"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Damage In Tolland]

It may have the follow up wave later Xmas Day 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

lmao I try to contribute and add value and this is what I get? thanks

All we have left is laughter. Don’t take it personal.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It may have the follow up wave later Xmas Day 

Can’t wait 

[brooklynwx99]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

All we have left is laughter. Don’t take it personal.

haha fair. tough to communicate tone via text

@Damage In Tolland but yeah to answer your question there are a couple shots at a wave after this one, but I don't even wanna think about those right now  

[MJO812]

Torchmas

[WeatherX]

The old Holiday Cleveland Steamer. Very festive


.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Merry Grinchmas everyone 

[MJO812]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Merry Grinchmas everyone 

Remember when the models had brutally cold air over is for Christmas Eve and day ? 

[MuddyWx]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Merry Grinchmas everyone 

Nothing says Christmas like short sleeves and an umbrella

[Juliancolton]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Merry Grinchmas everyone 

I enjoy a good anomalous warmth event. Not my first choice, naturally, but still interesting.

[Damage In Tolland]

Places with 24” of new snow today get 24 hours of 60+ dews. That just can’t end  well 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Juliancolton said:

I enjoy a good anomalous warmth event. Not my first choice, naturally, but still interesting.

At least we’ll save on the awful heat prices. 

[512high]

Eastern Weather...Regroup! WTF.....don't want to be in his house on XMAS am....

[Modfan2]

There’s always January!

[SnoSki14]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Remember when the models had brutally cold air over is for Christmas Eve and day ? 

They still do. The cold arrives before Christmas. 

[MuddyWx]

Jokes on my friends going to the Caribbean- why go all the way down there for a warm Christmas when you can just stay?

[moneypitmike]

Move along folks--nothing to see here.

 

Can we just be done with this and archive this thread now?

[Kitz Craver]

Ewwwww. Lol, how the F does this happen so regularly. I don’t have the memory that some do on here. But I’d like to see the last 25 or so and see how it shakes out statistically. 

[WxWatcher007]

After a really strong start, the model cinema really took a turn for the awful.

I’ll stay in the theater and nap in my seat in case things get interesting again, but I doubt it.

Another Christmas flop for the ages. 

[SnoSki14]

If the CMC is right we have a better chance of seeing a tornado than snow

[MuddyWx]

Big takeaway is the GFS blows lol it took so long for it to output what other models were showing days ago

[WxWatcher007]

23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Merry Grinchmas everyone 

Now that we don’t have to worry about snow, inland cat 1 gusts or bust. 

[brooklynwx99]

God I cannot wait for that Nino next year

it'll be like a weight lifted off of everyone's shoulders

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

27 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Merry Grinchmas everyone 

The run game will determine who wins 7 - 0 in the Cleveland (edit- Cincinnati game.)

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

God I cannot wait for that Nino next year

it'll be like a weight lifted off of everyone's shoulders

 

Unfortunately the latest ENSO model run is markedly more neutral for next winter

[ROOSTA]

I would much rather see that Vort close off over MN, better yet not even enter into the CONUS.
Hounds be released and set-up the next chance.
People down here are going to freeze!
Blizzard in the GL, Arctic Air will be the headlines. Oh, the hype.  

[weathafella]

Well I guess the west has been due.  We had fun at their expense-now it’s our turn in the barrel.

[moneypitmike]

 

[78Blizzard]

20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Move along folks--nothing to see here.

 

Can we just be done with this and archive this thread now?

You mean this prediction isn't coming true?

On 12/15/2022 at 11:52 AM, ROOSTA said:

To sedate "our" fix. Model agreement would be the next step. 
Predict this thread will surpass 200 pages.

 

[78Blizzard]

12 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

Big takeaway is the GFS blows lol it took so long for it to output what other models were showing days ago

It got into its sweet spot at day 6 today.  That's the second consecutive system it caved on day 6.  Based on this track record trend, I would give short shrift to anything the GFS is pushing beyond 6 days.  At least until it proves otherwise.