"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Shaun Curry]

Some snow would be nice just so long as it's not enough to complicate getting gasoline for the generator!

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

what a rare event that is...although I bet it was more common in colder days of yore

As a New London native I confirm that was never common.

[CoastalWx]

Deep winter on ACK

[Damage In Tolland]

I’d bet a case of Runaway Berg  weed supply that an only SE CT white Xmas while no one else in state has any has never happened 

[OceanStWx]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Deep winter on ACK

ACK trying to go toe to toe with the picnic tables and fake snow.

[Modfan2]

46 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I don't get the "wind forecasts always underperform" thing. I feel like most of our forecasts verify fairly well at the ASOS stations. If you're looking at the HRRR/Euro or whatever raw model output though and taking that as a forecast you're going to be disappointed.

Box only has CT zones in Wind Advisory, do you think that’s sufficient? I expect highest area to gust near 55.

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Box only has CT zones in Wind Advisory, do you think that’s sufficient? I expect highest area to gust near 55.

Look again.

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’d bet a case of Runaway Berg  weed supply that an only SE CT white Xmas while no one else in state has any has never happened 

1998? GON had like 2-3" on 12/24 (and sub-freezing the next few days) while everyone else in the state was skunked.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

1998? GON had like 2-3" on 12/24 (and sub-freezing the next few days) while everyone else in the state was skunked.

Seriously? From a coastal? And there nothing OTG in NW Hills?

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Seriously? From a coastal? And there nothing OTG in NW Hills?

Yeah I don't think anyone else had pack...it was a brutal torch December leading into that and then a rogue cold shot plus a scraper got SE CT/RI/far SE MA with a decent snow event while everyone else was screwed.

[alex]

Wind has picked up here. Some severe damage to the snow covering some the tallest trees, which I witnessed being shaken off. 

Gonna be a long 24 hours... 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’d bet a case of Runaway Berg  weed supply that an only SE CT white Xmas while no one else in state has any has never happened 

 

[Modfan2]

20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Look again.

When you click on your area it only show Wind Advisory 

[wokeupthisam]

12 minutes ago, alex said:

Wind has picked up here. Some severe damage to the snow covering some the tallest trees, which I witnessed being shaken off. 

Gonna be a long 24 hours... 

Yup, sad.  Wonder how much (if any) will be left Sat morning...

[SouthCoastMA]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Seriously? From a coastal? And there nothing OTG in NW Hills?

80's winters featured some brutal snowless stretches inland with coastal areas sometimes cashing in on grazers. time will tell

[tunafish]

I already shut off power to my house. 

I figured it's a given that we'll lose power tomorrow, and the family needs to toughen up, settle in for the long haul.

Pan-fried hot dogs and cold tubs tonight, kids!

[Ginx snewx]

59 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Could see 1-2" of Sound Effect Snow SE CT and South County RI

I remember how much people busted my chops about my experience back in the 80s in South County with sound effect snow. There was a 6 to 10 band immediately along the shore inland 5 miles had nada

[tamarack]

Isle Au Haut now forecast for Cat 1 gusts.

Tonight

Rain, mainly after 3am. Low around 40. Windy, with an east wind 15 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 35 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Friday

Rain, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. High near 51. Very windy, with an east wind 40 to 45 mph, with gusts as high as 75 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

Friday Night

Rain likely before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow between 1am and 2am, then a chance of snow after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Very windy, with a southwest wind 30 to 40 mph, with gusts as high as 70 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Windy, with a southwest wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph.

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.

Christmas Day

Scattered snow showers, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Currently pelting snow and sleet in Greenfield Massachusetts.  

Don’t have a temperature reading for y’all because I am currently at the brewery enjoying some fermented  libations with my coworkers.

[wxmanmitch]

Light snow has begun here, 26° F. 18z meso models have mysteriously trended warmer (with the NAMs the most so), which is in opposition to radar and surface obs so I'm tossing and going with the 12z suite, which had 4-6" here on the front end with maybe another 1-2" on the back.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I may try the la Quinta inn by Buffalo Niagara Apt it’s on what looks like a main road 1/4 mile or less from I-90 ramp . Let’s see what happens if I’m stuck lol

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I may try the la Quinta inn by Buffalo Niagara Apt it’s on what looks like a main road 1/4 mile or less from I-90 ramp . Let’s see what happens if I’m stuck lol

If it’s on Transit rd or rt 33 (Genesee rd) those will be plowed pretty good. I’ve spent a lot of time around there. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If it’s on Transit rd or rt 33 (Genesee rd) those will be plowed pretty good. I’ve spent a lot of time around there. 

It is on transit rd briefly before the on ramp to I-90

Will , you think they Will shut down I-90 Saturday overnite ? Trying to gauge the family angst lol / arrival back time 

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I may try the la Quinta inn by Buffalo Niagara Apt it’s on what looks like a main road 1/4 mile or less from I-90 ramp . Let’s see what happens if I’m stuck lol

Try the La Dilfa Inn. They’re open and ready . Plenty of room 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

It is on transit rd briefly before the on ramp to I-90

Will they shut down I-90 Saturday overnite ?

If they do it would only be right near that exit. They will do everything to try and keep it open though. They don’t want to shut it down. 
 

If they somehow close it, you could prob take the Pembroke exit a few miles east and then come in on genesee rd (rt 33) from the east until it intersects with transit. 

[ariof]

48 minutes ago, wokeupthisam said:

Yup, sad.  Wonder how much (if any) will be left Sat morning...

I'm sort of wondering how bad it will be. The 2020 megagrinch was warm enough to melt 2-3' of snow off of NNE, but that was low-density snow and it was much warmer. Some SN/PL followed by 38˚ rain might and the cold might just create a glacier. But I also wouldn't be surprised if it wound up being a meltdown given the lack of base beneath. Good luck to the ski resorts.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Gonna laugh if OES pans out in this area and I wake up with a white Christmas.  

[HoarfrostHubb]

Light snow and sleet here.  I said my goodbyes to my 5” of slab from last week

[jbenedet]

2 minutes ago, ariof said:

I'm sort of wondering how bad it will be. The 2020 megagrinch was warm enough to melt 2-3' of snow off of NNE, but that was low-density snow and it was much warmer. Some SN/PL followed by 38˚ rain might and the cold might just create a glacier. But I also wouldn't be surprised if it wound up being a meltdown given the lack of base beneath. Good luck to the ski resorts.

high Dews + high wind. That's the pack killer. And that's what we have this time.

 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Try the La Dilfa Inn. They’re open and ready . Plenty of room 

..with hourly rates available.