RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 10 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: 0z Euro is a Scrooge storm for the ages over here in SEMI. Wave bye-bye as the GFS's westward movement towards the EC's portrayal continues. We're the dryslot capital remember. You in AA ofc might have less concerns. Two prior biggies for SMI had a horrid cut-off east of your area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 If only the Kuchera method could apply here, this run would be fridge posting material for ALEK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The trend is our friend… 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Cutters never trend back east, they just don't. This thing is locked in. Enjoy the pounding, we are snow starved out east here. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, ChiTownSnow said: Question.. given that it is around the holidays, when do you think winter storm watches would be hoisted? I would assume giving the situation, a bit earlier than normal? There has already been messaging. Hoisting has a specific protocol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, Rd9108 said: Cutters never trend back east, they just don't. This thing is locked in. Enjoy the pounding, we are snow starved out east here. Yep, Chicago Special yet again. Going to join the EC and EOHV weenies over in the consolation thread. Sigh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 CMC west too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Midnight 12/22 - Midnight Christmas Eve, 12z GFS Even at 10:1 ratios, a great white Christmas for a good chunk of the subforum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Even 4 to 5 with gusts to 55 would be nuts to see. Im a bit younger so I’d love to experience this big dog if it pulls thru 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, SolidIcewx said: Even 4 to 5 with gusts to 55 would be nuts to see. Im a bit younger so I’d love to experience this big dog if it pulls thru I too would love to see this occur, even if it would make traveling to see my family in Chicago more treacherous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I'll take the 6z gfs please. Yeah, well who wouldn't, right? Saved Kuchera maps for all-time model weenie clownage for SMI. Now we trend lower and lower as the GFS continues to fold to King Euro and blasts S Lake Mich region. Not a good sign for SEMI if MQT is pumped for a NW trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 CMC west too?12z GEM with a big jump back west as well, after the hiccup east on the 0z run.Trough digs in much further west and is slower, allowing the the Canada lobe to retreat north and increase ridging ahead of the main wave/trough.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: GFS being either way too gifting with the subtle shunt east for SEMI, or it is another Grinch tease as it pulls the rug in the next 24 hrs and we suck dry slotting with the SLP running up our arse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Pretty good agreement among the models at this stage. Hoping the west trend stops here otherwise I’m going to be dealing with mixing issues. Still in a great spot for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: The trend is our friend… Ahh just like the old days with the ol' northwest trend. Just need another 150 miles please lol. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, sbnwx85 said: Pretty good agreement among the models at this stage. Hoping the west trend stops here otherwise I’m going to be dealing with mixing issues. Still in a great spot for now. Yep, sitting on the north side of Indy, 12z was about 20 miles too far nw from being a biblical storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: GFS being either way too gifting with the subtle shunt east for SEMI, or it is another Grinch tease as it pulls the rug in the next 24 hrs and we suck dry slotting with the SLP running up our arse I think we both know how this is gonna end up. We're stuck in the middle of big dog purgatory. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 The 12z GFS is a full out blizzard, with 50-70KT at 925mb on the backside of the SLP. This would lead to surface wind gusts of 50-70MPH. . 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: The 12z GFS is a full out blizzard, with 50-70KT at 925mb on the backside of the SLP. Would lead to surface wind gusts of 50-70MPH. . And if there's convection driven gravity waves that could also add even higher gust potential, ala Dec '87. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Ahh just like the old days with the ol' northwest trend. Just need another 150 miles please lol.150 probably a bridge too far..that said this is a very large system so everyone is going to see action and plenty of it, a complete crush job on naperville, il weds night thur friday would be ideal and then my exit on saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Cautiously optimistic but cognizant there’s still 72 hours to go before this is better defined. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Blizzard/ Ground Blizzard for almost all 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye1994 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Dayton Ohio left out to dry yet again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, SolidIcewx said: Blizzard/ Ground Blizzard for almost all Probably ground blizzard conditions until Monday. Good luck trying to travel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The 12z GFS is a full out blizzard, with 50-70KT at 925mb on the backside of the SLP. Would lead to surface wind gusts of 50-70MPH. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Probably ground blizzard conditions until Monday. Good luck trying to travel I have last little bit of Xmas shopping on Friday thankfully I’m staying local Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 This is still the only thing we should be looking at right now....patience, or you'll be disappointed. Carry on. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 weenie mode activated 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Frog Town said: This is still the only thing we should be looking at right now....patience, or you'll be disappointed. Carry on. Basically you should be happy if your state is covered in blue at this juncture. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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