"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Merry X-Mas Eve. Santa brought you a sump pump.

 

[weathafella]

This solution verbatim brings alot of front end snow and also occludes and SUGGESTS the possibility of a triple point under us.  Not at all set in stone and worlds different vs Euro.

[MJO812]

What a winter for the lakes area

 

Wow

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

So now “it’s not the euro” is a win? That was a garbage run for snow prospects in New England. Sure, it didn’t cut to Carmel Indiana like the euro, but it cut nonetheless 

George gets his 970…over Harrisburg.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I mean...I get there are limitations...but the block can't stop storms from cutting, and it can't hold a 50/50 low..the question begs to be asked...

It’ll deliver a mean cold shot to freeze the puddles after the soaker.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

It sure looks like it's trying for a SWFE.  NNE looks fine-ski areas rejoice.

Actually, not that good for them either with lots of taint.

[MJO812]

Be back for 0z when the models come east

Ciao

[CoastalWx]

Christmas Phil comes to NNe that run.

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

George gets his 970…over Harrisburg.

He said not worry. Even a storm cutting to our west can bring huge snows to Foxboro

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Actually, not that good for them either with lots of taint.

Wow, congrats Ray 

[brooklynwx99]

the more important thing here is that the GFS held serve synoptically and the ICON made a big shift towards it

if the ECMWF makes the same synoptic changes, it bodes much better for a coastal storm. keep in mind that this is still 7 days out

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Beware CT peeps…there is an angry drunken wolf on the prowl. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Actually, not that good for them either with lots of taint.

Thankfully Buffalo finally caught a break

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Be back for 0z when the models come east

Ciao

They can't go any further west. 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Yeah Dendy is losing power for Xmas that run. 

A bit of a wedge

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Actually, not that good for them either with lots of taint.

Depends on which snow map you use. Mine includes today but 30+ in parts of ME ETC.

 

 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I mean...I get there are limitations...but the block can't stop storms from cutting, and it can't hold a 50/50 low..the question begs to be asked...

All kidding aside, we keep getting these massive cold pools too far to our west.   And for whatever reason any confluence zips by to our NE.  Hopefully we can get a SWFE look.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

All kidding aside, we keep getting these massive cold pools too far to our west.   And for whatever reason any confluence zips by to our NE.  Hopefully we can get a SWFE look.

New Scooter caution flag…zipping confluence. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

He said not worry. Even a storm cutting to our west can bring huge snows to Foxboro

Maybe if he climbs to the top of the light poles at Gilette he can catch a glimpse of a cat paw 

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Depends on which snow map you use. Mine includes today but 30+ in parts of ME ETC.

 

 

Here's for the event itself....

 

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

All kidding aside, we keep getting these massive cold pools too far to our west.   And for whatever reason any confluence zips by to our NE.  Hopefully we can get a SWFE look.

Great patterns fail much easier in la nina...which is why it's tough to go for huge seasonal totals in a la nina even in a great seasonal pattern

[Damage In Tolland]

That’s a huge move towards all other guidance. This one is on life support 

[weathafella]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Maybe if he climbs to the top of the light poles at Gilette he can catch a glimpse of a cat paw 

OT but I saw this movie where these 2 young women climbed a very high rickety tower and couldn't get down.  Watched it on a plane-not the best idea....

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Here's for the event itself....

 

 

 

Lots of sleet in NNE

[Allsnow]

All guidance is consistently out to sea with the threat after Christmas. You just know that one won’t wavier at all 

[Johnno]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

All guidance is consistently out to sea with the threat after Christmas. You just know that one won’t wavier at all 

That will be a real kick in the dick 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

All guidance is consistently out to sea with the threat after Christmas. You just know that one won’t wavier at all 

Yea, guessing that won't correct hundreds of miles west

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, guessing that won't correct hundreds of miles west

50/40 low will pin that bitch in place

[RDRY]

25 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the more important thing here is that the GFS held serve synoptically and the ICON made a big shift towards it

if the ECMWF makes the same synoptic changes, it bodes much better for a coastal storm. keep in mind that this is still 7 days out

That lead system will undoubtedly wreak havoc on the models -- not too often you see a follow-up coastal track well west of its predecessor. But the thing is so wound up, I guess it's plausible.

[George001]

19 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

All guidance is consistently out to sea with the threat after Christmas. You just know that one won’t wavier at all 

If that actually happens I don’t think we can call the pattern great anymore. How can we possibly get a -nao, -epo, +pna yet keep coming up empty? It makes no sense.