mississaugasnow Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 45 minutes ago, JustMePatrick said: The Wind for those of us in Ohio/MI will be insane. check out the north shore of Lake Erie on that run. 70-75mph showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 reduced to looking for table scraps from the 18Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Baum said: reduced to looking for table scraps from the 18Z NAM And a stiff breeze 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turnkey Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Looks like maybe 4-6" for Indy, so I'm at least happy that we have a good chance for a white Christmas. Though I'm actually traveling to East Central Indiana and Southern Indiana for Christmas. But we'll hopefully be able to get a little sledding in on Christmas Eve 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 ECMWF has now halved QPF for Chicago for two straight runs... 24 hours to go from 1.2" to 0.3" QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 35 minutes ago, Frog Town said: One hell of a cut off in SEMI though. Drive 20 miles and you go from 2-4" to 12". I'm on the 2-4" side. Plenty of talk of further east shift from the local morning disco Detroit NWS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: ECMWF has now halved QPF for Chicago for two straight runs... 24 hours to go from 1.2" to 0.3" QPF It’s been no better than the other models. Not what it used to be for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 59 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Looking real good for MI. Good luck to you all! Thinking a 1-2” call is solid for MBY. Anything more is gravy right now. I seriously wish we could share some of this snow with you all. In my back yard we've gotten about 43" of lake effect already this year. My roof needs a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Hoping the QPF trends back up, that's killing the spread the wealthness 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Can’t wait for HRRR range tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 16 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: ECMWF has now halved QPF for Chicago for two straight runs... 24 hours to go from 1.2" to 0.3" QPF I have a feeling we see a tick back up tonight but nothing major 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: I have a feeling we see a major tick back up tonight FYP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I've got family wanting to know if they should make the drive from Nashville to Chicagoland Friday; my initial reaction was no but if we're set to get like 3" in the city, doesn't strike me as the kind of crippling blizzard set-up that was being advertised (both in terms of amounts, obviously, but also shifting the focus of winds east towards MI). This is a mess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 18 minutes ago, Michigander said: I seriously wish we could share some of this snow with you all. In my back yard we've gotten about 43" of lake effect already this year. My roof needs a break. Appreciate the sentiment. Looks like we’ll get a little, so that’ll help the mood. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: I've got family wanting to know if they should make the drive from Nashville to Chicagoland Friday; my initial reaction was no but if we're set to get like 3" in the city, doesn't strike me as the kind of crippling blizzard set-up that was being advertised (both in terms of amounts, obviously, but also shifting the focus of winds east towards MI). This is a mess They could still probably knock at least a few hours off of their commute time by just coming in Thursday for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Possum Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I've got family wanting to know if they should make the drive from Nashville to Chicagoland Friday; my initial reaction was no but if we're set to get like 3" in the city, doesn't strike me as the kind of crippling blizzard set-up that was being advertised (both in terms of amounts, obviously, but also shifting the focus of winds east towards MI). This is a messI’m in a similar boat, supposed to drive from Chicago to Dayton, OH on Friday. I’m worried about the conditions through north-central Indiana especially. We’re gonna have a very disappointed niece if we cancel, but I don’t want to end up stuck on the side of the highway either. Really tough call for a lot of us. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: I've got family wanting to know if they should make the drive from Nashville to Chicagoland Friday; my initial reaction was no but if we're set to get like 3" in the city, doesn't strike me as the kind of crippling blizzard set-up that was being advertised (both in terms of amounts, obviously, but also shifting the focus of winds east towards MI). This is a mess Interstate 65 north of Indy is frequently a mess without snowy (or near blizzard) conditions. I'd avoid Friday travel. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Octopus Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, Kaner88 said: I've got family wanting to know if they should make the drive from Nashville to Chicagoland Friday; my initial reaction was no but if we're set to get like 3" in the city, doesn't strike me as the kind of crippling blizzard set-up that was being advertised (both in terms of amounts, obviously, but also shifting the focus of winds east towards MI). This is a mess Rain to ice would still probably be an issue. Dropping down to single-digit temperatures immediately after .5-1 inches of rain would make most roads pretty sketchy I'd imagine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 SREF putting my area in the 15" or so range. It will be interesting to see how the lake effect materializes given the winds that are expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 People still use SREFS? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 I suppose the biggest question now is, for those more knowledgeable, is this looking like a believable final track or do more shifts appear in the cards? Between snow coming in above expectations in the Pacific NW & recent model trends favoring east shifts, feels like no one knows what's happening (or, more accurately, I have no clue what's happening). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 2-4 for west burbs, Lollipop 6 amounts SE near lake. Maybe just maybe does ALEK get his 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Maybe just maybe does ALEK get his 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: People still use SREFS? Desperate times desperate measures. I still peak at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Conditions on Lake Erie and Ontario late Friday into Saturday are going to be absolutely nuts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Octopus Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 To my eye, the upper dynamics of the system still doesn't mesh with the surface picture the models are putting out. I would think that a system with a jet streak like this Should have a more consolidated vort field than this My guess would be that the remnant jet over Wisconsin on Wednesday develops just enough to muddy the axis and delay the main jet from consolidating. But if you look at the strength of the two streaks, you'd think the southern one would be bullying the northern. Not the other way around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 GRR appears to be going with 7"-16" over their CWA with 17' waves on Lake Michigan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 New thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 lol why? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2022 Author Share Posted December 20, 2022 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: lol why? a tradition like no other. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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