Shocker0 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 The ponds are frozen enough to stand on here already. I'm surprised they have snow cover since it only snowed for a couple hours. That would mean they had to freeze over fast. But then again it could've been from the dusting last night 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Tellico River and Bald River Falls today 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Cumberland Cove in Mayland (somewhat near Monterey) had some pretty areas today with snow on the trees. Second pic is Davy Crockett Campground west of Crossville (between Crossville/Monterey): 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Absolutely beautiful picture. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Merry Christmas folks! Hope all of yall are doing well. Weather wise this 'Eve I reached a high of 10.2 and received a couple more tenths of wispy powdery snow to aid in some window dressing for the season. In the end not really a white Christmas, not really a brown one, more like a "silver" one. At the end of the day though I count my blessings that I have electricity and warm a house. It sure was fun discussing and observing this one guys, all the best. With any luck we might be back in business again for the clipper. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Several models are coming in with .75 to 1.5 inches from the clipper tomorrow. WFOs are playing it way down, especially MRX, but it may surprise. Every flake will stick on all surfaces. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 The various NAM nest models are downright aggressive. Especially for the mid-state. The Canadian family seems to like the Chattanooga area. The GFS and HRRR have a nice 1 to 1.5 around Knoxville. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 As for the cold section of the thread. My high today was 24.4 after a low of 6.2 this morning. Maybe the coldest multi day stretch we've ever seen with such minimal snow cover. I was colder in December 1989 but had several inches of snow on the ground. Also colder in 1985 but had a lot snow on the ground. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 57 minutes ago, John1122 said: The various NAM nest models are downright aggressive. Especially for the mid-state. The Canadian family seems to like the Chattanooga area. The GFS and HRRR have a nice 1 to 1.5 around Knoxville. It would be fitting for this to happen. I think Carver mentioned it earlier in the thread. A long time ago, when we had these kind of air masses, it would always seem to snow one last time on the last cold or semi cold day before the warm-up. In other words, end the cold snap with a snow. The old timers used to say it would have to “warm up” to snow. I can remember hearing that more than once. Just like the phrase too cold to snow (of course we know that’s not the case it was always just the moisture wasn’t there.) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 The 21z RAP is 1+ almost valley wide. Quite a bit more out west. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Hopefully this thing holds together and brings the area a decent little event. WWA are up for western Kentucky for up to 2 Inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Tomorrow's clipper might be fun. I remember back several years ago a similar scenario with dying clipper expected to only bring flurries. While at work in North Knox at the time I remember coming out of the door not expecting anything and finding 2" of snow. While not a lot of snow it was one of the most impressive busts because MRX had only called for just flurries but also specifically said not enough moisture to accumulate at all. Maybe we'll get lucky. Weak dying systems are very capable of creating surprises.Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted December 25, 2022 Share Posted December 25, 2022 Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. Plateau shouldn’t do much to it if the clipper tracks from Memphis to Chattanooga right? That’s a similar track the ULL took 10 years ago or something like that when ETn got 6-10”. That’s when Birmingham to Huntsville picked up 5” in like 2 hours or something crazy like that. . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. Maybe the moisture is catching up to better lift right at the valley before it fizzles out, or maybe it's hitting the mountains and there is a slight amount of backing in the flow. Backing in the flow, up against the mountains sometimes contributes to surprise totals in the valley.Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Maybe the moisture is catching up to better lift right at the valley before it fizzles out, or maybe it's hitting the mountains and there is a slight amount of backing in the flow. Backing in the flow, up against the mountains sometimes contributes to surprise totals in the valley.Sent from my SM-F721U using TapatalkI noticed MRX talked about how the better dynamics was not lined up with the better moisture. Makes me wonder what it would look like had they gotten lined up. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Clouds moving in during the morning should help keep temps likely at best in the upper 20s as the warmest, and frozen ground every flake that falls sticks, my biggest concern is overcoming dry air, and how much virga do we deal with before reaching the ground.Sent from my SM-F721U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. While the RGEM isn’t pretty, it almost looks like the snow maps indicates a redevelopment in the southern valley like you were saying. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Clouds moving in during the morning should help keep temps likely at best in the upper 20s as the warmest, and frozen ground every flake that falls sticks, my biggest concern is overcoming dry air, and how much virga do we deal with before reaching the ground.Sent from my SM-F721U using TapatalkDon’t know if it will make a difference but a blanket of morning clouds might help keep whatever low level moisture we have in place. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 My grandpa always said, "if it clouds up a frost, snow is on the way." 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 The HRRR is still healthy for western areas, especially north of 40. It's trying to squeeze out an inch or so in the East. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 WWA up for west TN 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 WWA up for west TNOne inch of snow on the back roads in Knox co will not be good. Even on state roads like Emory Rd where I live have sections that just don’t do well no matter how much snow melt they put down. The end of my subdivision comes out on Emory and it’s in a terrible location. Emory at my subdivision is a downhill turn that’s sloped to one side. People take it to easy and slide off into the ditch. From there the slide offs just multiply. My subdivision entrance is almost always blocked in that turn and there’s only one way in or out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Well…. This radar looks better than I expected . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Not a common thing in my experience to be too far north for a clipper but it looks like north of 40 will be in Eastern areas. Southern valley/Chattanooga is looking like a secondary bullseye across almost all modeling now for a quick inch or so. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 Definitely looks healthy on radar: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 4 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Definitely looks healthy on radar: Dont know if this is going to hold together. it looks like most of the energy is going to be in the south part of the state. Snowing good in Memphis now. Nashville has got around a half to an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 It's close to me but 50/50 that it just dies as it gets here like it did when the Arctic front moved through the other night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 26, 2022 Share Posted December 26, 2022 DeSoto Co., North MS 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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