Stebo Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 12 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Nobody should be punting this far out lmao You should. Save yourself 4 days of wasting time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 This thing is so robust that it jumped that far west & ORD still gets 10 inches in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, Sciascia said: This thing is so robust that it jumped that far west & ORD still gets 10 inches in the end. Another 50 miles west and ORD is gonna get 2" of rain. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Stebo said: You should. Save yourself 4 days of wasting time. Yep. I'm used to it at this point. Just kind of sucks tbh but hey what can u do? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, zinski1990 said: Yep. I'm used to it at this point. Just kind of sucks tbh but hey what can u do? Hope that it disappears because if I can't have snow, I don't want anyone else to have it. We all think that way... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Love the GFS just dancing around the ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Posting for posterity: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 That drastic a jump makes me just want to say “toss it” with this run. Something seems way off. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 GEFS says wagons west as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Obviously it's Kuchera and the GFS at 141 hours out. But if that run verified every non-LES snow record in this state gets obliterated. Coupled with the cold and wind and we go full Ragnarok here. It would be the storm to end all storms for Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Loving the ensemble look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 16 minutes ago, DaveNay said: Another 50 miles west and ORD is gonna get 2" of rain. Already has .50" to .75" in this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Absolute jackpot run for MBY. Would be a wild solution, but the shitty GFS may be overcorrecting at this range now.... Cant put much weight into it as it was in the Atlantic 30 hours ago. Waiting for king Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 13 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Hope that it disappears because if I can't have snow, I don't want anyone else to have it. We all think that way... Might as well have it shift to minn and Dakota at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, mimillman said: Loving the ensemble look. Most of these ensembles are great hits for N IL thru 126 (especially #20) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, ILSNOW said: Most of these ensembles are great hits for N IL thru 126 I'll go to war for member 20 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Absolute jackpot run for MBY. Would be a wild solution, but the shitty GFS may be overcorrecting at this range now.... Cant put much weight into it as it was in the Atlantic 30 hours ago. Waiting for king Euro. I tend to agree but the trend is undeniable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Absolute jackpot run for MBY. Would be a wild solution, but the shitty GFS may be overcorrecting at this range now.... Cant put much weight into it as it was in the Atlantic 30 hours ago. Waiting for king Euro. Don't think u can trust any model 48 hrs out these days. Airports are gonna be a nightmare. Airlines better start issuing vouchers now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, Stevo6899 said: Don't think u can trust any model 48 hrs out these days. Airports are gonna be a nightmare. Airlines better start issuing vouchers now. As long as we dont pull a sudden vanishing act within 48 where an open wave goes through the deep south... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 The 0z GEFS is actually a better run for N IL then the 18z. 0z And the 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 15 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: Most of these ensembles are great hits for N IL thru 126 (especially #20) Toss everything south of the main band for every ensemble. That back end stuff is incredibly overdone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 34 minutes ago, zinski1990 said: Yep. I'm used to it at this point. Just kind of sucks tbh but hey what can u do? Can't wait for my "flash-frozen puddle warning" to kick in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCIWxGuy Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Tonight's Euro is gonna be a mood-setter for the Chicago area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, NCIWxGuy said: Tonight's Euro is gonna be a mood-setter for the Chicago area... Hell if the GFS went this far west the Euro probably goes over Omaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, NCIWxGuy said: Tonight's Euro is gonna be a mood-setter for the Chicago area... I've been living and dying by late-night model runs for years, looking forward to a single dataset tonight making or breaking my entire Monday, like a normal and average person 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCIWxGuy Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, Stebo said: Hell if the GFS went this far west the Euro probably goes over Omaha. Hahahahaha the 12z run already had the low over LAF, I guess we're shooting at least LaSalle/Peru for this run...RIP (but not rippage) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Toss everything south of the main band for every ensemble. That back end stuff is incredibly overdoneI buy more pronounced wraparound deformation banding than usual given the extreme negative tilt of the system. Wraparound snow is often overdone, but there are rare cases it produces. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 20 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: I buy more pronounced wraparound deformation banding than usual given the extreme negative tilt of the system. Wraparound snow is often overdone, but there are rare cases it produces. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk That stuff south of the main band tho is transitional from rain to snow along the Arctic front. Which is why it looks splotchy and I just dont see that happening especially across Indiana, Southern Michigan, and Ohio. That shut off along the front will be pronounced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Bah humbug. I like waiting for a big storm somewhere but I hate the timing. Had relatives wanting to come down to nw IN from Green Bay for Christmas. Now they may have to wait till New Years or spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Stebo said: Hell if the GFS went this far west the Euro probably goes over Omaha. I was thinking with the GFS moving west, the EURO will move east to Cleveland lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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