"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Trough digging SW into the rockies lol

The whole ridge needs to shift east onto the coast of NAMR and not have these s/w’s dig so far southwest. 

[Thunderblizzard]

Less amped... but that's still a cutter.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, MuddyWx said:

Yea not much different. Gonna dig way too far west to have a chance. 

Once the EURO latches onto a solution that sucks, it seldom let's go....locked onro today's rain 00z on Sunday. Knew I was fu#ked.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

The whole ridge needs to shift east onto the coast of NAMR and not have these s/w’s dig so far southwest. 

That is the issue I pointed out a few days ago, but some of the runs that phased the PV in further east were able to still pull it off. 

[jaf]

Maybe this thread should be renamed "We're gonna need a bigger umbrella..."

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, jaf said:

Maybe this thread should be renamed "We're gonna need a bigger umbrella..."

"We're gonna need a bigger lube tube"

[George001]

5 minutes ago, Thunderblizzard said:

Less amped... but that's still a cutter.

Yep, Euro has a low in Indianapolis.

[40/70 Benchmark]

We'd probably be better off losing the PNA ridge all together if it isn't going to shift east. It acts to trigger phasing further west.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Oh well. A good nfl weekend upcoming.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Oh well. A good nfl weekend upcoming.

Pats' season is my last 4 winters in a nutshell.

[MuddyWx]

Congrats chicago

[George001]

11 minutes ago, George001 said:

Yep, Euro has a low in Indianapolis.

The low goes due north after that. 974mb low in Michigan, that’s not what we want to see. Hopefully it resets the pattern and we get a more favorable pattern for the following threats if it’s right. The western ridge axis is just too far west right now.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, George001 said:

The low goes due north after that. 974mb low in Michigan, that’s not what we want to see. Hopefully it resets the pattern and we get a more favorable pattern for the following threats if it’s right. The western ridge axis is just too far west right now.

It may very well set up the memorable January stretch that I expect. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

@brooklynwx99disappeared from this thread faster than the east coast snow did from guidance today lol 

[brooklynwx99]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@brooklynwx99disappeared from this thread faster than the east coast snow did from guidance today lol 

i’m out with my friends, dude

[8611Blizz]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i’m out with my friends, dude

I hope you at least have a laptop?

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i’m out with my friends, dude

Drink 'til she doesn't cut

[OceanStWx]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Pats' season is my last 4 winters in a nutshell.

I'm no lip reader, but I think he said "Let's get a fucking bomb. This fucking snow game sucks"

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I'm no lip reader, but I think he said "Let's get a fucking bomb. This fucking snow game sucks"

"Midwest intercepted the fucking bomb"

[moneypitmike]

I sure am glad I don't stay up for models anymore.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6z Gfs takes that first piece of energy and makes it more prominent Thursday nite as it moves up the coast , the high departs for the second part of the system . 6z clown for first part of system into Friday day Gives most of SNE advisory to warning snows just off east coast and west of Essex county mass

[mahk_webstah]

4 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

The whole ridge needs to shift east onto the coast of NAMR and not have these s/w’s dig so far southwest. 

Doesn’t the EC have a bias to dig into the SW?

[Damage In Tolland]

47 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I sure am glad I don't stay up for models anymore.

I never understood that. Go to bed and see what they show in morning 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

12 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Doesn’t the EC have a bias to dig into the SW?

It had a bias to hold energy back in the SW 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Happy holidayssssssssss

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Don’t worry though, if you didn’t get your fill of rain during this holiday season so far, after the Christmas cutter, the gfs has another massive cutter on New Year’s Eve.

[The 4 Seasons]

FWIW the spread on the 6Z GEFS members SLP seemed to widen from 00z splitting a lot of members into inland runners vs. offshore track. The 00Z GEFS had a cluster offshore but were much closer to hugging and running up near the coast vs. 6Z which has a lot of those members taking a more favorable offshore track near the BM. 

[Snowcrazed71]

20 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Don’t worry though, if you didn’t get your fill of rain during this holiday season so far, after the Christmas cutter, the gfs has another massive cutter on New Year’s Eve.

We are so thankful to have you as part of this forum. ;-) ha!

[Baroclinic Zone]

TB13 loves to piss on the snow parade

[mahk_webstah]

24 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

FWIW the spread on the 6Z GEFS members SLP seemed to widen from 00z splitting a lot of members into inland runners vs. offshore track. The 00Z GEFS had a cluster offshore but were much closer to hugging and running up near the coast vs. 6Z which has a lot of those members taking a more favorable offshore track near the BM. 

Maybe I’m wrong here but when there is so much chaos and disagreement among models, the solution doesn’t emerge until three or four days ahead. Well see something cleaner tomorrow morning have a good idea on Monday.  Feels like a lot of options are on the table legitimately .