"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Baroclinic Zone]

This should be a better run.  Trough still positive over midwest

[NorEastermass128]

29 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Don't look at the ICON at 168 - holy cow 

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, those solutions make me nervous because that isn't nuances, like will confluence let up enough for it to hug and go over the canal, or be strong enough to go over the BM....that is like "game over" prospects.

Exactly. Tracking over Buffalo is not even in the game

[MJO812]

Cmc is bad

[Baroclinic Zone]

GFS chasing a bit.

[SJonesWX]

16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We Kim Jong-un.

seeding clouds with long-range missles?

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

GFS chasing a bit.

Looks like it going to hug at the least.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Such a convoluted setup.  

[MJO812]

Gfs is insane

[Henry's Weather]

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

If the mere site of an averse weather chart is enough to erode on peoples nerves…this 12 Z icon solution will be a kin to taking a soothing warm bath in battery acid

I think everyone should be forced to stare at it. Exposure therapy

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, dryslot said:

Looks like it going to hug at the least.

You got the lead piece of energy spawning a low then the trough digs and gets the 2nd low going.

[dryslot]

H5 closes off over SC.

[dryslot]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

You got the lead piece of energy spawning a low then the trough digs and gets the 2nd low going.

yes

[Baroclinic Zone]

Wow

[ORH_wxman]

Solutions like the GGEM are a complete synoptic change because it has no PV/PV lobe pinned in SE Canada....it just retrogrades it to western Canada opening the doors for a lakes cutter....so that pv is something to watch.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Woah

[Baroclinic Zone]

Classic KU.  Dual jet structure.  Closed off 5h.

[MuddyWx]

It digs, I dig

[dryslot]

[Baroclinic Zone]

976 low over Newport News VA LOL

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Exactly. Tracking over Buffalo is not even in the game

That said, I don't think that will happen.

[Henry's Weather]

Getting attached to model solutions 180 hours out is like getting emotionally attached to a pornstar

[qg_omega]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Solutions like the GGEM are a complete synoptic change because it has no PV/PV lobe pinned in SE Canada....it just retrogrades it to western Canada opening the doors for a lakes cutter....so that pv is something to watch.

How is that so different than today’s setup?

[dryslot]

Pretty elongated and dual structured

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

H5 closes off over SC.

I'd take it, but don't look for a true high-ender up here with that look. Better for mid atl.

[Baroclinic Zone]

This solution is tearing a hole in the ozone layer

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, qg_omega said:

How is that so different than today’s setup?

Maybe because today's setup isn't a lakes cutter and there's no PV in western Canada today? Other than that, they look exactly the same.

[George001]

18 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Looks like a carbon copy of this storm today

The storm today failed because the airmass sucks, but the low location wasn’t bad. This upcoming storm is a lot stronger on the models, but could easily run inland. I’m concerned about that but it’s just not accurate to say it’s a carbon copy of the storm today even if it does fail.

[ROOSTA]

Looks fine!
Only umpteen runs to go. LOL
Nice just to be alive and tracking.

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'd take it, but don't look for a true high-ender up here with that look. Better for mid atl.

Lumbers up the eastern seaboard.