z. LP near IL/IN border at 81hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Big shift east on the 12z GFS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 12z gfs further east. Look close to euro and cmc now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Coming east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 We got clowned on hard tbh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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