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"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd


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16 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

GFS up to 4in

in at 84 hours in the Presidentials. 

image.thumb.png.c57662ab9d7daae1a69cf86fc4b076d1.png

Just a wave of water moving in on S/SE flow off the Atlantic.  Crashing into the first huge barrier of terrain… S/C Greens and Whites. Get the sandbags, that’s a ton of QPF… in the warm season that gets eaten by vegetation. This time of year it’s either absorbed by snowpack or it all runs off.

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23 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

45 mph? Meh

Thursday Night
Rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all rain after 10pm. Low around 34. Breezy, with an east wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 
Friday
Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 54. Windy, with a southeast wind 23 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Friday Night
Rain and snow likely before 8pm, then a chance of snow between 8pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Windy, with a southwest wind 24 to 29 mph decreasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
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We are in rare air for these up here,

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>006-009-010-012>014-212000-
/O.NEW.KGYX.HW.A.0004.221223T1200Z-221224T0700Z/
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern
Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-Coastal
York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-Southern Coos-
Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern
Carroll-Belknap-Strafford-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior
Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron, Middle
Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc, Rangeley,
Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua, Long Pond,
Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman, Bethel,
Bryant Pond, Hanover, Locke Mills, Milton, Newry, Rumford, Norway,
Fryeburg, Oxford, Farmington, New Sharon, New Vineyard, Temple,
Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens, Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra,
Pittsfield, Embden, Madison, Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford,
Goodwins Mills, Buxton, Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray,
North Windham, Gorham, Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot,
Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor,
Vassalboro, Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox,
Liberty, Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford,
Saco, Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth, South
Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath,
Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna,
Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor,
Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden, Hope,
Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont, Lincolnville,
Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Errol, Millsfield, Colebrook, Berlin,
Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster, Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton,
Sugar Hill, Thornton, Waterville Valley, Woodstock, North Conway,
Albany, Conway, Chatham, Crawford Notch, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth,
Holderness, Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield,
Ossipee, Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Laconia, Gilford,
Meredith, Barrington, Rochester, Dover, Rollinsford, Somersworth,
Durham, Madbury, Manchester, Pelham, Nashua, Salem, Atkinson,
Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter, Greenland,
Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls, North Hampton, and Seabrook
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest, west central, and
  western Maine. Portions of central, northern, and southern New
  Hampshire.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe location prior to
the onset of winds. This includes outdoor holiday decorations.

&&

$$

Tubbs


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15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We are in rare air for these up here,

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>006-009-010-012>014-212000-
/O.NEW.KGYX.HW.A.0004.221223T1200Z-221224T0700Z/
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern
Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-Coastal
York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-Southern Coos-
Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern
Carroll-Belknap-Strafford-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior
Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron, Middle
Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc, Rangeley,
Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua, Long Pond,
Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman, Bethel,
Bryant Pond, Hanover, Locke Mills, Milton, Newry, Rumford, Norway,
Fryeburg, Oxford, Farmington, New Sharon, New Vineyard, Temple,
Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens, Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra,
Pittsfield, Embden, Madison, Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford,
Goodwins Mills, Buxton, Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray,
North Windham, Gorham, Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot,
Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor,
Vassalboro, Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox,
Liberty, Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford,
Saco, Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth, South
Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath,
Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna,
Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor,
Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden, Hope,
Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont, Lincolnville,
Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Errol, Millsfield, Colebrook, Berlin,
Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster, Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton,
Sugar Hill, Thornton, Waterville Valley, Woodstock, North Conway,
Albany, Conway, Chatham, Crawford Notch, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth,
Holderness, Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield,
Ossipee, Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Laconia, Gilford,
Meredith, Barrington, Rochester, Dover, Rollinsford, Somersworth,
Durham, Madbury, Manchester, Pelham, Nashua, Salem, Atkinson,
Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter, Greenland,
Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls, North Hampton, and Seabrook
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest, west central, and
  western Maine. Portions of central, northern, and southern New
  Hampshire.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe location prior to
the onset of winds. This includes outdoor holiday decorations.

&&

$$

Tubbs


Brutal. Man the life rafts

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