MJO812 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, SnoSki14 said: A little disjointed with the double low but I'll take it at this range Yep way better than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Yep way better than 0z Good spot. We don’t want perfection now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: A little disjointed with the double low but I'll take it at this range This is going to be a CJ jack....watch. We will all get it good, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 And this on Christmas week!!! I feel like a kid again!!!! Magic!!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 GFS reminds me of January 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 GFS and EURO in agreement at almost 200 hours out. What could possibly go wrong?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be a CJ jack....watch. We will all get it good, though Big proclamation this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 That was almost an epic run....still a great solution, but we barely missed a total capture of the ULL diving through VA.....the shortwave that is responsible for the storm outruns it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 LOL @ 967mb low E of P-Town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Big proclamation this far out. Watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Its going to be a beast, One way or another, Just a matter of where it ends up tracking, A lot of cold air feeding into that circulation over warm gulf waters will ignite it, To bad were so far out from it right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That was almost an epic run....still a great solution, but we barely missed a total capture of the ULL diving through VA.....the shortwave that is responsible for the storm outruns it. Yea, we aren't going to get 533 consecutive flawless phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Excellent run at this range. EPS should be really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was almost an epic run....still a great solution, but we barely missed a total capture of the ULL diving through VA.....the shortwave that is responsible for the storm outruns it. Does anyone want a flawless run right now I'm just happy models are in good agreement already. Usually a good sign of something big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12WX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We’re on to the EPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Does anyone want a flawless run right now I'm just happy models are in good agreement already. Usually a good sign of something big I wasn't opining on whether it would verify like that....just that it barely missed an epic solution. Like top 5 all time type stuff. I'm not even taking these OP runs seriously at all.....ensemble forecasting is the way to go until we're about 3-4 days closer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I wasn't opining on whether it would verify like that....just that it barely missed an epic solution. Like top 5 all time type stuff. I'm not even taking these OP runs seriously at all.....ensemble forecasting is the way to go until we're about 3-4 days closer. This has like Feb 1978, Feb 2013 potential. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I wasn't opining on whether it would verify like that....just that it barely missed an epic solution. Like top 5 all time type stuff. I'm not even taking these OP runs seriously at all.....ensemble forecasting is the way to go until we're about 3-4 days closer. Absolutely. The ensembles are for forecasting. The ops are for cinematic drama at this range and the action is starting to get good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 my god. classic look here for a NYC - BOS crusher, about all you can ask for at this range 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Absolutely. The ensembles are for forecasting. The ops are for cinematic drama at this range and the action is starting to get good. Yup. Buckle up ladies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Wife just called me to tell me that my 3 yr old daughter is raging..."mummy, where did the snow go!" I told her, "don't worry, daddy will put it back in time for Xmas" Yea, if this finds a way to fail, then I quit. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wife just called me to tell me that my 3 yr old daughter is raging..."mummy, where did the snow go!" I told her, "don't worry, daddy will put it back in time for Xmas" Yea, if this finds a way to fail, then I quit. Suck it up buttercup. Grinch just stole it all away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This has like Feb 1978, Feb 2013 potential. If we get that type of storm 2 days before Christmas just wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: If we get that type of storm 2 days before Christmas just wow Probably not the CF potential of Feb '78, but as far as intensity of the low and excessive snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 This doesn't hurt either. A lot of fuel out there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We chuck. 13 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, CT Rain said: We chuck. Beer time 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 No melting on Xmas, either...pissah. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 EPS looks on board for a biggie. Near the Cape elbow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: EPS looks on board for a biggie. Near the Cape elbow. Take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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