SolidIcewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 As many have said, 10:1 maps will be closer to reality, but for lolz... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, ILSNOW said: Question form the pro's I know that the Kuchera maps are overstated but are the 10:1 maps understated? Perhaps slightly, but definitely much closer to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 What a day of runs. F*cking epic. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just wish wasn’t 100 hours away, but it’s a strong signal for somewhere in the region nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago WX said: What a day of runs. F*cking epic. Could be Tom Skilling of WGN Super Bowl of storms. Having gone to school at Northwestern ‘96-2000, I saw how excited he got about January ‘99 snow that dropped nearly 22 inches at O’hare. Rooting for Chicago record!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Nasty AF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Coming together, lots of details to work out and small changes will make wild sensible weather changes for some folks. But high confidence for a very high impact event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 If consistency continues on this scenario, we in the NWS are really gonna have to hit the message hard about this being a life threatening blizzard, with incredibly cold temps for a system of this nature. Barring a big change in the evolution, the probability is increasingly high for the main swath to see extreme impacts. That's despite it being mainly a Thursday PM-Friday event. Have to give the overall run to run consistency of the Euro some credence at this point. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The NAM is gonna break this site once in range 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: I think the modern era Festivus hit for DTW is the 8.5" on 12-23-04. I know someone who will gladly correct if I'm wrong. Cue MSF I may be mistaken, but wasn't that 2002? I only remember cause I just bought a new house and was up all night painting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: If consistency continues on this scenario, we in the NWS are really gonna have to hit the message hard about this being a life threatening blizzard, with incredibly cold temps for a system of this nature. Barring a big change in the evolution, the probability is increasingly high for the main swath to see extreme impacts. That's despite it being mainly a Thursday PM-Friday event. Have to give the overall run to run consistency of the Euro some credence at this point. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk How would this Chicago storm compare to 1967, 1979, 1999? More wind and power outages I assume. Can’t wait for Tom Skilling and WGN forecast maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: As many have said, 10:1 maps will be closer to reality, but for lolz... Nice SEMI donut hole. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 This is so close to being a huge hit for a lot of us on this board. Would be nice for Columbus to break it's streak of no storms over 6" dating back 2015. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: If consistency continues on this scenario, we in the NWS are really gonna have to hit the message hard about this being a life threatening blizzard, with incredibly cold temps for a system of this nature. Barring a big change in the evolution, the probability is increasingly high for the main swath to see extreme impacts. That's despite it being mainly a Thursday PM-Friday event. Have to give the overall run to run consistency of the Euro some credence at this point. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk What air temps did we have for GHD1? I assume this is much colder. Would be some seriously life threatening conditions with the progged cold if we end up with another LSD parking lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, Frog Town said: I may be mistaken, but wasn't that 2002? I only remember cause I just bought a new house and was up all night painting. 2004 for sure. SOHV Big Dog grazed SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 15 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Nasty AF Front comes through strong then it kinda lets off the throttle some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, Jersey Andrew said: How would this Chicago storm compare to 1967, 1979, 1999? More wind and power outages I assume. Can’t wait for Tom Skilling and WGN forecast maps. We don't know. NAM hasn't run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Verbatim the 12z Euro has the QC in the negative single digits below zero early Fri morning with 55mph winds and falling snow. That would put wind chills pushing -40. That combined with significant blowing snow in open country would likely make for extremely dangerous travel conditions to say the least. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Wagons east wait and see. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 If the low occluded early like the gfs shows that could keep some of the warmth away. Something to watch as well. Also when the low comes north is in question too. Also the depth of digging is in question. The certainty is that this will be a significant to historic storm and it is for this region. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 16 hours ago, WeatherMonger said: I'm not excited either, one thing that has a bit of optimism going for me is the OP, CS doesn't make fantasy threads or overhype. I always pay attention when he starts them. Still remember the monster clipper from accuwx days, he started the thread less than 48 hours out when no one else had mentioned it, it had WSWarnings from IA into OH with 6"+ totals, had to have been '07-'09 or thereabouts. Miss the historical data that site had in it. Forever lost. A little off topic here: I may be able to access several resources regarding winter storms in that time period (I saved a lot of images, plus there are other resources online.) Not sure what you were thinking of Meanwhile... GFS Ensemble member 19 has 2.5" water equivalent for Chicago, so I'm rooting for that. the ECMWF ensemble members max out at 1.64" total water equivalent for Chicago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 33 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: The NAM is gonna break this site once in range Always my favorite model to look at lol. I miss the days it seemed to always give extreme amounts. Still sometimes does but not like 5-10 plus years ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The fact we could potentially have verifiable blizzard conditions in the STL area, especially Metro East, is freaking wild. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 For a lot of people in the sub this could be their first Blizzard Warning since 2011 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 :: trying my hardest not to get pumped up or show any emotion but secretly pumped the f up for a potential pre-Christmas blizz :: 12z trends were pretty pretty pretty good 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 12z EPS bumped west as well, actually favor NW of the OP Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 12z EPS bumped west as well, actually favor NW of the OP Euro.So in other words, we're steady reeling in highest impacts in Chicago/N. IL/S. WI region?Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Anybody know the average SLP error for this time range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Could see much of the sub under blizzard warnings with this one. Recent snowfall (or ongoing snow?), combined with single digits above and below zero and 50-60mph winds is gonna create life threatening travel conditions region wide. All at the worst time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now