"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[WinterWolf]

Ok, now will Dr No take a monster dump in the punch bowl in an hour or so? 

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Fentanyl overdose on the Narcan

[wxsniss]

GEFS in a good spot... a few 960s right off Cape

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, bristolri_wx said:

Are people still pissed about the recent GFS upgrade? 

Let you know in 8 days.

[brooklynwx99]

not one for snow maps, but 5-7" on an ensemble mean at this range is nuts. basically doubled from 12z yesterday

[MuddyWx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

saving that one for later tonight

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

not one for snow maps, but 5-7" on an ensemble mean at this range is nuts. basically doubled from 12z yesterday

Nice advanced lead CJ signal.

[NorEastermass128]

AEMATT approves of the 12z GFS. 

[SJonesWX]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

not one for snow maps, but 5-7" on an ensemble mean at this range is nuts. basically doubled from 12z yesterday

is that a COC-n-ballz poking out from Scooter up towards PWM?

[bwt3650]

Bing Crosby has entered that chat.

The pope has left the chat.


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[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not one for snow maps, but 5-7" on an ensemble mean at this range is nuts. basically doubled from 12z yesterday

 

That's the full duration of the storm.. Widespread 6"+ .. It's nice to see this as a coastal threat now, and not favoring interior. As you said this is a wild mean for day 7-8.. Only the big ones have a mean like this well in advance.. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

30 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Deadbeat parents looking for last minute gifts spending Christmas in their buried cars on I-95. Oceanfront properties in Taunton encased in ice from sea spray blown in off the Atlantic like ICBMs. Jerry absolutely sloshed from a Crown bender and falling into snow banks on his walk through the neighborhood. TBlizz meh’ing the blizzard while on his toilet and then screaming for his wife as the ceiling caves in and buries him in slate shingles and paste. Police departments inundated with calls of middle aged men disrobing and shoveling driveways mumbling “is this what it feels like to live at 500mb”.

We hope to see it. We pray to see it. We need to see it. 

Lol nice!

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, bwt3650 said:

The pope has left the chat.


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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

34 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i thought the can was being kicked

Just the buns.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Split the eps/gefs and it’s game set match for the WOR crew…drop mic and remove undies.

[George001]

Euro time coming up, last nights evolution but 200 miles east would be nice.

[brooklynwx99]

regardless, the EPS will be 10 times more useful at this range. but let's see!

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

safe to say…something significant is brewing for east coast winter enthusiasts, that’s about all you can a say a week out. But we like the look. 

Looks interesting after this as well. I'd take that thing on the 27th in a heartbeat

[Typhoon Tip]

Coalescence in the GEFs re mid U/A. 

All carry deep geopotential medium toting powerful wave astride the EC

Average Max centers on 200-220 hrs with more than half expressing this as a multi contoured closed embedded 500mb sfc. 

SFC evolution varies more … but all have cyclone of significance associated with this impressive, what also appears to be heading  for the time being, toward multi stream phase.  

[brooklynwx99]

ECMWF is making favorable changes at 12z... much stronger and farther E PNA ridging, block is farther W and there's a lot more confluence going under it

even if the end result isn't huge, this helps take the cutter off the table

[MJO812]

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/severe-winter-storm-likely-around-of.html

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Looks se from 0z which is great at this LT. we don’t need a wound up inland runner which are harder to correct.

[Baroclinic Zone]

[ORH_wxman]

Good Scooter high in place on the Euro at 168-174

[MJO812]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Good Scooter high in place on the Euro at 168-174

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro winding up to nuke SNE

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Here we go

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

 

A little disjointed with the double low but I'll take it at this range 

[ineedsnow]

Euro is perfect!