Gino27 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 East coast peeps aren't gonna like this particular run lol..Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: . Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk And bam there is the entertainment lmao. I don’t recall any of us getting to that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: . Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk it's all fun and games until the 12Z Euro puts it over the Delmarva 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 It blows my mind that their thread is already at like 44 pages. Come on guys let's get hyped already 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: It blows my mind that their thread is already at like 44 pages. Come on guys let's get hyped already They have way more people love the spirit tho!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 10 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: Edit: The 12z 12/16 and 00z 12/17 runs of the ECMWF are the wildest back to back model runs for this area since I've been out here. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Let’s hope for a three-peat with the 12z 12/17 EURO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: They have way more people love the spirit tho!! Yeah but we're cooler sooo 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Baum said: it's all fun and games until the 12Z Euro puts it over the Delmarva 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Malacka11 said: Yeah but we're cooler sooo Damn right! It’s funny to see the others in that thread be the ones to put out the dumpster fire. At least over here we are happy with a 6-10. This thread would go nuts over a 2 footer from DVN to DTW. Not referring to the upcoming event just a generalization 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said: Why do we care so much about what the east coast snobs think? Obviously a long ways to go but more often than not when you're looking at a storm strengthening like this, you'd rather be west of guidance (Always will have ghd nightmares/flashbacks). I think this is the winter the nw trend comes back, unfortunately for peeps east of chitown. East coast snobs ? Uh Enjoy the snow 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Damn right! It’s funny to see the others in that thread be the ones to put out the dumpster fire. At least over here we are happy with a 6-10. This thread would go nuts over a 2 footer from DVN to DTW. Not referring to the upcoming event just a generalization Some women pray for 6-10 inches every day… …of snow. Come on, now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sciascia said: Some women pray for 6-10 inches every day… …of snow. Come on, now. That's why everyone calls me "moisture-starved clipper"... inch and a half, take it or leave it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, Sciascia said: Some women pray for 6-10 inches every day… …of snow. Come on, now. You caught me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Euro taking the STL to South Bend Path, looks great for N IL/WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 42 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Damn right! It’s funny to see the others in that thread be the ones to put out the dumpster fire. At least over here we are happy with a 6-10. This thread would go nuts over a 2 footer from DVN to DTW. Not referring to the upcoming event just a generalization Let me just say that people cliff jumping over getting 33 and rain is part of the fun. And then when the rare overperformer happens, everyone is beyond thrilled and backslapping. I had more than my fair share of total climo screw jobs when I lived in Charlottesville. The thread has to be so fine to get through the needle there, but when it happened, it was GLORIOUS. Looks like OH is gonna get bombed unless the track goes haywire here. And while I doubt the STL region gets 8” like the some modeling says right now, I will be more than overjoyed to simply get a few inches and have a White Christmas and serious cold for the first time since I was a kid and lived in MN and WI! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Euro taking the STL to South Bend Path, looks great for N IL/WI. V consistent with multiple banger runs in a row now, it used to be deadly in this range when dialed in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 24-30 hour duration over the major travel days. Eek 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 One thing I notice is, as strong as the storm is, the cold sector precip is not exceptionally intense. This probably has to do with the deep moisture being displaced off the east coast, not accessible by the great lakes storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, A-L-E-K said: V consistent with multiple banger runs in a row now, it used to be deadly in this range when dialed in Yup. Classic Chicago storm track. Plenty of details to refine, but my confidence is growing for at least a warning level storm. Let’s just avoid the 48 hr disappearing act which was the name of the game the past few years… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 One thing I notice is, as strong as the storm is, the cold sector precip is not exceptionally intense. This probably has to do with the deep moisture being displaced off the east coast, not accessible by the great lakes storm.This is a very good point. The lead wave really hinders a deeper Gulf influence. Without that, things could really get out of hand.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: This is a very good point. The lead wave really hinders a deeper Gulf influence. Without that, things could really get out of hand. . Are there any tweaks to the evolution that could prevent that or is it just how it is with this setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Euro taking the STL to South Bend Path, looks great for N IL/WI. Nice track for all the burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: This is a very good point. The lead wave really hinders a deeper Gulf influence. Without that, things could really get out of hand. . Two questions: 1. Is it necessary that the lead front push that hard in order for a good storm to occur? 2. If not, was the 00z EURO an example of what could occur if the system has some gulf moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Are there any tweaks to the evolution that could prevent that or is it just how it is with this setup?Having the main wave and trough dig deeper into the Central US or having a slower progression would be two ways to improve that, especially since the weak lead wave and the early week storm system are unlikely to magically disappear. However, if any of the two aforementioned changes were go occur, it could lead to radically different solutions.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Two questions: 1. Is it necessary that the lead front push that hard in order for a good storm to occur? 2. If not, was the 00z EURO an example of what could occur if the system has some gulf moisture?The sweeping front across the Central US is inevitable, and most definitely is an integral piece, providing a sharp baroclinic zone.The 12z Euro from yesterday probably had the best available moisture feed out of any Euro run thus far. They have mostly been similar overall, though.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Good runs Lock’m in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Crazy wrap around on all the models too. Snowing and blowing with temps in the single digits. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Notable changes from the 12z EPS too vs the 00z and 06z runs, whether the changes are improvements depends on where you live in the sub. Def a better look for northern IL. Deeper h5 low and more of a westward lean to the surface low positions. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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