"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[CT Rain]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Who cares what BOX has? Why are so hung up on them? Stick with Ryan. He is excited. When he goes big it’s rare and it’s for a reason 

I'm neither excited nor going big. 

[78Blizzard]

It looks more and more like the only places in SNE that will have an official white Christmas will be ACK and possibly MVY thanks to OE following the storm.

[tavwtby]

little IP/SN/RN mix to start here in Winsted... been sitting at 35/29 nearly all day, forgive me if this was already addressed, but are we still thinking these winds will mix down and verify at the sfc? some things I was seeing yesterday and earlier were looking at sustained 30-40 with 60+ gusts, also looks like the thermometer is going to break Fri night with a sick delta from a high of around 50...

[radarman]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

It looks more and more like the only places in SNE that will have an official white Christmas will be ACK and possibly MVY thanks to OE following the storm.

We counting the high ground of the berks as CNE?  fair if so.

[tavwtby]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

90-100” weenie pointing right at Pickles at La Dilfa Inn 

this is insanely laughable, what storm was it that was spitting out numbers like this for our area, was that 2013, or 15?

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I'm neither excited nor going big. 

   

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I'm neither excited nor going big. 

Lmao…Kev trying so hard to make this into something crazy. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

this is insanely laughable, what storm was it that was spitting out numbers like this for our area, was that 2013, or 15?

‘13

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I'm neither excited nor going big. 

You’ve got gusts to 60 and widespread power outages. In a written icon on air. I’ve seen your texts. This is big for you 

[Brian5671]

I think you woudl need many hrs of gusts to 60 to get widespread power outages in winter   March 2010 had it go on for about 10-12 hrs which is what made it so damaging here.

[tavwtby]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

‘13

thx, I seem to remember like widespread 60"+ on one of those nam runs, regardless they are going to get hammered with synoptic and then les, man, twice in one year having a multiple foot snow event there, is that uncommon? I know the tughill gets it almost yearly but around the Buf area, I don't recall... my uncle lives in I think Williamsport or burg, and remember one year he had like 65" in one event over a couple day period,but was strictly LES, regardless, that's insane

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

I think you woudl need many hrs of gusts to 60 to get widespread power outages in winter   March 2010 had it go on for about 10-12 hrs which is what made it so damaging here.

All I can tell you is what he’s got on air and texts. He’s all in 

[CT Rain]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

All I can tell you is what he’s got on air and texts. He’s all in 

Yeah I have 50-60 mph gusts. Saying widespread outages as that's what Eversource is saying and to prepare people for the holidays. 

I do think there's the chance for some bigger gusts in/around convection but that can always be tough to accomplish. 

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

Yeah I have 50-60 mph gusts. Saying widespread outages as that's what Eversource is saying and to prepare people for the holidays. 

I do think there's the chance for some bigger gusts in/around convection but that can always be tough to accomplish. 

Oh boy-never go with what UI/Eversource says....they are setting the bar high so they can look good when little to nothing happens...   Although I give them credit it's a turnaround from storms like Oct 2011 when they said they were "Caught off guard" when you and the other channels were barking for days about it....

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yeah I have 50-60 mph gusts. Saying widespread outages as that's what Eversource is saying and to prepare people for the holidays. 

I do think there's the chance for some bigger gusts in/around convection but that can always be tough to accomplish. 

Thanks ! 

[CT Rain]

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Oh boy-never go with what UI/Eversource says....they are setting the bar high so they can look good when little to nothing happens...   Although I give them credit it's a turnaround from storms like Oct 2011 when they said they were "Caught off guard" when you and the other channels were barking for days about it....

Yeah for sure they're overshooting. Most likely scenario is widespread advisory and scattered outages but there is definitely some potential for some higher end stuff with convection. 

[Damage In Tolland]

#wild 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Dumping, for now…

 

[Sn0waddict]

1 hour ago, BrianW said:

 

That’s all of eversources territory. Not just CT

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

That’s all of eversources territory. Not just CT

ah that makes more sense...no way is 400K going out in CT for rain and wind

[WxWatcher007]

Nothing says “Christmas” like my holiday lights shimmering in 39° rain.

Son of Grinch has arrived.

My one and only observation before the Arctic front arrives in this godforsaken event. 

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

That’s all of eversources territory. Not just CT

No. It's CT. But it's also a bad headline. 

They're predicting a Level 4 event which would mean 125k-380k without power. 

[Sn0waddict]

Just now, CT Rain said:

No. It's CT. But it's also a bad headline. 

They're predicting a Level 4 event which would mean 125k-380k without power. 

 

[Sn0waddict]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

No. It's CT. But it's also a bad headline. 

They're predicting a Level 4 event which would mean 125k-380k without power. 

That seems like an absurd overstatement if true, my link above seemed to hint that was all of their territory. We shall see though ha

[Brian5671]

some schools have already closed lol.   At least get some power outages first....

[Brian5671]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

That seems like an absurd overstatement if true, my link above seemed to hint that was all of their territory. We shall see though ha

All designed so they look good when it's less the proverbial "we dodged a bullet" headline...some stock footage of 10 trucks in a row rolling into town...it's all about the image

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

 

This is what I was told by an Eversource friend. 70k is modeled mean worst case is 250k

[BrianW]

10 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

That’s all of eversources territory. Not just CT

Its for just CT. 

https://www.ctinsider.com/news/article/CT-weather-power-outages-rain-wind-chills-17671343.php

Eversource, the state's largest electricity provider, increased its outage predictions Thursday afternoon as the storm reached Connecticut. Eversource said it was preparing for a level 4 event with the potential for 125,000 to 380,000 outages that would take two to six days to restore — meaning some customers may still be in the dark on Christmas.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

.5”   32/30.  SN 

[WinterWolf]

Holy smokes…what ridiculous hype by Eversource.   What a joke.