Modfan2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would watch for 50-65mph gusts. But I would not expect everyone to get those. I would except the worst at the coast or higher elevated locations 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 1 hour ago, UnitedWx said: Sorry. It's just my personality. The older I get the more the media freaking annoys me. I do appreciate your forecasts and I used to be a weather Watcher for Brad back in the mid 80s. Hell, I still have a Paul Cousins wvit hurricane tracking chart! I get it. In 17 years here I've never had anyone tell me or even implicitly pressure me to change the forecast. In fact more often than not if the forecast changes for the worse (tornadoes, more snow, higher winds) it's met with groans and annoyance by everyone in the newsroom as it means more work, longer days, etc. It's sort of funny but it's actually the opposite of what most people probably think goes on. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 These are about as impressive as you'll see. Also... 60 knots at top of the mixed layer out of the NW as the storm passes. GFS may be too well mixed (and NAM too inverted) - but throw in some convection this definitely is worth watching. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 We are 67 pages in for a storm with not much (if any) snow for us but from a purely interesting weather perspective this has been an entertaining one to track and discuss. Maybe we get a Christmas miracle inch on the back side as that hell of a cold front comes through. Not often that Arctic air moves into our area from the southwest so there might still be some surprises at the end of this storm. High gusts still on the table in the coastal plain as well. Stay tuned!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 I checked out for a couple of days.....can't believe this thread is still going. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 24 minutes ago, CT Rain said: These are about as impressive as you'll see. Also... 60 knots at top of the mixed layer out of the NW as the storm passes. GFS may be too well mixed (and NAM too inverted) - but throw in some convection this definitely is worth watching. We wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 We enjoy, it’s the only weather we got. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, CT Rain said: These are about as impressive as you'll see. Also... 60 knots at top of the mixed layer out of the NW as the storm passes. GFS may be too well mixed (and NAM too inverted) - but throw in some convection this definitely is worth watching. Yeah we talked about this on text, but there is some crazy stuff going on with this thing. If we see the same sig tomorrow, it’s time to honk. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 3 hours ago, dryslot said: Looking kind of wedged for some areas, Trend on guidance has been ticking this a little east with more CAD over NNE. NAM is the Christmas miracle. Weenie hopes and dreams dependent on persistence of the famous CAD. It’s breezy out there tonight and some friends who got power back yesterday just lost again. A rough 10 days in SW Maine when it’s all said and done. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Four inches of modeled Qpf plus winds plus saturated soil is bad bad news 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 18Z EURO looked kind of cold to start 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18Z EURO looked kind of cold to start Colder rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 16 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: Four inches of modeled Qpf plus winds plus saturated soil is bad bad news Four inches on which model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah we talked about this on text, but there is some crazy stuff going on with this thing. If we see the same sig tomorrow, it’s time to honk. Pour Nammy . Gonna break hearts up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pour Nammy . Gonna break hearts up north The fate of NNE is far from decided…it’s been trending colder and colder. The next couple days will be telling with this for them…especially far NNE. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 54 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I checked out for a couple of days.....can't believe this thread is still going. Still a decent storm, not snow for us but some folks will cash in for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Four inches on which model For mby verbatim 18z nam. This is likely overdone but there’s been a persistent signal for 3+” for my area. Not that anyone cares except for me and the guy who’s lawn sucks . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pour Nammy . Gonna break hearts up north I buy front end snow there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I buy front end snow there. In far NNE sure. Not in Berks to Portsmouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Right now, There isn't one model that doesn't show a thump for the elevations and northern parts of the state. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: In far NNE sure. Not in Berks to Portsmouth Who said Portsmouth? I could see snow in Berks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Right now, There isn't one model that doesn't show a thump for the elevations and northern parts of the state. Let's lock this pattern in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 41 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: For mby verbatim 18z nam. This is likely overdone but there’s been a persistent signal for 3+” for my area. Not that anyone cares except for me and the guy who’s lawn sucks . This coast-dwelling flatlander is on high alert, but for a different reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 Woof. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 NAM came in warmer at 0z so the cooling trend for NNE has stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: NAM came in warmer at 0z so the cooling trend for NNE has stopped. It apparently had some sense knocked into it, LES and ADK snow gone too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 35 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Woof. Gust to 60 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skivt2 Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 We just got power back! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 45 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Woof. That’s some wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 That’s some serious QPF riding up the coastal plain on Reggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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