Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, chuckster2012 said: If anyone cares, I've gone from 17" on the 12 Gfs to 3" on the 00z. Fun week ahead. I'm in SE Indiana, btw. I wouldn't put much stock into any one solution right now esp the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: In my opinion those are two overused issues brought up. Dry slots happen in most storms but it's not like any areas prone to them more than another. As for blizzard? I think the last one was February 2003 but blizzard is blizzard is more about wind and visibility. I'm totally fine getting a big storm without blizzard criteria. But if it happens, bring it February 2003 might have featured blizzard conditions, but I'm pretty sure there wasn't an actual warning, at least not in the Detroit area. I think that was RogueWaves' point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The 00z op Euro still has a powerful blizzard, but it's about a state farther east/northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 That 12z Euro run is without exaggeration the wildest non fantasy range model solution for a winter storm in this area that I can recall in my time here (since July 2010).hmm, is that still the case?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 57 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: I wouldn't put much stock into any one solution right now esp the GFS Oh, I'm not. At least for a few more days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 hmm, is that still the case?.Edit: The 12z 12/16 and 00z 12/17 runs of the ECMWF are the wildest back to back model runs for this area since I've been out here. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Edit: The 12z 12/16 and 00z 12/17 runs of the ECMWF are the wildest back to back model runs for this area since I've been out here. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk We may as well slap at least one map up for posterity… and the winds… 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I'm still very happy with 0z euro compared to 12z run. Incredible bombing low albeit further ENE this run. Hoping an east trend won't commence with the cut. I like where it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Widespread 55-65mph winds simultaneous with the snowfall verbatim on the Euro. Sounds like a good time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 38 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Widespread 55-65mph winds simultaneous with the snowfall verbatim on the Euro. Sounds like a good time. If only we could lock that in now and this was only a few days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Looks like the past consecutive 5 GFS op runs have slowly shifted west towards the Euro... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Hot run obv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Gfs still continues to be a stubborn mule but has a robust clipper come in behind the bigger storm on Xmas Eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 First call: 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 12am Thursday - 12am Christmas Day, 00z EURO This would be crippling. Fun to watch, but crippling for travel. A Buried Christmas, if you will. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Would be a ton of stranded & angry Christmas travelers at ORD with the 00z EURO solution... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 And gfs the polar opposite, dusting for all. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 25 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: And gfs the polar opposite, dusting for all. Lol Watching the Mid Atlantic sub cheer on the GFS while we and the plains sub are pulling for King Euro is pure tracking entertainment. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Trending towards some aggressive final calls tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I’m okay with a generic 4-8 but if those winds are cranking at 50 id be more then happy to see that. I remember some storms when I was younger in the early 00s a Blizzard has been on my Xmas list for quite sometime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Sciascia said: 12am Thursday - 12am Christmas Day, 00z EURO This would be crippling. Fun to watch, but crippling for travel. A Buried Christmas, if you will. Saving this gif to show my grandkids one day. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, The Ole Bucket said: Watching the Mid Atlantic sub cheer on the GFS while we and the plains sub are pulling for King Euro is pure tracking entertainment. I'm sure they are having nuclear meltdowns like they often do. Lol. At least we can handle a miss and defeat even though it sucks. We watch them get nor'easters constantly. I remember same thing happened with GHD I. I think one model hung on to coastal storm while everything else was a GLC and they were fuming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: I'm sure they are having nuclear meltdowns like they often do. Lol. At least we can handle a miss and defeat even though it sucks. We watch them get nor'easters constantly. I remember same thing happened with GHD I. I think one model hung on to coastal storm while everything else was a GLC and they were fuming. It seems to happen like that over there. A lot more people to add to the mix. You are right we do a good job handling our shit. We are like lions fans not bothered by a loss. *I am a fan also* even the NWS in Detroit/Pontiac out out a small note on their discussion for this week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 And gfs the polar opposite, dusting for all. Lolthat’s definitely more than a dusting for all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: that’s definitely more than a dusting for all. . It's called sarcasm but compared to euro it's like a dusting. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 43 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: that’s definitely more than a dusting for all. . Yeah, about as big of broad brush of a 8+” as you can get area wide through Christmas Day regardless of how it plays out, I am getting pretty confident in seeing my first white Christmas in a few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I'm sure they are having nuclear meltdowns like they often do. Lol. At least we can handle a miss and defeat even though it sucks. We watch them get nor'easters constantly. I remember same thing happened with GHD I. I think one model hung on to coastal storm while everything else was a GLC and they were fuming. Its 2 ft plus for the new england sub to keep them happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 We’ve reached the point where it’s safe to say this is going to be a hybrid storm system for our region. Whether it ends up a more/less amplified version is still yet to be seen, but there’s no chance at this being a clipper, no chance of it being some sort of PH/CO hooker/cutter and no chance of it being a miss SE/E from a full on EC storm. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just the idea of that brutal cold wrapping up into that low. Interesting to see temps in areas dropping 25-40 degrees in a matter of 4 hours. Regardless what the outcome a strong system like this would hit most of the area. Euro is on the good stuff or has had too many drinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 i give you our world class GFS model. the worthless pos it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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