"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Baroclinic Zone]

5 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

All I want for Christmas is an EF3 under my tree 

busta rhymes

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

BOX wind forecast 

 

I'll take the under for my area.

[Damage In Tolland]

GFS says Damage on Damage Incorporated 

 

[kdxken]

51 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That’s the song playing as I usher my family into the suv, trunk full, heading south to warmer pastures and electricity.
 

Deep winter of 22/23… 

What? You don't want to live like a refugee?

[40/70 Benchmark]

One jackpot I will be happy to concede is a grid-threatening, warm wind event the day before Xmas eve.

[Cyclone-68]

Wasn’t there a small town in ME that had a weak tornado Christmas Day several years back?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Cyclone-68 said:

Wasn’t there a small town in ME that had a weak tornado Christmas Day several years back?

Thanksgiving 2005? Snow OTG too. lol.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Thanksgiving 2005? Snow OTG too. lol.

I think it was a waterspout that made landfall

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think it was a waterspout that made landfall

Yeah came ashore and did minor damage. Pretty wild, but was on SE side of the low so you had enough shear and some low level CAPE.

[weatherwiz]

I think there was also one in the 1950's or maybe 1960's (maybe not Christmas Day) but late in December. Think it might have been an F1 or F2 too.

[wokeupthisam]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Peak gust O/U for mby is 25mph

I'll ante your 25mph, and raise my peak gust O/U here to 30mph ; )

Might grab a 35 post-fropa but selling anything over 40 here...

[Snowcrazed71]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah came ashore and did minor damage. Pretty wild, but was on SE side of the low so you had enough shear and some low level CAPE.

Imagine, a snownado mixed with a Sharknado. That's the makings of a sci-fi movie. Lol

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, Modfan2 said:

BOX wind forecast 

 

Let's get 'em up. Move some product.

[TalcottWx]

Hello.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Goodbye.

[Whineminster]

This could be way more memorable than another run of the mill 1' snow storm. 

[Chris12WX]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'll take the under for my area.

Always take the under in wind events.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Chris12WX said:

Always take the under in wind events.

At least for out area, anyway...

[TalcottWx]

Since everyone is so dedicated to remaining responsible and accountable for their personal expectations:

I think I might not have power until January. Simsbury might look like Bakhmut or Bucha after this thing rips through. 

I'm a masochist, punish thy knickers.

[wx2fish]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

At least for out area, anyway...

Yeah. I do think there's a window near and around fropa for higher gusts, but I'm not sold on widespread damaging winds locally. 

[FXWX]

2 hours ago, Modfan2 said:

BOX wind forecast 

 

I've lost the link to this product; would you be kind enough to send url?  Don't see the link on main BOX page?

[KTBFFH1905]

9 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

Since everyone is so dedicated to remaining responsible and accountable for their personal expectations:

I think I might not have power until January. Simsbury might look like Bakhmut or Bucha after this thing rips through. 

I'm a masochist, punish thy knickers.

Yep our grid area does not handle wind well. Both wood stoves will be screaming on Friday along with the genny prepped. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Peak gust O/U at blue hills 71 mph 

[Modfan2]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Peak gust O/U at blue hills 71 mph 

Take the under at 63 mph 

[DavisStraight]

58 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Let's get 'em up. Move some product.

Is that the black locust?

[ORH_wxman]

Euro looks like a snoozer over the interior. Cape and south coast though could get it really good. There's like this micro-low that runs near the Cape that we'll have to watch.

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Is that the black locust?

Half of it is. The other half is red oak.

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Peak gust O/U at blue hills 71 mph 

Way over 

[Spaizzo]

So I thought it was just going to be breezy and windy… then was notified Seymour closed schools Friday due to impending weather….how bad is it supposed to be??? lol


.

[dryslot]

The hefty qpf totals that models were projecting over a broad area also are starting to drop off some so that's a plus as well.

[Damage In Tolland]

Can someone post the sounding from GFS for HFD. I heard it’s wild