"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Time to fire up the genny

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Just hit 51 kt at the office.

[TalcottWx]

I don't see how we don't flip to snow. 

[amarshall]

Big fire Duxbury at the beach houses. All in tight together. Could get nasty. 

[TalcottWx]

Just now, amarshall said:

Big fire Duxbury at the beach houses. All in tight together. Could get nasty. 

Meh. 

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, amarshall said:

Big fire Duxbury at the beach houses. All in tight together. Could get nasty. 

Awful. Didn’t that happen with the big 2010 nor’easter up the coast?

[dryslot]

95,000 in CMP's grid without power now.

[WxWatcher007]

5 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

I don't see how we don't flip to snow. 

I'm deeply skeptical, but I'd love for the HRRR to verify. A bit of snow tonight and frigid temps. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Awful. Didn’t that happen with the big 2010 nor’easter up the coast?

Scituate. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I'm deeply skeptical, but I'd love for the HRRR to verify. A bit of snow tonight and frigid temps. 

To answer your question earlier on temps, my guess is it maybe gets to high single digits in spots tonight? Western CT will be colder than eastern MA at higher latitude. It’s about the worst type of delivery for us to get very cold…so it will modify quite a bit from from negative temps we currently see in western PA.  But the airmass itself is so impressive that even on an awful delivery vector, it will still be pretty cold. 

[OceanStWx]

Solid damage at Portland Head Light. Blown out windows, tossed pavers, and the granite block holding the bell was moved. 

[weatherwiz]

Winds cranking back up here. Sounds like a tropical Earthquake outside. 

[Modfan2]

Looks like solid line from E RI into SE Mass

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Winds cranking back up here. Sounds like a tropical Earthquake outside. 

Springfield?

[DavisStraight]

Looks like Nantucket will have a white Christmas, based on guidance.

[Typhoon Tip]

45 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Almost looks like the colder air is actually cutting out ahead of the cold front a bit

Yeah...that's been a subtlety in the runs over the last several days since this became an unavoidable cutter. There's been heavier doses of frozen QPF punching in just aft of 'bowing' aspect ...it's really has a 'quasi' ANA aspect to it when the lvl cold outruns the mid level support for the frontal boundary its self.  It's outrunning the intense deepening rate of the western Quebec bomb ..which is causing 700 mb synoptic inflow to cross back over the leading edge of the undercutting cold. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Springfield?

yes 

[weatherwiz]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNIG LONG ISLAND!!!!!!

Was waiting for this. 

HERE WE GO!!!!!

[Sn0waddict]

Sun is coming out here lol

[OceanStWx]

@CoastalWx I think those squally showers post frontal as because for a couple hour stretch the front is so strong that the theta-e lapse rates go negative. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

yes 

Just starting to ramp back up here in pulsating gusts 

[Lava Rock]

Need stronger anemometer pole

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[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

Looks like Nantucket will have a white Christmas, based on guidance.

south coasts of RI, and maybe southernmost parts of MA and the Cape as well. 

I'll take some flakes on Christmas Eve and maybe if I'm lucky a coating

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Just starting to ramp back up here in pulsating gusts 

I'm thinking of moving the hammock away from the garage so I can watch it get tossed around the backyard. 

[FRWEATHA]

Check out Buffalo webcams. Whiteout!

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Looks like solid line from E RI into SE Mass

Nasty squall line about to move in.  Winds have picked up again.

[TalcottWx]

Sun is out in Simsbury. Just getting home. Detoured multiple times due to closed roads. Still have power, excellent. 

[DavisStraight]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

south coasts of RI, and maybe southernmost parts of MA and the Cape as well. 

I'll take some flakes on Christmas Eve and maybe if I'm lucky a coating

Looks like ocean enhanced on the Cape and Islands

[CoastalWx]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

@CoastalWx I think those squally showers post frontal as because for a couple hour stretch the front is so strong that the theta-e lapse rates go negative. 

It gets super unstable right after. There is a subtle boundary and some CAPE even.

[dryslot]

The atlantic is pissed off.

 

[rcostell]

(Kind of meaningless game, regardless. ) 7 miles east of Philly- When that convective line went through- temp dropped from 47 to 36 in about 5 minutes. Rain/Sleet/Snow mix- hard. No lightning though.  Has flipped to moderate snow now-  31F. 

39 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Damn Philly...all the lightning occurred around them and then it died. Stupid Philly, I hope the Cowboys roast them Saturday.